Pasar kripto kembali bergairah setelah analis terkemuka, Captain Faibik, menyatakan fase koreksi telah berakhir. Dengan target Bitcoin menuju $120.000, investor kini sibuk memilah crypto terbaik untuk dibeli guna memaksimalkan profit di awal bull market ini.

Data on-chain menunjukkan akumulasi besar oleh para whale pada aset potensial seperti Ethereum dan Solana. Selain koin utama, proyek inovatif seperti Bitcoin Hyper mulai mencuri perhatian karena menjanjikan skalabilitas baru yang sangat dinantikan pengguna Bitcoin (BTC).

Prediksi Bullish Bitcoin: BTC Berada Dalam Jalur Menuju $120.000

Setelah sempat lesu, angin segar kembali berhembus ke pasar kripto. Captain Faibik, analis yang sebelumnya akurat memprediksi koreksi Bitcoin sebesar 36%, kini resmi berbalik arah menjadi optimis.

Ia melihat pola descending broadening wedge telah selesai diuji, yang berarti fase “tarik napas” Bitcoin kemungkinan besar sudah berakhir. Targetnya tidak main-main: BTC berpotensi meroket ke angka $120.000 dalam waktu dekat.

Kondisi ini membuat banyak investor mulai menyusun daftar crypto terbaik untuk dibeli sebelum harga benar-benar melesat.

Menariknya, sinyal positif tidak hanya datang dari Bitcoin. Indikator Total 3 (kapitalisasi pasar altcoin) kini menyentuh support krusial 100-week EMA. Secara historis, setiap kali posisi ini tercapai, pasar altcoin selalu reli besar-besaran.

Data dari Lookonchain dan Onchain Lens juga mengonfirmasi adanya akumulasi masif oleh para whale. Para pemain besar ini tampak sedang menyerok aset di harga bawah, sebuah indikasi kuat bahwa pasar sedang bersiap memasuki fase bull run berikutnya. Jika Anda sedang mencari momentum entry, pergerakan paus ini sering kali menjadi kompas yang paling bisa diandalkan.

Prediksi Bitcoin Kembali Bullish, Ini Crypto Terbaik untuk Dibeli

Selain Bitcoin (BTC), sejumlah aset dari daftar altcoin teratas memiliki titik masuk yang rendah setelah mengalami koreksi tajam selama setidaknya dua bulan terakhir. Dengan masuk pada harga saat ini, investor berpotensi meraup keuntungan tinggi ketika bull market tiba.

Berikut ini daftar rekomendasi crypto terbaik untuk dibeli pada hari ini, Senin 22 Desember 2025:

Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum (ETH) akhirnya kembali menunjukkan taringnya setelah berhasil breakout pada pasangan dagang ETH/BTC. Pergerakan ini memperkuat posisi Ethereum sebagai salah satu crypto terbaik untuk dibeli saat ini, terutama bagi investor yang mengincar fundamental kuat. Harga di bawah $3.000 pun kini dianggap sebagai “diskon” besar oleh para pemain institusi.

Optimisme ini bukan tanpa alasan. Tom Lee dari BitMine memprediksi migrasi besar-besaran pasar keuangan AS ke sistem on-chain, di mana Ethereum menjadi kandidat utama karena dominasi pasar dan keamanannya.

Raksasa seperti BlackRock dan Fidelity bahkan sudah mulai meluncurkan dana pasar uang di jaringan ini. Selain itu, laporan dari Standard Chartered juga menyoroti potensi ETF Ethereum yang akan terus mendorong arus modal masuk secara masif.

Ke depan, Grayscale memproyeksikan lonjakan 1.000 kali lipat pada pasar tokenized assets dalam satu dekade ini, yang mayoritas ekosistemnya masih dikuasai Ethereum.

GRAYSCALE: TOKENIZED ASSETS COULD GROW 1,000x BY 2030

Grayscale says tokenized assets are just 0.01% of global markets but could grow 1,000x by 2030.

That shift could drive on-chain demand for $ETH, $BNB, $SOL, $AVAX, with $LINK as the backbone. pic.twitter.com/FUAhvHEjlN

— Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) December 21, 2025

Dengan target harga dari para ahli yang berkisar antara $10.000 tahun depan hingga $20.000 pada 2026, ETH bukan lagi sekadar alternatif Bitcoin, melainkan tulang punggung ekonomi digital masa depan yang sangat menjanjikan.

Solana (SOL)

Sudah menjadi rahasia umum bahwa reli Solana (SOL) sering kali menjadi sinyal pembuka bagi pasar bullish kripto. Saat ini, $SOL menunjukkan pola bullish divergence pada timeframe 3 harian—sebuah indikator teknis di mana harga membentuk titik rendah baru namun RSI justru bergerak naik. Terakhir kali pola ini muncul pada bulan Maret lalu, harga Solana meroket tajam dari $100 hingga menyentuh $250.

$SOL 3D bullish divergence has been confirmed.

Do you think SOL bottom is in, or is there one last capitulation left? pic.twitter.com/mUIs27PYaS

— Ted (@TedPillows) December 21, 2025

Kekuatan fundamental Solana juga semakin kokoh berkat guyuran dana jutaan dolar yang masuk melalui ETF Solana spot. Minat institusi yang masif inilah yang membuat harga $SOL tetap tangguh mempertahankan level support psikologis di $124 meski sempat diguncang pasar.

Jika Solana mampu menembus dan bertahan di atas level $130, ini akan menjadi konfirmasi kuat bahwa $SOL adalah salah satu crypto terbaik untuk dibeli bagi mereka yang sebelumnya sempat ragu untuk masuk.

Selain faktor teknis, ekosistem meme crypto dan volume transaksi DEX di Solana yang sering kali melampaui Ethereum memberikan daya tarik tambahan bagi spekulan maupun investor jangka panjang. Dengan kombinasi adopsi institusi dan aktivitas jaringan yang sangat tinggi, momentum Solana saat ini sulit untuk diabaikan.

Chainlink (LINK)

Sebagai tulang punggung ekosistem DeFi, Chainlink (LINK) kembali membuktikan dirinya sebagai crypto terbaik untuk dibeli bagi mereka yang mengutamakan fundamental. Keberhasilan teknologi Oracle dan protokol CCIP miliknya bahkan telah menarik perhatian institusi besar sekelas SWIFT hingga Federal Reserve untuk integrasi lintas rantai yang aman.

Terobosan terbaru Chainlink, yaitu Automated Compliance Engine (ACE), menjadi game changer di sektor keuangan. Alat ini memungkinkan institusi raksasa seperti JPMorgan Chase memenuhi persyaratan KYC dan AML secara on-chain tanpa merusak fleksibilitas DeFi.

Dengan aset kelolaan mencapai $4 triliun, keterlibatan JPMorgan dalam mengeksplorasi tokenisasi aset melalui infrastruktur Chainlink memberikan validasi luar biasa bagi masa depan proyek ini.

Sinyal bullish juga terlihat jelas dari pergerakan uang besar. Data dari Onchain Lens baru-baru ini mendeteksi aktivitas whale yang memborong 445.775 LINK senilai $5,57 juta dari Binance.

The whale has further withdrawn 246,259 $LINK, worth $3.08M, from #Binance.

Now, the wallet holds 445,775 $LINK, valued at $5.57M.

Address: 0xf440838830cc265db72c81bfba240e5a4ceb1cc4 https://t.co/zlreuQrKWg pic.twitter.com/fACQkdCcAz

— Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens) December 21, 2025

Akumulasi masif di tengah pengembangan standar industri seperti Proof of Reserve menunjukkan bahwa para pemain besar sedang bersiap menghadapi reli panjang. Di dunia kripto yang penuh spekulasi, Chainlink menawarkan utilitas nyata yang sulit digantikan oleh proyek lain.

Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER)

Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) menjadi penutup yang menarik dalam daftar crypto terbaik untuk dibeli saat ini. Sebagai solusi Layer-2 Bitcoin yang menggunakan teknologi Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), proyek ini menawarkan kecepatan transaksi kilat dan biaya rendah tanpa mengorbankan keamanan dari jaringan Bitcoin itu sendiri.

Daya tarik utamanya adalah kemampuan menghadirkan smart contract ke ekosistem BTC, sebuah inovasi yang membuat para whale dan influencer besar mulai melirik potensinya.

Saat ini, presale crypto HYPER sedang berlangsung dengan harga $0,013465 per token dan telah berhasil mengumpulkan dana lebih dari $29,6 juta (sekitar Rp495 miliar).

Bagi Anda yang mencari pendapatan pasif, tersedia program staking dengan imbal hasil mencapai 43% APY. Mengenai prediksi harga Bitcoin Hyper, beberapa analis optimis aset ini bisa mencapai $0,20 pada akhir 2026 seiring dengan adopsi teknologi Layer-2 yang semakin masif.

Jika Anda tertarik, cara beli Bitcoin Hyper cukup mudah:

1. Kunjungi situs resmi presale Bitcoin Hyper.
2. Hubungkan dompet kripto seperti MetaMask atau Best Wallet.
3. Pilih metode pembayaran menggunakan ETH, USDT, BNB, SOL, atau kartu kredit.
4. Konfirmasi transaksi dan Anda bisa langsung melakukan staking untuk mulai mengumpulkan imbalan.

