XRP price has fallen almost 10% over the past month despite a slight 1.5% gain this week. The price remains locked inside a $2.31–$1.98 range, failing to secure any meaningful breakout. This tension reflects a split in market behavior: whales are selling into strength while key holder groups continue accumulating.
The push and pull between these two sides is keeping the XRP price inside a falling wedge that has yet to confirm a bullish reversal.
Whales Trim While Key Holder Groups Resist the Pressure
Whale activity shows a clear shift toward caution.
Wallets holding 100 million–1 billion XRP cut their balances from 8.32 billion to 8.27 billion, starting December 7. Another group holding 10–100 million XRP reduced its supply from 11.01 billion to 10.99 billion on December 8. Together, they offloaded about 70 million XRP over the past 48 hours, worth roughly $143 million at the current price.
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The selling is not dramatic in token terms, but it arrives at a sensitive moment — exactly when XRP is trying to stabilize. This sell pressure helps explain why every breakout attempt has stalled before gaining momentum.
The counterforce comes from short- and mid-term holders, and this shows up clearly on HODL Waves. HODL Waves track how much XRP is held in each “coin age band,” showing how long tokens remain unmoved.
The one-to three-month group increased from 8.52% to 10.31%. The three-to six-month group rose from 9.40% to 10.87%.
These holders typically accumulate when they believe selling pressure is easing. Their buying into a 10% monthly decline suggests they expect the wedge structure to resolve to the upside eventually.
That tension is holding the XRP price inside the same narrowing structure.
XRP Price Pattern Shows a Stalemate as Buyers and Sellers Pull in Opposite Directions
XRP is forming a falling wedge, a pattern that usually favors bullish reversals — but only if buyers can force a decisive breakout. Right now, the wedge is functioning more as a stalemate, with whale selling capping momentum and accumulating holders preventing deeper downside.
The breakout point sits near $2.46, where the descending trendline meets current price action. The XRP price needs a strong daily close above this level to confirm a reversal. If that happens, upside targets sit at $2.61, $2.83, and $3.11.
While price trades between $2.31 and $1.98, the wedge remains valid. A break below $1.98, however, weakens the pattern and exposes $1.82, a level that served as structural support earlier in the cycle.
For now, the outlook is simple: Whale selling delays the breakout. Mid-term accumulation keeps the structure alive. The wedge will not resolve until one side overwhelms the other.
Ethereum price has climbed over 13% since December 1, helped by a broader market recovery and growing optimism ahead of today’s Fusaka upgrade, which improves how efficiently the network processes transactions. ETH is still down more than 17% over the past month, but the recent bounce and several technical signals look similar to what happened just before the Pectra upgrade in May 2025, when Ethereum rallied 56% in seven days.
The question now is simple: can Fusaka trigger that kind of move again?
Conditions Look Similar to Pectra — And Big Buyers Are Returning
During the Pectra phase (May 6–13), Ethereum surged 56% after flashing standard bullish divergence. That pattern occurs when price makes a lower low, but RSI (Relative Strength Index, a momentum meter from 0–100) makes a higher low. It often signals that sellers are losing control even as the chart still looks weak. More of a trend reversal.
P.S.: The Pectra upgrade dropped on May 7, 2025.
The same setup is forming now.
Between November 4 and December 1, ETH made a lower low, but RSI formed a higher low. That mirrors the exact structure that appeared before the Pectra move.
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The number of Ethereum addresses holding at least $1 million has risen from 13,322 to 13,945, a 4.68% increase. Since each wallet holds a minimum of $1 million, this reflects at least $623 million in added capital entering the network’s top tier of holders. Big buyers entering ahead of a major technical upgrade is historically a constructive sign.
Together, the divergence pattern and fresh large-wallet inflows build a case that Fusaka could act as a catalyst — if the key breakout level is cleared.