Beli Bitcoin Hyper di Sini

Disclaimer:Pendapat dan pandangan yang diungkapkan dalam postingan ini tidak selalu mencerminkan kebijakan atau posisi resmi Cryptonews. Informasi yang disediakan dalam postingan ini hanya untuk tujuan informasi dan tidak boleh dianggap sebagai nasihat keuangan, investasi, atau profesional. Cryptonews tidak mendukung produk, layanan, atau perusahaan tertentu yang disebutkan dalam postingan ini. Pembaca disarankan untuk melakukan riset mandiri dan berkonsultasi dengan profesional yang berkualifikasi sebelum mengambil keputusan keuangan apa pun. Jangan pernah menginvestasikan lebih dari yang Anda siap kehilangan.

The post Crypto Terbaik untuk Dibeli Hari Ini 22 Desember 2025 appeared first on Cryptonews Indonesia.

Ethereum continues to struggle near the $3,000 level as repeated recovery attempts lose momentum. ETH trades just below this psychological barrier, reflecting cautious sentiment. 

While investor interest is rising, on-chain activity remains muted. This imbalance is raising concerns that Ethereum’s price may be overheating without sufficient network usage to sustain gains.

Ethereum Holders Are Rising

Ethereum is recording a steady rise in new wallet creation. The network now averages about 163,000 new addresses per day. This compares with roughly 124,000 daily additions during July, previously considered a peak period for network growth.

The increase highlights strong investor curiosity around Ethereum despite weak price performance. Growing wallet creation suggests demand for exposure remains intact. However, new addresses alone do not guarantee price strength.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Macro indicators present a mixed picture. Ethereum’s network value-to-transactions ratio is rising sharply. The indicator currently sits at a 16-month high, signaling potential overheating conditions.

A high NVT ratio suggests market valuation is growing faster than transaction activity. Optimism around recovery appears to be driving interest, but real usage has yet to follow. Without increased on-chain activity, price advances risk stalling as valuation outpaces fundamentals.

ETH Price Is Yet To Find Strength To Escape

Ethereum trades near $2,986 at the time of writing, sitting just below the $3,000 resistance. This level has been tested repeatedly in recent sessions. Failure to break above it has reinforced caution among traders watching for confirmation.

ETH may continue consolidating below $3,000 or briefly breach it without holding support. If transaction activity remains weak, downside pressure could return. In that case, the $2,798 support may be tested again, reflecting unresolved macro imbalances.

Improving conditions could shift the outlook. A rise in transaction volume would help Ethereum secure $3,000 as support. Holding that level could open a path toward $3,131. A sustained break beyond this barrier would invalidate the bearish thesis and allow ETH to target $3,287, restoring confidence.

The post Ethereum Price is Overheated Due to New Holders Hitting 5-Month High appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The Santa Rally—Wall Street’s beloved year-end tradition—has found an eager audience among Chinese crypto Twitter’s most followed analysts.

Far from dismissing it as Western-market folklore, key opinion leaders in the Chinese-speaking community are treating the final trading days of 2025 as a critical signal of what lies ahead in 2026.

Santa Rally More Than Seasonal Noise

Phyrex, one of the most cited macro analysts in Chinese crypto circles, argues that the Santa Rally is not merely a statistical curiosity. “It’s more like a barometer of market risk appetite,” he wrote. “If markets manage to rise as expected from Christmas through New Year—without fresh macro catalysts—it confirms that investors are still willing to allocate to risk assets, setting the emotional foundation for next year’s pricing.”

The flip side carries weight, too. A failed rally, Phyrex warns, often signals that risk appetite has not recovered, leaving markets vulnerable to weakness or choppy trading well into January and beyond.

The analyst points to several mechanical factors that typically support year-end gains. Tax-loss harvesting wraps up by mid-December, freeing capital to rotate back into equities. Institutional desks go quiet for the holidays, thinning out volumes and allowing modest buying pressure to move indices higher. Year-end bonuses and automatic 401(k) contributions add passive bid support.

Michael Chao, a US-focused markets commentator popular on Chinese Twitter, highlighted the historical odds: since 1950, the S&P 500 has risen 75% of the time during the Santa Rally window, posting an average gain of 1.55%.

But Risks Loom Large

Not everyone is popping champagne early. Cryptojiejie noted that Bitcoin and Ethereum global volumes have shrunk to 2025 lows, calling current conditions “garbage time” for traders. She advised breakout-focused traders to step back and enjoy the holidays until liquidity returns.

Macro headwinds add to the caution. Zhou Financial wrote that the Bank of Japan’s December rate hike to 0.75% has raised concerns about the unwinding of the yen carry trade, while the Federal Reserve’s hawkish 25-basis-point rate cut—paired with a dot plot signaling only two cuts through 2026—disappointed markets that had expected more accommodation.

Phyrex framed the tension bluntly: “If the market still can’t form an effective rally under seasonal tailwinds and gradually recovering liquidity, it likely means the current high-rate environment’s pressure on the economy has already overwhelmed the sentiment boost from holiday factors.”

The 2026 Preview

For Phyrex, this year’s Santa Rally carries outsized significance. He sees it as effectively a preview of Q1 2026 expectations. The logic is straightforward: if investors refuse to bid up risk assets even when seasonal patterns, sentiment vacuums, and returning liquidity all align in their favor, something deeper may be broken.

The intense focus on Wall Street may partly reflect a lack of domestic options. Earlier this month, seven major Chinese financial industry associations issued a joint risk warning—the most comprehensive crypto crackdown since the 2021 ban that drove all exchanges out of the country.

The statement explicitly prohibited real-world asset (RWA) tokenization for the first time, alongside stablecoins, airdrops, and mining. With regulators sealing off virtually every on-ramp, Chinese crypto investors have little choice but to watch global markets from the sidelines.

As Chinese crypto Twitter watches Wall Street just as closely as anyone else, all eyes are on whether Santa shows up.

The post Chinese Crypto Twitter Reads Santa Rally as a Litmus Test for 2026 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

A massive power outage hit San Francisco on Saturday afternoon, leaving 130,000 homes and businesses without electricity. The incident forced residents to face technology’s fundamental vulnerabilities. Caused by a fire at a PG&E substation, the blackout cut off access to digital wallets and cryptocurrency exchanges for thousands of users.

The event highlights how, despite the resilience of decentralized blockchain networks, practical crypto usability still relies on local electricity and internet infrastructure.

San Francisco’s Power Crisis: Scale and Impact

The outage began at 1:09 pm, affecting about one-third of PG&E customers in San Francisco. The disruption focused on the Richmond District and spread across the city. By 11 p.m., power had been restored to roughly 95,000 customers, but nearly 18,000 remained without electricity Sunday afternoon.

The incident disrupted city transit, halted Waymo robotaxis mid-ride, and forced the closure of many restaurants and shops. The scale caught many off guard. As one observer noted on social media, nearly 30% of the city lost power overnight—no storm, no warning, no clear accountability.

Blockchain Networks Endure Local Outages

The blackout offers a timely reminder: even decentralized technologies remain tethered to centralized infrastructure.

Cryptocurrency networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum operate on distributed ledgers maintained by thousands of nodes worldwide. A regional blackout, even one affecting a major tech hub like San Francisco, does not halt the blockchain itself. Transactions continue to be validated, blocks continue to be added, and user assets remain safely recorded on-chain.

In short, your crypto doesn’t disappear when the lights go out.

However, the practical reality is less reassuring. Without electricity and internet access, affected users cannot access wallets, execute trades, or complete payments. Crypto-accepting merchants face the same limitation—no power means no point-of-sale systems.

Mining operations, which require substantial and continuous power, halt immediately during outages. If a blackout affects a region with significant hash rate concentration, network validation could slow temporarily.

For those mid-transaction when power fails, the outcome depends on timing. Unconfirmed transactions remain in the mempool and will be processed once connectivity returns. Confirmed transactions are immutable and unaffected.

Exchange Infrastructure Keeps Crypto Trading 24/7

Major crypto exchanges have developed strategies for uninterrupted trading during power disruptions. Based on industry analysis, exchanges use layered defenses, including uninterruptible power supplies (UPS), backup generators for extended outages, and redundant data centers with automatic failover protocols.

If a main facility fails, trading shifts instantly to another healthy region. Data replication between centers ensures zero data loss and maintains transaction integrity during crises.

Asset security is vital during blackouts. Most holdings are in cold storage, offline, and far from network risks. Hot wallets—used for current trading—are limited and protected by multi-signature protocols and withdrawal limits. Regular drills and continuity plans ensure exchanges continue to operate during extended failures.

The North American Electric Reliability Corporation has documented infrastructure standards for crypto operations. A white paper notes that cryptocurrency facilities require complex internal infrastructure, including UPS systems and generators, to ensure resilience.

These efforts underscore the divide between decentralized network design and the traditional infrastructure required for practical access. However, while blockchains survive regional outages, the services that connect users depend on power and connectivity investments.

The Hardware Wallet Paradox

Security-conscious holders often store assets in hardware wallets, keeping private keys offline and protected from network-based attacks. This remains sound practice. But the blackout reveals an uncomfortable truth: hardware wallets are secure, yet without power, users cannot access them either.

The device itself is safe. The assets are intact. But the owner sitting in a dark apartment cannot verify balances, sign transactions, or move funds to respond to market conditions. Security and accessibility exist in tension during infrastructure failures.

Offline seed phrase backups ensure eventual recovery, but they offer no help in the immediate crisis. For crypto to function as a reliable financial tool, users must plan for scenarios where even their most secure storage becomes temporarily unreachable.