One Cost-Basis Cluster and One Ethereum Price Level Decide Everything
Whether ETH shows a Pectra-style extension depends on clearing a single supply wall. Glassnode’s Cost Basis Distribution reveals the heaviest near-term supply cluster between $3,154 and $3,179, where about 2.76 million ETH sits. This aligns almost perfectly with the chart’s resistance at $3,166 (a strong resistance and support line).
• show buyers have almost absorbed the largest supply zone
• open room for a push toward $3,653
If momentum mirrors the Pectra structure, a 56% extension from December’s lows would target roughly $4,262, which also matches a strong historical ceiling.
On the downside, ETH’s structure weakens below $2,996. Losing that range exposes $2,873, and if selling pressure expands, $2,618 becomes the deeper support to watch for the Ethereum price.
HBAR price is down about 6% in the past 24 hours, underperforming an already weak crypto market. Even with this pressure, the chart is flashing a rare mix of three early rebound clues that most mid-caps are not showing right now.
If the broader market steadies, HBAR could be one of the first to move, especially if it protects a key support level discussed later.
Accumulation Signs Build Beneath the Decline
HBAR has moved inside a broad falling wedge since early September. This pattern often turns bullish when sellers lose control near the lower boundary, and that shift first appeared around November 21.
The first clue comes from the changing volume behavior. HBAR’s activity follows a Wyckoff-style color pattern: red shows sellers in control, yellow shows sellers gaining control, blue marks buyers gaining control, and green shows buyers fully in control.
Since HBAR peaked at $0.155 on November 23 and fell nearly 15%, the bars have shifted from heavy red to a blend of yellow and blue. That blend is a classic sign of seller exhaustion and early tug-of-war. The last time this mix showed up — between October 15 and October 28 — HBAR climbed 41% right after.
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A second clue appears in the MFI (Money Flow Index), which tracks buying and selling pressure using both price and volume. Between November 23 and December 1, the HBAR price kept making lower highs while MFI made higher highs. That divergence shows dips are being quietly bought. A similar divergence formed between October 6 and October 24 and led to a 33% jump once it completed.
The third clue comes from steady spot ETF demand. The Canary HBAR Spot ETF has posted positive weekly inflows in four of the last five weeks, with more than $80 million in cumulative inflows. Inflows are smaller than late October, but they remain positive even as price falls — meaning broader demand has not vanished.
Together, these three clues — shifting volume control, dip-buying pressure, and ongoing ETF inflows — show early accumulation forming beneath the surface.
Key HBAR Price Levels Decide Whether the Rebound Can Hold
The wedge’s lower boundary near $0.122 is the most important support for HBAR right now. Holding that area keeps the rebound case alive. Losing it exposes the next major zone near $0.079, which would flip the structure from “early accumulation” to a deeper slide.
For strength, HBAR needs to reclaim $0.140 first, a 5% rebound from the current level. That would show that buyers are finally overpowering the sell-side pressure. If $0.140 breaks, the next major level sits at $0.155. Clearing $0.155 opens the path toward $0.169 and even $0.182 if the crypto market improves.
Zcash is down about 21% in the past 24 hours and has now extended its seven-day loss to almost 33%. The monthly trend has also flipped negative. Even then, the broader three-month Zcash price gain still sits above 780%, which shows how strong the previous rally was.
Right now, Zcash is trading inside a bullish pattern that has guided every major move since September. The price has just touched the lower trend line of this channel. This is the last strong support that keeps the long-term uptrend alive. Two internal metrics hint that the selling pressure may be fading, but ZEC must protect that critical line for any recovery.
Momentum Weakens, but Pressure May Be Easing
The first clue comes from the Relative Strength Index (RSI). RSI measures momentum on a 0–100 scale. Between September 27 and December 1, the price formed a higher low, while RSI formed a lower low. This is hidden bullish divergence and often appears near exhaustion points.
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The second clue comes from CMF (Chaikin Money Flow), which tracks whether big-money flows are entering or exiting the market.