Decentralized, But Not Independent

The San Francisco outage underscores a fundamental tension in cryptocurrency’s value proposition. Decentralization protects the network from single points of failure at the protocol level. But end-user access still depends entirely on electricity, internet connectivity, and functioning local infrastructure—the same dependencies as traditional digital payments.

Some projects are exploring alternatives. Blockstream‘s satellite network broadcasts Bitcoin blockchain data globally, enabling node synchronization without traditional internet access. Such solutions remain niche but point toward greater infrastructure independence.

What This Means for Users

The incident carries practical lessons for crypto holders. Diversified backup plans matter: mobile hotspots, portable battery packs, and knowing which local areas might retain power. When evaluating exchanges, infrastructure redundancy and disaster recovery capabilities should be considered alongside fees and token listings.

But perhaps the most honest takeaway is this: blockchain networks survive blackouts, but user access does not. Until that gap closes, crypto remains a fair-weather financial tool—resilient in theory, unreachable when it matters most.

The post San Francisco Blackout Reveals Crypto’s Dependence on Power Infrastructure appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Midnight has extended its sharp rally as strong investor demand pushed the token to a new all-time high. The project associated with Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson continues to attract attention after sustaining upside momentum. 

While NIGHT has already delivered outsized gains, technical and macro signals suggest additional upside potential remains.

Midnight Holders Are Watching A New Sunrise

Investor support for NIGHT remains firm. The Chaikin Money Flow sits in positive territory above the zero line, confirming net inflows. Although the indicator dipped slightly over the past 48 hours, capital continues entering the asset, signaling ongoing confidence rather than distribution.

Much of this demand is linked to Midnight’s association with Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano. That connection has boosted credibility and visibility.

In the short term, this narrative-driven interest is likely to keep capital rotating into NIGHT, supporting elevated price levels.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Macro conditions also favor NIGHT’s performance. The token shows a weak correlation with Bitcoin, insulating it from broader market uncertainty. This independence has allowed NIGHT to trend higher even as Bitcoin struggles to regain momentum.

Low correlation often benefits emerging assets during periods of BTC consolidation. With Bitcoin lacking a clear recovery signal, NIGHT’s ability to move on its own fundamentals remains a key advantage. This dynamic could continue supporting relative outperformance in the near term.

NIGHT Price Forms New All-Time High

Midnight price surged 42.7% over the past 24 hours, trading near $0.093 at the time of writing. The rally resulted in a new intraday all-time high of $0.096. Momentum remains strong, reflecting aggressive buying and sustained interest following the breakout.

Bullish sentiment and favorable macro conditions support further upside. If current trends persist, NIGHT could push beyond the $0.100 level. Entering the 10-cent range would mark a psychological milestone, potentially drawing additional speculative interest and reinforcing momentum.

Risks remain if holders begin taking profits. A wave of selling could pull NIGHT back toward the $0.075 support. Losing that level would weaken the bullish structure. Further downside could extend to $0.060, invalidating the current bullish thesis and increasing volatility.

The post Cardano’s Midnight Token Hits New All-Time High Amid a 50% Rally appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Bitcoin has shown mixed price action in recent sessions, marked by sharp fluctuations and tentative recovery attempts. BTC rebounded after a brief breakdown, yet momentum remains fragile. 

A key concern is weakening confidence among one of Bitcoin’s most influential cohorts, which could complicate efforts to sustain a broader price recovery.

Bitcoin Holders Witness A Dip In Gains

Bitcoin long-term holders have increased selling activity over the past several days. On-chain data shows the 30-day change in long-term holder supply has dropped to a 20-month low.

Similar levels were last recorded in April 2024, signaling elevated distribution pressure.

This behavior suggests long-term holders are reducing exposure to protect remaining gains. As unrealized profits shrink, selling accelerates to avoid losses. Such actions often weigh on price recovery, as supply increases without a matching rise in new demand.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Macro indicators provide additional context. The long-term holder net unrealized profit or loss metric has declined to a monthly low. This drop indicates profits among this group are eroding, increasing sensitivity to further downside moves.

Historically, falling LTH NUPL readings trigger defensive selling. However, once the indicator declines further, selling pressure often slows.

At those levels, long-term holders typically pause distribution, allowing Bitcoin price to stabilize and potentially recover if demand improves.

BTC Price Is Awaiting Stronger Cues

Bitcoin trades near $87,900 at the time of writing, remaining below the $88,210 resistance. The asset recently bounced after briefly slipping under the $86,247 support. This recovery shows buyers are still active at lower levels, though conviction remains cautious.

A short-term climb toward $90,308 remains possible. However, resistance near that level could cap gains. Given ongoing long-term holder selling, Bitcoin may continue consolidating near the $88,201 zone while the market absorbs excess supply.

Upside potential improves if long-term holders shift their stance. A slowdown in selling could reduce overhead pressure.

In that scenario, Bitcoin may break above $90,308 and target $92,933. Such a move would invalidate the bearish thesis and signal renewed confidence among key market participants.

The post Bitcoin Critical Holders’ Profit Crashes To Monthly Low: Will Price Further Suffer? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Posts on X (Twitter) suggest that Bitmain co-founder Micree “James” Zhan Ketuan may be facing a billion-dollar fine, alleged detention, and a complete fallout with business partner Jihan Wu.

Conflicting reports leave the crypto community scrambling to verify the details of one of the sector’s most high-profile crises.

Bitmain Co-Founders at Center of Growing Speculation and Uncertainty

Bitmain, a pioneer in Bitcoin mining hardware, controls equipment powering over 74% of the global Bitcoin hash rate. It is also responsible for chips used in AI data centers running Nvidia H100s.

The company now finds itself at the intersection of geopolitics, legal scrutiny, and internal corporate strife.

On December 21, 2025, crypto veteran Chandler Guo sparked speculation with a cryptic social media post referencing an industry colleague’s “deep-sea fishing” ordeal. The term is used to describe covert detention in China, worth several billion dollars over six months.

According to Guo, while the individual emerged safely, he had learned a hard lesson that even the biggest backers are not reliable. When they fall, their associates suffer as well.

“There’s an old friend from the crypto circle by my side who just went through an experience of being deep-sea fished. It’s said to involve several billion US dollars, and he’s been dealing with it for half a year. Fortunately, the person has already safely come out of it…He relied on his backer’s connections to strike down his opponents, but he also got bitten back by the backer’s own enemies,” wrote Guo.

Observers quickly connected Guo’s account to Zhan. Rumors circulating in crypto circles indicate fines ranging from $1 billion to $10 billion, though none have been officially confirmed.

Some reports claim Zhan paid a $1 billion penalty, while others allege he fled to Indonesia two months ago and remains missing. A Chinese community lead, popular on X, confirmed two key developments:

• Recent disruptions in Xinjiang’s mining operations and
• Escalating internal conflict between Bitmain’s co-founders.

Dual CEO System Collapses Amid Founder Conflict

Bitmain’s dual CEO structure, which allowed both Zhan and Wu to lead the company, collapsed completely in 2025. Wu, a Peking University graduate, reportedly used political connections to challenge Zhan, a Chinese Academy of Sciences alumnus who focused on chip design and production.

Their rift mirrors broader industry risks, demonstrating the dangers of intertwining business with influential backers.

This alleged internal upheaval comes as Bitmain faces mounting external pressures. While Zhan historically focused on technical operations, Wu has led strategic partnerships and business development.

The absence of either founder could leave operational gaps at a time when Bitmain remains central to Bitcoin mining worldwide. The firm is already facing a lawsuit from Old Const alleging breach of a hosting deal and attempts to reclaim mining hardware without cause.

Geopolitical Risks and Infrastructure Vulnerabilities

Beyond corporate disputes, Bitmain faces scrutiny from US authorities over potential hardware security threats. In June, Bitmain and two other firms relocated to the US to bypass new tariffs and optimize supply chains.

However, with the company’s mining infrastructure embedded in both crypto and AI data centers, national security concerns amplify the stakes.

Any compromise could ripple through global Bitcoin networks, highlighting crypto’s ongoing vulnerability to geopolitical tensions.

Recent crackdowns on Xinjiang mining farms, combined with Zhan’s alleged detention, have fueled speculation of coordinated regulatory pressure.

The crypto sector remains vigilant, as the situation could impact mining hardware markets, supply chains, and competitive dynamics.

The post Reports Spark Questions About Bitmain Leadership and Internal Disputes appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The US dollar’s global reserve share dropped to 56.32% in Q2 2025, but 92% of that decline was driven by exchange-rate effects, not central bank portfolio changes. Currency adjustments show a marginal decline to just 57.67%, indicating central banks largely maintained their USD holdings.

The International Monetary Fund’s new Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER) report provides important insights for crypto investors tracking macroeconomic trends. The data reveals that central banks kept dollar allocations steady, even amid notable currency swings during the quarter.

IMF: Central Banks Stayed Dollar-Heavy Despite Depreciation

The IMF’s COFER dataset tracks currency reserves from 149 economies in US dollars. In Q2 2025, major currency movements gave the impression of large portfolio reallocations.

According to the report, the DXY index declined by more than 10% in the first half of 2025, its biggest drop since 1973.

The US dollar declined 7.9% against the euro and 9.6% against the Swiss franc in Q2. These swings lowered the USD reserve share from 57.79% to 56.32%. However, this reduction reflected exchange-rate effects rather than active reallocation.

Adjusted for constant exchange rates, the dollar’s reserve share edged down only 0.12% to 57.67%. This indicates that central banks made minimal changes to their dollar reserves during the quarter, challenging stories of global dedollarization.

Similarly, the euro’s reserve share appeared to rise to 21.13%, an increase of 1.13 points. Yet, this was also driven entirely by currency valuations.

At constant exchange rates, the euro’s share declined slightly by 0.04 points, showing central banks actually trimmed euro holdings.

What This Means for Bitcoin and Altcoins

This analysis offers muted macro signals for Bitcoin and other digital assets marketed as hedges against US dollar weakness. Central banks did not diversify away from the dollar even as the currency depreciated significantly.

Dedollarization trends are often highlighted as possible drivers of institutional adoption of crypto. However, the COFER data, once adjusted for exchange rates, suggest that these trends can be misleading without proper context.

The British pound also saw its reserve share appear to grow in Q2, but this was another valuation effect covering up a real decrease in holdings. These findings demonstrate why investors should look beyond headline numbers to understand the actual shifts in liquidity.

The IMF’s study provides investors a more accurate view of monetary policy during volatile markets. By distinguishing between true policy moves and temporary valuation changes, crypto investors can better evaluate global macro trends.

Central Bank Reserve Strategies and Outlook

Dollar holdings remained stable in Q2 2025, showing central banks still rely on traditional currencies even as digital alternatives gain attention. The IMF emphasized that exchange-rate adjustments are crucial for understanding reserve shifts accurately.

The US dollar’s share of global foreign reserves held steady in Q2, after adjustment for currency fluctuations. Exchange-rate effects drove nearly all the decline in the US currency’s share of reserves. Our blog has the details. https://t.co/XtaRfBIbqL pic.twitter.com/fXcUkRkg7U

— IMF (@IMFNews) December 21, 2025

Central banks prioritize liquidity, returns, and risk when managing reserves. The dollar’s strong position is linked to deep markets, high transaction utility, and established systems. These aspects are still hurdles for digital assets to overcome.

The IMF’s methodology reveals how currency changes can distort reserve data. In Q2, nearly all reported shifts in major currencies resulted from valuation swings, not actual portfolio rebalancing. Central banks maintained a careful stance during the market’s turbulence.

These findings help clarify global trends shaping crypto markets. Investors interested in dedollarization as a Bitcoin catalyst should rely on exchange-rate-adjusted numbers.

The post IMF Q2 2025 COFER Data Weakens Dedollarization Narratives Cited as Bullish Catalysts for Bitcoin appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Bitcoin’s price may still dominate headlines, but among analysts and institutional strategists, attention is quietly shifting elsewhere.

Instead of debating whether Bitcoin can reclaim upside momentum in the near term, market observers are increasingly focused on a deeper question: whether the structural signals that once reliably guided Bitcoin’s four-year cycle are beginning to fracture.

Analysts Are No Longer Looking at Bitcoin Price As Demand Signals Quietly Deteriorate

The shift comes on the backdrop of fading demand indicators, rising exchange flows, and a growing divide between analysts.

On the one hand, some believe Bitcoin is entering a traditional post-peak correction. On the other hand, others argue that the pioneer crypto may be breaking free from its historical cycle altogether.

Analyst Daan Crypto Trades argues that recent price behavior has already challenged one of Bitcoin’s most dependable seasonal assumptions.

“BTC Looking ahead, Q1 is generally a good quarter for Bitcoin, but so was Q4, and that one didn’t quite work out this time. No doubt 2025 has been a very messy year. Massive inflows and treasury accumulation, which were matched by big OG whales and 4-year cycle selling. Q1 2026 is where Bitcoin has a chance to show whether the 4-year cycle persists or not,” he wrote.

Rather than signaling a definitive breakdown, the underperformance suggests friction. ETF inflows and corporate accumulation are being absorbed by long-term holder distribution, muting the impact those inflows once had on BTC price.

That structural tension is also visible in US spot market data. According to Kyle Doops, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium, often used as a proxy for US institutional demand, has remained negative for an extended period.

The Coinbase $BTC premium has stayed negative for 7 straight days, now around -0.04% per Coinglass.

That usually signals U.S. spot demand is lagging the rest of the market.

Less aggressive institutional buying, softer risk appetite, and capital staying cautious.

Not panic, but… pic.twitter.com/HtjNSorO1I

— Kyledoops (@kyledoops) December 21, 2025

The message is not capitulation, but hesitation, which means capital is present, yet unwilling to chase.

Exchange Flows Point to Distribution, Not Accumulation

On-chain data highlights the need for cautious interpretation, as Bitcoin exchange inflows surge to levels historically associated with late-cycle behavior.

“Monthly exchange flows have surged to $10.9 billion, the highest since May 2021. High exchange flows like this signify increased selling pressure, as investors move assets onto exchanges to liquidate positions, take profits, or hedge against downturns. This is further evidence of a market top and the start of a bear market amid heightened volatility,” said analyst Jacob King.

Historically, similar spikes have coincided with profit-taking phases rather than early accumulation periods.

If History Holds, Cycle Math Still Points Lower with Institutions Split but Disciplined

On-chain analyst Ali Charts argues that despite structural changes, Bitcoin’s timing symmetry remains striking.

“Bitcoin’s price cycles have followed a strikingly consistent pattern, both in timing and magnitude. Historically, it takes around 1,064 days from the market bottom to the market top, and about 364 days from the top back to the next bottom,” he wrote, outlining how previous cycles adhered closely to that rhythm.

If that pattern persists, the analyst suggests that the market may now be inside its corrective window. Historical retracements imply further downside before a durable reset.

At the institutional level, views are diverging without turning chaotic. Fundstrat’s Head of Crypto Strategy Sean Farrell acknowledged near-term pressures while maintaining a longer-term bullish framework.

“Bitcoin is currently in a valuation ‘no man’s land’,” Farrell said, citing ETF redemptions, selling by original holders, miner pressure, and macro uncertainty. Still, he added, “I still expect Bitcoin and Ethereum to challenge new all-time highs before the end of the year, thereby ending the traditional four-year cycle with a shorter, smaller bear market.”

The Cycle Debate Is Now Institutional

That possibility is echoed by Tom Lee, whose view has been amplified across crypto commentary, suggesting that Bitcoin will soon break its 4-year cycle.

TOM LEE THINKS BITCOIN WILL BREAK THE 4-YEAR CYCLE SOON! pic.twitter.com/eWZdW7xkgW

— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) December 21, 2025

Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer takes the opposite stance. According to Lark Davis, Timmer believes Bitcoin’s October peak marked both a price and time top, with “2026… a down year” and support forming in the $65,000–$75,000 range.

"The bear market is here and Bitcoin is heading down to $65,000"

That's what Fidelity's director of global macro Jurrien Timmer thinks.

While Jurrien is bullish on $BTC in the long term, he believes that Bitcoin is once again following its historical 4-year cycle driven by its… pic.twitter.com/KFPcBWTcZP

— Lark Davis (@LarkDavis) December 21, 2025

Together, these perspectives show why analysts are no longer fixated solely on Bitcoin price. The pioneer crypto’s next move may not decide who was bullish or bearish, but whether the framework that has defined its market for over a decade still applies at all.

The post Analysts Look Beyond Bitcoin’s Price As Tom Lee Flags a Structural Shift appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Michael Saylor is signaling another aggressive Bitcoin accumulation for Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy).

This signals that the firm is down on its high-stakes treasury strategy even as its MSTR stock falters.

Why Saylor is Teasing a New Bitcoin Buy for Strategy

On December 21, Saylor posted a cryptic image to X captioned “Green Dots ₿eget Orange Dots,” referencing the company’s “SaylorTracker” portfolio visualization.

Green Dots ₿eget Orange Dots. pic.twitter.com/aLdvPe4YuG

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) December 21, 2025

The post continues a year-long pattern Saylor has used to hint at a new BTC purchase. Notably, such a weekend teaser is usually followed by a Monday morning SEC filing confirming a significant acquisition.

Meanwhile, a new purchase would add to an already staggering hoard.

As of press time, Strategy held 671,268 BTC—valued at roughly $50.3 billion—representing 3.2% of the total Bitcoin supply.

However, the market has punished the stock in 2025. MSTR shares have collapsed 43% year-to-date to trade around $165, mirroring Bitcoin’s 30% retreat from its October peak of $126,000.

While the company touts a “BTC Yield” of 24.9%—a proprietary metric measuring the accretion of Bitcoin per share—institutional investors are increasingly focused on the looming external risks rather than internal yield metrics.

However, the most immediate threat to Saylor’s strategy is not Bitcoin’s price, but a potential regulatory reclassification.

MSCI is considering removing Strategy Inc. from its global indices during its February review. The index provider has flagged concerns that the firm now functions more like an investment vehicle than an operating company.

Market analysts have pointed out that the financial implications of such a move are severe.

JPMorgan estimates that an exclusion would trigger approximately $11.6 billion in forced selling as passive ETFs and index-tracking funds liquidate their MSTR positions.

This mechanical selling pressure could decouple the stock from its Bitcoin holdings, creating a liquidity spiral.

In response, Strategy has launched a vigorous defense.

The firm called the MSCI proposal “arbitrary, discriminatory, and unworkable,” arguing that it unfairly targets digital asset companies while ignoring other holding-heavy conglomerates.

“The proposal improperly injects policy considerations into indexing. The proposal conflicts with U.S. policy and would stifle innovation,” it argued.

So, Saylor’s potential new purchase serves a dual purpose: it lowers the company’s average cost basis during a market correction, but more importantly, it signals to the market that despite the MSCI threat and the stock’s poor performance, the “all-in” strategy remains unchanged.