CMF had been falling since November 6, the same period when the price corrected sharply. CMF slipped below zero on November 24 for the first time since late October, and that drop aligned with heavier selling. But CMF has now curled up and is heading back toward the zero line.
That matters because CMF is also showing a small divergence. Between November 27 and December 1, the price made a lower high while CMF made a higher high. When CMF is turning up while the price falls, it suggests large buyers may be preparing to re-enter. If CMF breaks above zero and moves past the descending trend line drawn across recent lower highs, ZEC could see momentum shift back in its favor.
Both signals only matter if the lower channel support of the channel continues to hold.
Correlation Shift and Key Zcash Price Levels That Decide the Trend
Zcash’s earlier rally was helped by its weak or slightly negative correlation with Bitcoin. Over the past year, the BTC–ZEC correlation sits near –0.05. This helped ZEC outperform during Bitcoin weakness.
But in the past seven days, the correlation has turned mildly positive at 0.48. It is still weaker than most major coins, meaning ZEC can still move differently, but it also means Bitcoin’s drop has pulled ZEC down harder in the short term.
Because of this shift, the price levels now matter even more:
ZEC is sitting just above $348, the lower boundary of the ascending channel. A daily close below $348 breaks the trend line and opens a move toward $309. If $309 fails, the next major support sits at $230, where buyers previously stepped in strongly.
For the Zcash price to regain strength, it must reclaim $592, which is the 0.618 Fibonacci level. That move would require a rebound of about 63.9% from current levels — large, but not unusual for ZEC given its past swings.
If CMF keeps turning up and the long-term negative BTC correlation plays out, Zcash could still protect the channel and extend the broader uptrend. But losing $348 flips the entire structure and ends the bullish case at least for now.
Ethereum price has dropped more than 6% in the past 24 hours and is now down about 27% over the last 30 days. A breakdown from a major continuation pattern has opened the door to a much deeper decline. At the same time, an on-chain signal is flashing a possible 28% downside window that aligns with what could become Ethereum’s next cycle bottom if conditions worsen.
Together, these signals show that ETH may not be done correcting yet.
One Long-Term Metric Shows Room to Fall?
Ethereum recently broke down from a clean bear flag. The move began after ETH failed at $2,990 and slipped out of the rising channel it had been trading within for a week. The earlier sell-off created the “pole,” a drop of 28.39%, and the breakdown activates a measured target around $2,140, which sits almost exactly 28% below the breakdown level.
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To see if this target makes sense, we compare it with long-term holder NUPL. Long-term holder NUPL measures how much profit long-term holders are sitting on.
NUPL has been trending down since August 22, suggesting long-term holders are reducing unrealized profits and softening their conviction. The latest short-term low was 0.36 on Nov 21, but the six-month low sits at 0.28, recorded on June 22, which is a difference of roughly 22%.
Back on June 22, when NUPL hit 0.28, ETH traded near $2,230, and the market reversed sharply. From there, Ethereum rallied all the way to $4,820, a gain of 116% from that bottom.
Today, if NUPL were to retest that 0.28 cycle-low band again, the implied price drawdown from ETH’s recent local high near $2,990 would be in the same 20–25% range, which aligns exactly with the 28% bear-flag target at $2,140.
This is the cleanest overlap in the entire analysis: Both the price pattern and the long-term holder metric point to the same lower zone.
Ethereum Price Sits on Its Strongest Cost-Basis Wall
The next step is to see whether the Ethereum price chart supports the same conclusion. The Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap shows where large clusters of ETH were recently accumulated. The heaviest band sits between $2,801 and $2,823, with 3,591,002 ETH bought in that zone. This is the strongest support Ethereum has right now.
ETH has already broken below the $2,840 price level, increasing pressure on this cost-basis wall. If the ETH price cannot reclaim $2,840 quickly and close above $2,990 again, sellers remain in full control.