The post MicroStrategy’s Saylor Signals Imminent Bitcoin Buy Amid MSTR Stock YTD Decline appeared first on BeInCrypto.

BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) is set to close 2025 as a top-tier force in the US financial landscape. The fund achieved a rare feat in asset management by raising billions of dollars while losing money for its investors.

Data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence confirms that IBIT secured the sixth spot on the US ETF leaderboard by net inflows.

Institutional ‘Dip Buying’ Drives $25 Billion into IBIT Despite Negative Returns

The fund attracted $25.4 billion in fresh capital throughout the year, outpacing traditional heavyweights such as the Invesco QQQ Trust and the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD).

This capital flood occurred despite a stark divergence in asset performance.

$IBIT is the only ETF on the 2025 Flow Leaderboard with a negative return for the year. CT's knee-jerk reaction is to whine about the return but the real takeaway is that is was 6th place DESPITE the negative return (Boomers putting on a HODL clinic). Even took in more than $GLD… pic.twitter.com/68uq3HFRuO

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) December 19, 2025

While gold surged nearly 65% in 2025—driven by central bank buying and geopolitical hedging—IBIT posted a year-to-date loss of 9.59%.

The fund’s performance suffered as Bitcoin retreated approximately 30% from its October record high of $126,173, trading near $88,000.

Typically, negative returns trigger capital flight.

However, IBIT’s ability to attract $25 billion during a correction signals a fundamental shift in investor behavior. It shows that institutional allocators are systematically buying the dip rather than panic-selling volatility.

Considering this, Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas characterized the inflows as a definitive bullish signal for the asset’s long-term trajectory.

“IBIT is the only ETF on the 2025 Flow Leaderboard with a negative return for the year,” Balchunas stated.

Meanwhile, James Thorne, Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus, argues that these flows validate the “financialization” of Bitcoin.

According to him, the digital asset now behaves less like a speculative tech stock and more like a mature macro commodity.

“Watching how Bitcoin now trades, the market microstructure and narrative management increasingly resemble the way gold behaved for decades under heavy institutional influence, with price action reflecting not just fundamental demand, but also positioning, product design, and the preferences of large financial intermediaries,” he added.

For the broader market, BlackRock IBIT’s 2025 performance proves that the Bitcoin ETF is not a fad. It has successfully entrenched itself in institutional portfolios, flipping gold as the preferred “alternative” allocation even when the precious metal vastly outperforms on price.

As the year ends with Bitcoin trading at a discount to its highs, the smart money is betting that the infrastructure BlackRock built will drive the next leg up.

The post BlackRock’s IBIT Defies Bitcoin Slump to Beat Gold in 2025 ETF Flows appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Pi Coin has faced renewed selling pressure after its recent decline pushed the price below the $0.200 level. The drop reflected weak market confidence and broader hesitation among investors. 

However, recent activity suggests holders are actively attempting to reverse the trend and stabilize Pi Coin’s price action.

Pi Coin Holders Change Their Stance

Momentum indicators point to a shift in sentiment. The moving average convergence divergence is forming a bullish crossover. The MACD line has crossed above the signal line, indicating strengthening upside momentum after an extended corrective phase.

This crossover ends a nearly 20-day stretch of bearish momentum. Such signals often precede short-term recoveries when supported by capital inflows.

For Pi Coin, this development suggests buyers are regaining control and attempting to rebuild confidence at current levels.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Macro indicators reinforce the improving outlook. The Chaikin Money Flow shows a clear change in capital behavior. Outflows observed earlier this month have flipped into inflows during the past 24 hours.

The CMF has moved above the zero line, confirming net buying activity. This shift highlights growing conviction among Pi Coin holders. Sustained inflows are essential for recovery, as price advances rely on consistent demand rather than short-lived speculative interest.

PI Price at a Critical Juncture

Pi Coin trades near $0.207 at the time of writing, sitting just below the $0.213 resistance. This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. The overlap increases its technical importance for defining near-term direction.

Reclaiming $0.213 as support would strengthen the recovery structure. In an uptrend, holding this Fibonacci level often signals continuation. Supported by improving momentum and inflows, Pi Coin could advance toward $0.224, with scope for further gains if buying pressure persists.

Downside risks remain if sentiment shifts again. Renewed selling could push Pi Coin below $0.207. A breakdown may expose $0.199 as initial support, followed by $0.188. Losing these levels would invalidate the bullish thesis and reinforce downside vulnerability.

The post Pi Coin Price Analysis: Claiming This Fibonacci Level Is the Key To Recovery appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Tether is pushing beyond its role as a backend stablecoin issuer and moving directly to the end user.

On December 20, Paolo Ardoino, the firm’s CEO, disclosed that he was hiring a Lead Software Engineer to build a self-custodial mobile wallet that integrates the company’s massive liquidity with its nascent artificial intelligence division.

Tether’s Planned Mobile Crypto Wallet

The recruitment posting offers the most specific look yet at Tether’s consumer strategy.

Ardoino envisions a “100% self-custodial” mobile application designed to serve as a fortress for a strict asset basket.

Unlike general-purpose wallets that support thousands of speculative tokens, Tether’s product will support only four assets. These include Bitcoin (BTC) via the Lightning Network, Tether (USDT), the gold-pegged XAUT, and USAT, the firm’s new US-compliant stablecoin.

Imagine a wallet that supports only BTC (also via LN), USDT, USAT, XAUT.
And will have local private AI integration via QVAC. https://t.co/BCyqjob1Sh

— Paolo Ardoino 🤖 (@paoloardoino) December 20, 2025

This restricted asset list signals a clear strategic intent. Tether is building a “hard money” payment rail, ignoring the broader decentralized finance (DeFi) casino in favor of pure payments and store-of-value assets.

Meanwhile, the announcement confirms the wallet will be powered by two proprietary technologies, including the Wallet Development Kit (WDK) and QVAC.

While WDK handles the non-custodial financial architecture, the integration of QVAC (Tether’s local AI computing platform) is the key differentiator.

Ardoino detailed a vision in which the wallet features a “local private AI integration,” allowing users to run advanced automated tasks directly on their devices.

By processing data locally with QVAC rather than routing it to the cloud, Tether aims to deliver the functionality of an AI-powered financial assistant.

The approach is designed to avoid the privacy trade-offs typically associated with Big Tech platforms.

Moreover, the move underscores Tether’s shift from an infrastructure provider to a consumer-facing tech giant. It builds on last week’s launch of PearPass, a peer-to-peer password manager designed to eliminate reliance on cloud storage.

Indeed, these product lines demonstrate that the company is aggressively verticalizing its stack.

Tether would control the wallet interface, the underlying stablecoins USDT and USAT, the security layer via PearPass, and the intelligence stack via QVAC.

This structure reduces reliance on third-party platforms and strengthens the company’s operational autonomy.

The post Tether Hiring Push Reveals Plans for AI-Integrated Self-Custodial Crypto Wallet appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Ethereum masih kesulitan menembus level US$3.000 karena upaya rebound yang berulang kali justru kehilangan momentum. ETH diperdagangkan sedikit di bawah batas psikologis ini, mencerminkan sentimen yang hati-hati.

Meskipun minat investor semakin meningkat, aktivitas on-chain tetap lesu. Ketidakseimbangan ini menimbulkan kekhawatiran bahwa harga Ethereum bisa “overheating” tanpa penggunaan jaringan yang cukup untuk menopang kenaikan tersebut.

Holder Ethereum Meningkat

Pembuatan wallet baru di Ethereum terus meningkat secara stabil. Saat ini, jaringan mencatat rata-rata sekitar 163.000 alamat baru setiap hari. Jumlah ini lebih tinggi dibandingkan rata-rata sekitar 124.000 alamat baru per hari pada bulan Juli, yang sebelumnya dianggap sebagai periode puncak pertumbuhan jaringan.

Pertumbuhan ini menyoroti tingginya rasa penasaran investor terhadap Ethereum meski performa harga masih lemah. Semakin banyak wallet baru menandakan permintaan untuk eksposur masih tetap ada. Namun, jumlah alamat baru saja tidak bisa menjamin kekuatan harga.

Ingin mendapatkan insight token seperti ini? Daftar Newsletter Harian Kripto Editor Harsh Notariya di sini.

Indikator makro memperlihatkan gambaran yang campur aduk. Rasio value-to-transactions di jaringan Ethereum melonjak tajam. Saat ini, indikator tersebut berada di level tertinggi dalam 16 bulan terakhir, yang mengindikasikan potensi kondisi “overheating”.

NVT ratio yang tinggi menandakan valuasi pasar tumbuh lebih cepat daripada aktivitas transaksi. Optimisme terhadap pemulihan nampaknya jadi pemicu minat, namun pemakaian nyata belum mengikuti. Tanpa kenaikan aktivitas on-chain, kenaikan harga rawan terhenti karena valuasi melampaui fundamental.

Harga ETH Belum Kuat untuk Breakout

Pada waktu publikasi, Ethereum diperdagangkan di level sekitar US$2.986, berada sedikit di bawah resistance US$3.000. Level ini sudah beberapa kali diuji dalam beberapa sesi terakhir. Kegagalan menembus ke atas memperkuat sikap hati-hati dari para trader yang menantikan konfirmasi.

ETH mungkin tetap berkonsolidasi di bawah US$3.000 atau sempat menembusnya tapi gagal mempertahankan support. Jika aktivitas transaksi tetap lemah, tekanan jual bisa muncul lagi. Dalam skenario tersebut, support di US$2.798 mungkin kembali diuji, mencerminkan adanya ketidakseimbangan ekonomi makro yang belum terselesaikan.