If weakness continues, the next levels on the trend-based extension appear one after another. The first point is $2,690, which sits about 4.5% below the current price. If that fails, the decline can extend to $2,560 (a further 4.6% drop), $2,440 (another 4.8%), and $2,260, which is just 2% above the June NUPL-bottom price of $2,230.
Below all of these sits $2,140, the full breakdown target, about 28% below the breakdown zone and fully aligned with the flag projection.
If ETH falls through $2,266, the bear-flag target becomes the most realistic scenario.
There is still an invalidation path, but it requires strength at several layers. ETH must regain $2,840, then break above $2,990, and then secure a close above $3,090. The entire bearish pattern loses meaning only if ETH pushes through $3,240, which would be a roughly 15% move up from current levels.
For now, ETH trades beneath its strongest cost-basis wall, long-term holders are still reducing unrealized profit, and the continuation structure points clearly lower. If these conditions hold, the $2,260–$2,140 region becomes the most probable area where Ethereum could form its next cycle bottom.
The real-world asset market has been recovering after a slow November, with fresh interest emerging from stablecoin experiments and strong technical setups. Activity remains uneven across the sector, but a few charts are setting up more cleanly than the others.
Among the key RWA tokens to watch, three stand out as December approaches. Each shows a different mix of strength, recovery potential, and risk.
Stellar (XLM)
Among key RWA tokens to watch in December, Stellar (XLM) stands out as a payments-first chain that big financial players actually use.
On the chart, Stellar is quietly building a reversal setup. Between November 4 and November 21, the price reached a lower low; however, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a higher low.
RSI measures momentum on a 0–100 scale, so this “price down, RSI up” pattern, standard bullish divergence, often hints that selling pressure is fading under the surface.
The rebound began immediately after that signal, yet XLM remains trapped in a tight range between $0.253 and $0.264. A clean daily close above $0.264 is the first sign that bulls are back in control.
If that happens, the next upside areas to watch are $0.275 and then $0.324 if the broader market improves.
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If the XLM price falls below $0.239 instead, the bullish setup weakens, and the move could stretch toward $0.217, delaying any RWA-driven recovery story.
Quant (QNT)
Quant is the clear outlier among RWA tokens to watch right now. While most real-world-asset plays struggled through November, QNT moved in the opposite direction. It is up about 32% this month and roughly 37% in the past seven days. In the last 24 hours alone, the token added another 12%, making it one of the strongest charts in this segment.
Quant sits at the center of the “interoperability for finance” narrative. Its Overledger tech connects private and public blockchains, which is why it often reacts earlier than other RWA coins when institutional demand strengthens.
On the chart, momentum is still building. QNT is close to forming a bullish EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crossover on the daily chart, where the 20-day EMA is about to move above the 50-day EMA.
This setup often signals that buyers are gaining control. If the crossover completes, Quant (QNT) could have room for another strong push.
The EMA, or Exponential Moving Average, is a trend line that gives more weight to recent prices, allowing traders to see short-term momentum more clearly.
The first level to clear is $119. This level lines up with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. If buyers stay active, even $142 comes into view as the next major resistance.
On the downside, $100 is the first support to watch. Losing that level can force QNT back toward $91 and $87. The broader bullish structure breaks only if the token falls below $82. This is the point at which the current uptrend stops making sense.
For now, Quant remains the most resilient name in this RWA group and carries the strongest momentum heading into December.
That uncertainty shows up on the chart. Ondo has posted a steady rebound since November 21, but the more significant development is evident in its OBV line.
OBV, or on-balance volume, measures whether buying volume is stronger than selling volume over time. Ondo’s OBV has broken above the descending trendline in place since early November.
This breakout occurred while the price has been stuck between $0.50 and $0.54 since November 27, which suggests that accumulation may be forming beneath the surface.
For upside movement, the first step is a clean close above $0.54. That level sits about 6% above the current price. Clearing it can pave the way for a move toward $0.60, and a stronger market could push the ONDO price toward $0.70.
If OBV fails to hold above the breakout line and slips back under it, the move becomes a fake-out. In that case, losing $0.50 becomes more likely, and the next key support is near $0.44.
Among the RWA tokens, ONDO has the most balanced setup. It has the structure to move higher if accumulation continues, but the same range can break on the downside if OBV weakens again.
Monad has dropped over 47% from its post-listing high in just four days. The Monad price chart shows a rapid launch spike followed by a sharp downside slide, a pattern similar to how Pi Coin traded immediately after its launch. Both are new layer-1 projects that launched with strong attention, but both slipped quickly after launch.
This piece compares the chart structures and then examines whether MON is exhibiting the same sustained weakness as Pi Coin, or if its own setup still indicates signs of stability.
Monad Mirrors Pi Coin’s Early Post-Listing Slide
Pi Coin lost 86.57% of its value within the first six weeks after listing and is now down more than 91% from its post-launch high.
The key difference is the market backdrop. Pi Coin launched during a stronger crypto environment earlier this year. And when it dropped, it couldn’t even recover half of its losses despite BTC hitting new highs in early October.
Monad is entering a weaker market where liquidity is thin and large assets are struggling to hold momentum. So the odds are certainly not in favor.
Even though the price-specific parallel between MON and PI is clear on the surface, the next step is to look deeper into Monad’s own chart and structure to see whether the weakness continues or if there are early signs of support forming.
Supply Strength Weakens As Large Money Flow Drops
Monad’s internal picture becomes weaker once we examine how big money has behaved since the listing week.
The first signal comes from CMF, which tracks whether bigger buyers are sending money into an asset or pulling it out. After the initial post-launch spike, the token stabilized near the end of October, which is when CMF became usable. From that point, the money-flow line has moved only one way — down.
Since October 27, CMF has dropped by more than 270% and has remained below zero for most of the decline. A fall under zero means larger buyers are stepping aside, not adding support.
Even big market players like Arthur Hayes have expressed doubts regarding Monad, citing the significant outflows of capital.
MON’s CMF is now sitting close to its lowest reading since the token went live, which usually signals that confidence from deeper pockets has not returned.
The second problem appears in the bull-bear power reading. BBP measures whether buyers or sellers have more control of momentum. When BBP leans this heavily negative while CMF keeps making new lows, even recoveries tend to be short-lived.
Taken together, these signs indicate that Monad is not yet attracting strong bidding. The MON price chart appears bearish, and both metrics indicate that buyers remain hesitant. Even if short-term bounces appear, a meaningful reversal looks difficult unless large amounts of money return and momentum turns upward.
How Low Can Monad Price Go If The Slide Continues?
With money flow weakening and sellers in full control, the last piece of the puzzle is the price structure itself. The short-term trend on the 4-hour Monad price chart has pointed down since November 26, and the candles have respected that slope without any meaningful shift.
In this phase, the chart works like a simple extension map where each failed bounce pushes the next level into focus.
If Monad loses $0.026, the slide can extend toward $0.023, which is the next clear continuation level on the trend-based extension. If momentum remains weak and money flow continues to decline, even $0.013 remains on the table as a deeper projection.
These levels appear far, but Pi Coin also continued to slide post-launch, and the similarity in the early structure is hard to ignore.
Any recovery attempt needs to start with a move back above $0.029. That only stabilizes the structure. The real shift appears only if Monad closes above $0.039 and then $0.040.
A push above those bands would break the current slope, rebuild confidence, and weaken the comparison with Pi Coin’s early chart.
For now, Monad trades under both of those marks, with money flow still near its lows and momentum held by sellers. Unless those two conditions flip, the path of least resistance remains down, and the parallel with Pi Coin stays alive rather than fading.