Kondisi yang membaik bisa mengubah proyeksi. Peningkatan volume transaksi dapat membantu Ethereum mengamankan level US$3.000 sebagai support baru. Jika ETH mampu bertahan di atas level itu, peluang menuju US$3.131 bisa terbuka. Breakout yang bertahan di atas penghalang ini akan membatalkan skenario bearish dan membebaskan ETH untuk menargetkan US$3.287, sehingga kepercayaan investor bisa pulih.

Santa Rally—tradisi akhir tahun favorit di Wall Street—kini menarik perhatian besar di kalangan analis aset kripto Cina yang paling banyak diikuti di Twitter.

Alih-alih menganggap ini hanya sebagai cerita pasar Barat, para pemimpin opini di komunitas berbahasa Mandarin menganggap hari-hari perdagangan terakhir tahun 2025 sebagai sinyal penting untuk apa yang akan terjadi di 2026.

Santa rally lebih dari sekadar tren musiman

Phyrex, salah satu analis ekonomi makro paling populer di komunitas aset kripto Cina, menyebut bahwa Santa Rally bukan hanya sekadar fenomena statistik. “Ini lebih seperti barometer selera risiko pasar,” tulisnya. “Jika pasar bisa naik sesuai harapan dari Natal hingga Tahun Baru—tanpa ada pemicu ekonomi makro baru—itu mengonfirmasi bahwa investor masih ingin menempatkan dana pada aset berisiko, sehingga membuat dasar emosional untuk harga di tahun depan,” terang Phyrex.

Sebaliknya, ada dampak besar juga jika reli gagal terjadi. Phyrex memperingatkan bahwa kegagalan reli sering menandakan selera risiko belum pulih, sehingga pasar akan tetap lemah atau bergerak tidak menentu hingga Januari dan bahkan lebih lama.

Analis ini juga menyoroti beberapa faktor teknis yang biasanya mendukung kenaikan harga di akhir tahun. Penjualan rugi pajak (tax-loss harvesting) biasanya selesai sebelum pertengahan Desember, sehingga modal bisa kembali masuk ke saham. Meja institusional biasanya sepi saat liburan, volume perdagangan jadi tipis, sehingga tekanan beli ringan saja sudah cukup menaikkan indeks. Selain itu, bonus akhir tahun dan kontribusi otomatis 401(k) menambah dukungan beli secara pasif.

Michael Chao, komentator pasar Amerika Serikat yang juga populer di Twitter Cina, menyoroti data sejarah: sejak 1950, S&P 500 naik 75% selama periode Santa Rally, dengan rata-rata kenaikan 1,55%.

Namun risiko besar masih mengintai

Tidak semua orang langsung berpesta. Cryptojiejie menyebut bahwa volume perdagangan Bitcoin dan Ethereum dunia telah turun ke titik terendah tahun 2025, dan dia menyebut situasi saat ini sebagai “waktu sampah” bagi para trader. Ia menyarankan trader yang suka breakout untuk istirahat dan menikmati liburan sampai likuiditas kembali.

Faktor ekonomi makro juga bikin waspada. Zhou Financial menulis bahwa kenaikan suku bunga Bank of Japan bulan Desember ke 0,75% menimbulkan kekhawatiran tentang pembalikan arus carry trade yen, sedangkan kebijakan Federal Reserve yang tetap hawkish dengan pemotongan suku bunga 25 basis poin—ditambah proyeksi hanya dua kali pemotongan hingga 2026—membuat pasar kecewa karena berharap stimulus lebih banyak.

Phyrex pun memberi penekanan dengan jelas: “Jika pasar tetap tidak bisa menciptakan reli yang efektif di tengah dukungan musiman dan likuiditas yang mulai pulih, kemungkinan besar tekanan ekonomi akibat suku bunga tinggi sudah mengalahkan pengaruh sentimen liburan,” papar Phyrex.

Pratinjau 2026

Bagi Phyrex, Santa Rally tahun ini maknanya sangat penting. Ia melihat ini sebagai gambaran awal ekspektasi Q1 2026. Logikanya sederhana: jika investor tetap enggan membeli aset risiko padahal ada faktor musiman, sentimen liburan, dan likuiditas kembali, berarti mungkin ada masalah yang lebih besar di pasar.

Fokus besar pada Wall Street juga terjadi karena Cina minim pilihan domestik. Awal bulan ini, tujuh asosiasi industri keuangan besar Cina mengeluarkan peringatan risiko bersama—yang paling komprehensif sejak larangan tahun 2021 yang membuat semua exchange keluar dari negara itu.

Pernyataan itu secara tegas melarang tokenisasi real-world asset (RWA) untuk pertama kalinya, bersamaan dengan stablecoin, airdrop, dan mining. Karena regulator menutup hampir semua jalur masuk, investor aset kripto di Cina kini hanya bisa memantau pasar global dari pinggir lapangan.

Ketika komunitas Twitter aset kripto Cina memantau Wall Street sama ketatnya dengan yang lain, semua mata kini menanti apakah Santa benar-benar akan datang.

Pemadaman listrik besar-besaran melanda San Francisco pada Sabtu sore, menyebabkan 130.000 rumah dan bisnis kehilangan listrik. Kejadian ini memaksa warga menghadapi kerentanan mendasar dari teknologi. Api di gardu induk PG&E menjadi penyebab padamnya listrik tersebut, sehingga ribuan pengguna tidak bisa mengakses dompet digital dan exchange aset kripto.

Kejadian ini menunjukkan bahwa, meskipun jaringan blockchain terdesentralisasi sangat tangguh, penggunaan kripto secara praktis tetap bergantung pada infrastruktur listrik dan internet lokal.

Krisis Listrik di San Francisco: Skala dan Dampaknya

Pemadaman mulai terjadi pada pukul 13.09, dan berdampak pada sekitar sepertiga pelanggan PG&E di San Francisco. Gangguan ini berpusat di Richmond District dan menyebar ke seluruh kota. Pada jam 11 malam, listrik sudah menyala kembali untuk sekitar 95.000 pelanggan, tapi hampir 18.000 masih belum mendapat listrik pada Minggu sore.

Insiden ini mengacaukan transportasi kota, menghentikan robotaxi Waymo di tengah perjalanan, serta memaksa banyak restoran dan toko tutup. Banyak orang tidak menduga skalanya akan sebesar ini. Seorang pengamat berkata di media sosial, hampir 30% kota kehilangan listrik dalam semalam—tidak ada badai, tidak ada peringatan, juga tidak ada pertanggungjawaban yang jelas.

Jaringan Blockchain Mengalami Gangguan Lokal

Pemadaman ini menjadi pengingat tepat waktu: bahkan teknologi terdesentralisasi tetap terikat pada infrastruktur terpusat.

Jaringan aset kripto seperti Bitcoin dan Ethereum berjalan di atas distributed ledger yang dikelola oleh ribuan node di seluruh dunia. Pemadaman di satu daerah, meski terjadi di pusat teknologi besar seperti San Francisco, tidak menghentikan blockchain itu sendiri. Transaksi tetap divalidasi, blok baru tetap ditambahkan, dan aset pengguna tetap tercatat aman di on-chain.

Singkatnya, kripto Anda tidak menghilang saat listrik padam.

Tapi dalam kenyataan, situasinya tidak begitu melegakan. Tanpa listrik dan akses internet, pengguna yang terdampak tidak bisa membuka wallet, melakukan trading, atau menyelesaikan pembayaran. Merchant yang menerima aset kripto juga menghadapi hambatan yang sama—tidak ada listrik artinya tidak ada sistem point-of-sale.

Operasi mining, yang membutuhkan daya besar dan terus-menerus, langsung berhenti begitu listrik padam. Jika pemadaman terjadi di daerah dengan konsentrasi hash rate tinggi, validasi transaksi di network bisa melambat sementara waktu.

Bagi mereka yang sedang melakukan transaksi saat listrik tiba-tiba padam, hasilnya tergantung pada waktu. Transaksi yang belum terkonfirmasi tetap berada di mempool dan akan diproses setelah koneksi kembali normal. Transaksi yang sudah terkonfirmasi bersifat tetap dan tidak terpengaruh apa pun.

Infrastruktur exchange menjaga perdagangan aset kripto tetap 24/7

Exchange aset kripto besar telah menyiapkan strategi agar trading tetap berjalan saat terjadi pemadaman listrik. Berdasarkan analisis industri, exchange memakai pertahanan berlapis, termasuk uninterruptible power supplies (UPS), generator cadangan untuk pemadaman jangka panjang, dan data center cadangan yang menggunakan protokol failover otomatis.

Jika fasilitas utama gagal, operasi trading langsung beralih ke wilayah lain yang masih normal. Replikasi data antara pusat data memastikan tidak ada data yang hilang dan integritas transaksi tetap terjaga selama krisis.

Keamanan aset jadi sangat penting saat terjadi pemadaman. Mayoritas dana disimpan dalam cold storage, offline, jadi terlindung dari risiko jaringan. Hot wallet—untuk trading harian—jumlahnya terbatas dan diamankan dengan protokol multi-signature serta batas withdrawal. Latihan rutin dan rencana kontinuitas bisnis memastikan exchange tetap beroperasi saat pemadaman berkepanjangan terjadi.

North American Electric Reliability Corporation sudah mendokumentasikan standar infrastruktur untuk operasional kripto. Sebuah white paper menyebutkan bahwa fasilitas kripto butuh infrastruktur internal yang rumit, termasuk sistem UPS dan generator, demi menjaga ketahanan sistem.

Semua upaya ini menegaskan adanya jarak antara desain jaringan terdesentralisasi dan infrastruktur tradisional yang dibutuhkan untuk kemudahan akses. Tapi meski blockchain bisa tetap hidup saat pemadaman skala daerah, layanan yang menghubungkan pengguna sangat bergantung pada investasi listrik dan konektivitas.

Paradoks Hardware Wallet

Holder yang peduli keamanan sering menyimpan aset di hardware wallet, menjaga private key tetap offline dan terlindung dari serangan berbasis jaringan. Cara ini memang tepat. Tapi, pemadaman listrik justru membuka fakta yang agak pahit: hardware wallet memang aman, tapi tanpa listrik, pengguna juga tetap tidak bisa mengaksesnya.

Perangkatnya sendiri tetap aman. Asetnya tidak berubah. Tapi pemilik dompet yang duduk di apartemen gelap tidak bisa cek saldo, menandatangani transaksi, maupun mengirim dana untuk menyesuaikan kondisi pasar. Keamanan dan kemudahan akses saling berbenturan saat terjadi kegagalan infrastruktur.

Cadangan seed phrase offline memang memastikan pemulihan dalam jangka panjang, tapi tidak memberi solusi segera saat krisis. Agar kripto bisa menjadi alat keuangan yang benar-benar andal, pengguna harus menyiapkan rencana jika bahkan penyimpanan teraman mereka jadi tak terjangkau untuk sementara.

Decentralized, tapi Tidak Independen

Pemadaman San Francisco menyoroti ketegangan mendasar dalam proposisi nilai aset kripto. Desentralisasi memang melindungi network dari satu titik gagal di tingkat protokol. tapi akses pengguna sepenuhnya masih harus mengandalkan listrik, koneksi internet, dan infrastruktur lokal yang berfungsi—ketergantungan yang sama dengan pembayaran digital tradisional.

Beberapa proyek mencoba mencari jalan alternatif. Blockstream dengan jaringan satelitnya menyiarkan data blockchain Bitcoin ke seluruh dunia, sehingga node bisa sinkron tanpa internet konvensional. Solusi seperti ini memang masih khusus, tapi menunjukkan upaya menuju kemandirian infrastruktur yang lebih baik.

Apa Artinya Ini untuk Pengguna

Kejadian ini menyimpan pelajaran praktis bagi para holder kripto. Rencana cadangan yang beragam sangat penting: seperti hotspot seluler, powerbank portabel, dan mengetahui area mana di sekitar yang mungkin masih punya arus listrik. Saat memilih exchange, daya tahan infrastruktur dan kemampuan pemulihan bencana penting dipertimbangkan selain soal biaya dan daftar token.

Mungkin kesimpulan paling jujur seperti ini: jaringan blockchain bisa selamat dari pemadaman, tapi akses pengguna tidak. Sampai jarak itu teratasi, kripto tetap jadi alat keuangan musiman—kuat secara teori, tapi sulit diakses justru saat paling dibutuhkan.

Midnight kembali mencatat reli tajam karena permintaan investor yang kuat mendorong token ini ke rekor tertinggi baru sepanjang masa. Proyek yang terhubung dengan pendiri Cardano, Charles Hoskinson, terus menarik perhatian setelah mempertahankan momentum kenaikan.

Walaupun NIGHT sudah memberikan keuntungan signifikan, sinyal teknikal dan makro menunjukkan potensi kenaikan lebih lanjut masih ada.

Para Holder Midnight Sedang Menyaksikan Matahari Terbit Baru

Dukungan investor terhadap NIGHT tetap kuat. Chaikin Money Flow berada di wilayah positif di atas garis nol, mengonfirmasi adanya arus masuk bersih. Walau indikator ini sedikit turun dalam 48 jam terakhir, modal masih terus masuk ke aset ini, menandakan kepercayaan masih bertahan dan bukan distribusi.

Kebanyakan permintaan ini berhubungan dengan kaitan Midnight dengan Charles Hoskinson, pendiri Cardano. Koneksi tersebut menambah kredibilitas dan visibilitas proyek ini.

Dalam jangka pendek, minat yang didorong narasi seperti ini nampaknya akan menjaga arus modal terus masuk ke NIGHT, sehingga harga tetap tinggi.

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Kondisi makro juga mendukung performa NIGHT. Token ini menunjukkan korelasi yang lemah dengan Bitcoin, sehingga tidak terpengaruh oleh ketidakpastian pasar secara umum. Independen ini membuat NIGHT bisa terus naik walaupun Bitcoin sedang kesulitan mendapat momentum.

Korelasi rendah seringkali menguntungkan aset-aset baru di periode konsolidasi BTC. Saat Bitcoin belum memberikan sinyal pemulihan jelas, kemampuan NIGHT untuk bergerak berdasar fundamentalnya sendiri menjadi keunggulan utama. Dinamika ini kemungkinan masih mendukung keunggulan kinerja relatif dalam waktu dekat.

Harga NIGHT capai all-time high baru

Harga Midnight melonjak 42,7% dalam 24 jam terakhir dan diperdagangkan di sekitar US$0,093 pada waktu publikasi. Reli ini membawa NIGHT ke harga tertinggi intraday baru di US$0,096. Momentum masih kuat, menunjukkan pembelian agresif dan minat yang berlanjut setelah breakout.

Sentimen bullish dan kondisi makro yang positif berpotensi mendorong kenaikan lebih tinggi. Jika tren saat ini berlanjut, NIGHT bisa menembus level US$0,100. Masuk ke rentang 10 sen akan menjadi tonggak psikologis, yang bisa meningkatkan minat spekulatif dan memperkuat momentum.

Risiko tetap ada jika para holder mulai mengambil keuntungan. Gelombang aksi jual bisa mendorong NIGHT turun ke area support US$0,075. Jika level ini hilang, struktur bullish akan melemah. Penurunan lebih jauh bahkan bisa membawa NIGHT ke US$0,060, yang akan membatalkan skenario bullish saat ini dan meningkatkan volatilitas.

Bitcoin menunjukkan aksi harga yang bervariasi dalam beberapa sesi terakhir, ditandai oleh fluktuasi tajam dan upaya pemulihan yang masih hati-hati. BTC sempat bangkit setelah jatuh singkat, tapi momentumnya tetap rapuh.

Satu perhatian utama adalah keyakinan yang melemah di antara salah satu kelompok paling berpengaruh di ekosistem Bitcoin, yang bisa membuat pemulihan harga secara luas menjadi lebih rumit untuk dipertahankan.

Holder Bitcoin Mengalami Penurunan Keuntungan

Holder jangka panjang Bitcoin telah meningkatkan aktivitas jual dalam beberapa hari terakhir. Data on-chain menunjukkan perubahan pasokan holder jangka panjang selama 30 hari terakhir turun ke level terendah dalam 20 bulan.

Level serupa terakhir tercatat pada April 2024, menandakan tekanan distribusi yang meningkat.

Perilaku ini menunjukkan bahwa holder jangka panjang mengurangi eksposur untuk melindungi keuntungan yang masih ada. Seiring dengan semakin kecilnya keuntungan yang belum direalisasi, aksi jual semakin cepat untuk menghindari kerugian. Tindakan seperti ini sering membebani proses pemulihan harga, karena pasokan bertambah tanpa diiringi kenaikan permintaan baru.

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Indikator makro memberikan gambaran tambahan. Metrik keuntungan atau kerugian yang belum direalisasikan holder jangka panjang telah turun ke level bulanan terendah. Penurunan ini menunjukkan keuntungan di kelompok ini semakin menipis, sehingga lebih sensitif terhadap pergerakan turun berikutnya.

Secara historis, penurunan pembacaan NUPL holder jangka panjang memicu aksi jual defensif. Tapi ketika indikator ini turun lebih jauh, tekanan jual biasanya mulai berkurang.

Pada level tersebut, holder jangka panjang biasanya menghentikan distribusi dan membiarkan harga Bitcoin stabil bahkan bisa pulih jika permintaan meningkat.

Harga BTC sedang menunggu sinyal yang lebih kuat

Pada waktu publikasi, Bitcoin diperdagangkan di kisaran US$87.900, tetap berada di bawah resistance US$88.210. Aset ini baru saja melonjak setelah sempat turun di bawah support US$86.247. Pemulihan ini menandakan pembeli masih ada di level harga lebih rendah, meski keyakinan mereka masih hati-hati.

Kenaikan jangka pendek ke kisaran US$90.308 masih memungkinkan. Tapi resistance di area harga itu bisa membatasi kenaikan. Melihat aksi jual yang masih dilakukan oleh holder jangka panjang, Bitcoin sepertinya akan tetap terkonsolidasi di area US$88.201 sementara pasar masih menyerap pasokan berlebih.

Peluang kenaikan akan membaik jika holder jangka panjang mengubah sikap mereka. Melambatnya aksi jual bisa mengurangi tekanan yang ada di pasar.

Dalam skenario itu, Bitcoin berpotensi menembus US$90.308 dan menargetkan US$92.933. Jika skenario ini terjadi, maka analisis bearish menjadi tidak berlaku dan kepercayaan pelaku pasar utama pun bisa pulih kembali.

Postingan di X (Twitter) menunjukkan bahwa co-founder Bitmain, Micree “James” Zhan Ketuan, mungkin sedang menghadapi denda bernilai miliaran US$, dugaan penahanan, dan konflik besar dengan rekan bisnisnya, Jihan Wu.

Laporan yang saling bertentangan membuat komunitas aset kripto berusaha keras memverifikasi detail dari salah satu krisis paling besar di sektor ini.

Co-founder Bitmain jadi pusat spekulasi dan ketidakpastian yang semakin meningkat

Bitmain, pelopor dalam perangkat keras mining Bitcoin, menguasai peralatan yang memperkuat lebih dari 74% hash rate Bitcoin secara global. Perusahaan ini juga memproduksi chip yang dipakai di data center AI, termasuk untuk menjalankan Nvidia H100.

Sekarang, perusahaan itu berada di tengah persimpangan geopolitik, pengawasan hukum, dan konflik internal di jajaran korporasi mereka sendiri.

Pada 21 Desember 2025, veteran kripto Chandler Guo memicu spekulasi lewat unggahan media sosial yang membagikan kisah samar tentang rekan industri yang mengalami peristiwa “deep-sea fishing”. Istilah ini digunakan untuk menggambarkan penahanan rahasia di Cina, dengan dugaan nilai beberapa miliar US$ dalam waktu enam bulan.

Berdasarkan penuturan Guo, meski orang tersebut akhirnya selamat, ia mendapat pelajaran keras bahwa bahkan pendukung terbesar pun tidak selalu dapat dipercaya. Jika mereka bermasalah, rekan-rekan mereka pun terkena imbasnya.

“There’s an old friend from the crypto circle by my side who just went through an experience of being deep-sea fished. It’s said to involve several billion US dollars, and he’s been dealing with it for half a year. Fortunately, the person has already safely come out of it…He relied on his backer’s connections to strike down his opponents, but he also got bitten back by the backer’s own enemies,” tulis Guo.

Pengamat dengan cepat mengaitkan cerita Guo dengan Zhan. Rumor yang beredar di kalangan kripto menyebutkan adanya denda antara US$1 miliar sampai US$10 miliar, tapi belum ada yang terkonfirmasi secara resmi.

Beberapa laporan mengklaim Zhan telah membayar denda sebesar US$1 miliar, sedangkan laporan lain menyebutkan bahwa ia melarikan diri ke Indonesia dua bulan lalu dan belum ditemukan. Seorang tokoh komunitas Cina yang terkenal di X mengonfirmasi dua perkembangan penting berikut:

• Gangguan baru-baru ini di operasi mining Xinjiang dan
• Konflik internal yang semakin memanas antara para co-founder Bitmain.

Sistem CEO Ganda runtuh karena konflik para founder

Struktur CEO ganda Bitmain, yang memberi kesempatan bagi Zhan dan Wu untuk sama-sama memimpin perusahaan, benar-benar runtuh pada 2025. Wu, lulusan Universitas Peking, dikabarkan memanfaatkan koneksi politik untuk menantang Zhan, alumnus Akademi Ilmu Pengetahuan Cina yang berfokus pada desain dan produksi chip.

Pertikaian mereka mencerminkan risiko yang lebih luas di industri, memperlihatkan bahaya mengaitkan bisnis dengan pendukung berpengaruh.

Dugaan gejolak internal ini muncul saat Bitmain menghadapi tekanan eksternal yang makin berat. Zhan selama ini lebih fokus pada operasi teknis, sedangkan Wu mengurusi kemitraan strategis dan pengembangan bisnis.

Absennya salah satu founder bisa saja membuat operasional jadi timpang, padahal Bitmain tetap menjadi pusat mining Bitcoin dunia. Perusahaan ini sudah digugat oleh Old Const dengan tuduhan pelanggaran kontrak hosting dan upaya mengambil kembali perangkat mining tanpa alasan.

Risiko Geopolitik dan Kerentanan Infrastruktur

Selain konflik perusahaan, Bitmain juga mendapat sorotan dari pihak otoritas AS karena potensi ancaman keamanan perangkat kerasnya. Pada bulan Juni, Bitmain dan dua perusahaan lain pindah ke AS untuk menghindari tarif baru dan mengefisiensi rantai pasokan mereka.

Namun, dengan infrastruktur mining perusahaan yang terpasang baik pada sektor kripto maupun data center AI, isu keamanan nasional membuat risiko semakin besar.

Setiap kompromi bisa menimbulkan efek berantai pada jaringan Bitcoin global, memperjelas betapa aset kripto masih rentan terhadap gejolak geopolitik.

Penindakan baru-baru ini terhadap mining farm di Xinjiang, ditambah dengan dugaan penahanan Zhan, telah memicu spekulasi adanya tekanan regulasi yang terkoordinasi.

Sektor aset kripto tetap waspada, karena situasi ini bisa berdampak pada pasar perangkat mining, rantai pasok, dan dinamika persaingan.

Share global cadangan devisa US$ turun jadi 56,32% di Q2 2025, tapi 92% penurunan ini terjadi karena efek nilai tukar, bukan perubahan portofolio bank sentral. Setelah penyesuaian nilai tukar, penurunannya hanya sedikit jadi 57,67%, menunjukkan bank sentral sebagian besar tetap mempertahankan cadangan US$ mereka.

Laporan baru Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER) dari International Monetary Fund memberi wawasan penting untuk investor aset kripto yang mengikuti tren ekonomi makro. Data ini mengungkap bank sentral tetap menjaga alokasi dolar, bahkan di tengah pergerakan mata uang yang signifikan selama kuartal tersebut.

IMF: Bank Sentral Masih Dominan US$ meski Nilainya Turun

Dataset COFER IMF mencatat cadangan mata uang asing dari 149 ekonomi dalam US$. Di Q2 2025, pergerakan mata uang utama memberikan kesan seolah-olah ada perombakan besar di portofolio.

Berdasarkan laporan tersebut, Indeks DXY turun lebih dari 10% di paruh pertama 2025, penurunan terbesar sejak 1973.

US$ melemah 7,9% terhadap euro dan 9,6% terhadap franc Swiss di Q2. Pergerakan ini menurunkan share cadangan US$ dari 57,79% menjadi 56,32%. Tapi, penurunan ini akibat efek nilai tukar, bukan realokasi aktif dari portofolio.

Setelah penyesuaian nilai tukar konstan, share cadangan dolar hanya turun 0,12% ke 57,67%. Ini menunjukkan bank sentral hanya sedikit mengubah cadangan US$ mereka selama kuartal ini, menantang narasi dedolarisasi global.

Begitu juga dengan share cadangan euro yang terlihat naik ke 21,13%, meningkat 1,13 poin. Tapi, ini juga sepenuhnya dipicu oleh perubahan nilai tukar.

Pada nilai tukar konstan, share euro justru turun tipis 0,04 poin, menandakan bank sentral sebenarnya mengurangi kepemilikan euro.

Apa Artinya untuk Bitcoin dan Altcoin

Analisis ini memberikan sinyal makro yang tidak terlalu berpengaruh untuk Bitcoin dan aset digital lain yang dipasarkan sebagai lindung nilai terhadap lemahnya US$. Bank sentral tidak mendiversifikasi cadangan dari US$, walau nilainya turun signifikan.

Tren dedolarisasi sering disebut sebagai pendorong adopsi institusional aset kripto. namun, data COFER yang sudah disesuaikan nilai tukar, menunjukkan tren ini bisa menyesatkan jika lepas dari konteks yang tepat.

Poundsterling Inggris juga terlihat share-nya naik di Q2, tapi ini juga karena efek valuasi, menyembunyikan penurunan riil kepemilikan. Temuan ini menunjukkan kenapa investor perlu melihat lebih dalam dari angka utama untuk memahami perubahan likuiditas sebenarnya.

Studi IMF memberikan gambaran lebih akurat tentang kebijakan moneter ke investor saat pasar bergejolak. Dengan membedakan antara perubahan kebijakan sebenarnya dan perubahan nilai sementara, investor aset kripto bisa menilai tren makro global dengan lebih baik.

Strategi dan Prospek Cadangan Bank Sentral

Kepemilikan US$ tetap stabil di Q2 2025, memperlihatkan bank sentral masih mengandalkan mata uang tradisional walau alternatif digital mulai menarik perhatian. IMF menekankan, penyesuaian nilai tukar sangat penting untuk memahami perubahan cadangan secara akurat.

The US dollar’s share of global foreign reserves held steady in Q2, after adjustment for currency fluctuations. Exchange-rate effects drove nearly all the decline in the US currency’s share of reserves. Our blog has the details. https://t.co/XtaRfBIbqL pic.twitter.com/fXcUkRkg7U

— IMF (@IMFNews) December 21, 2025

Bank sentral memprioritaskan likuiditas, imbal hasil, dan risiko dalam mengelola cadangan. Posisi kuat dolar AS terkait dengan pasar yang dalam, utilitas transaksi tinggi, dan sistem yang sudah mapan. Semua hal ini masih jadi tantangan bagi aset digital.

Metodologi IMF mengungkap bagaimana perubahan nilai tukar dapat memengaruhi data cadangan. Di Q2, hampir semua perubahan yang dilaporkan pada mata uang utama berasal dari pergerakan valuasi, bukan rebalancing portofolio riil. Bank sentral tetap berhati-hati di tengah gejolak pasar.

Temuan ini membantu memperjelas tren global yang memengaruhi pasar aset kripto. Investor yang tertarik dengan dedolarisasi sebagai katalis Bitcoin sebaiknya memakai data yang telah disesuaikan nilai tukar.