The Bitcoin price in December is now a key focus, given that the market ended November on a weak note. Bitcoin dropped more than 17% this month, breaking its usual November trend and raising questions about whether the recent $80,000 bounce was the real bottom.
December has a mixed history for Bitcoin, and early data for this year shows some caution in both spot flows and on-chain signals. This analysis examines three key areas: seasonal performance, ETF flows, and insights from on-chain and price charts regarding the upcoming month.
Bitcoin’s December History and What ETF Flows Reveal
December is not usually a very strong month for Bitcoin. The long-term average return is 8.42%, but the median return is only 1.69%. The last four years also show mixed results, with three negative Decembers.
November added more caution. Instead of repeating its strong seasonal pattern, Bitcoin finished the month more than 17% lower.
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ETF flows echo that caution. November closed with –$3.48 billion in net outflows across US spot ETFs. The last clear multi-month inflow streak happened between April and July.
Since then, flows have been inconsistent, and November confirmed that institutions remained defensive.
MEXC Chief Analyst Shawn Young told BeInCrypto that stronger and more consistent ETF demand is essential before a meaningful rebound can begin:
“The most evident indicators of Bitcoin’s next upside rally would be a resurgence in risk sentiment, improved liquidity conditions, and market depth… When Bitcoin spot ETFs begin to see multiple days of inflows of $200–$300 million, it may indicate that institutional allocators are rotating back into BTC and the next leg up is underway,” he mentioned.
Hunter Rogers, Co-Founder of TeraHash, added that the setup for December still looks muted even after November’s flush-out:
“I don’t expect a highly-volatile December — neither a major jump nor a major drop. A quieter month with a slow upward movement looks more realistic. If ETF flows calm down and volatility stays low, Bitcoin could put in a small positive surprise. But this still feels like a repair phase,” he said.
Together, the seasonal pattern and ETF flows show that December may stay cautious unless ETF demand turns sharply higher.
On-Chain Metrics Still Show Weak Conviction
Bitcoin’s on-chain data still does not match what a confirmed December bottom usually looks like. Two core signals tell the same story: whales are still sending coins to exchanges, and long-term holders remain in distribution mode.
The Exchange Whale Ratio — which measures how much of total inflows come from the top 10 large wallets — climbed from 0.32 earlier this month to 0.68 on November 27.
Even after easing to 0.53, it remains in a zone that historically reflects whales preparing to sell, not accumulate. Durable bottoms rarely form when this ratio stays elevated across several weeks.
The Hodler Net Position Change, which tracks long-term investor behavior, also stays deep in the red. These wallets have been reducing their positions for more than six months. The last strong BTC rally began only after this metric turned green in late September — a milestone it has not achieved again yet.
Until long-term holders stop sending coins back into circulation, sustained upside becomes harder to support.
Shawn believes that a true shift begins only when long-term sellers step aside:
“The rally could begin when OG sellers stop transferring coins onto exchanges, whale accumulation turns positive again, and market depth starts to thicken across major venues,” he emphasized
Hunter Rogers echoed this view, linking any trend reversal to cleaner supply behavior from miners and long-term wallets:
“When long-term holders quietly move back into accumulation, it means supply pressure is fading,” he mentioned
So far, neither trend has flipped. Whales continue to send coins to exchanges, and long-term holders continue to distribute. Together, they signal that the Bitcoin price in December may attempt deeper retests before any strong recovery attempt.
Bitcoin Price In December: Key Risks And Confirmations
The Bitcoin price now sits at a point where even a small move can set the tone for December. The broader trend still leans bearish, and the chart structure confirms what the ETF and on-chain data already hint at.
BTC recently slipped below the lower band of a bear flag that has been building for weeks. This breakdown suggests a possible extension to $66,800, although the market may not reach that level immediately if liquidity remains stable.
For December, the first major line to watch is $80,400. That level acted as a rebound zone earlier this month, but it remains fragile.
A clean close below $80,400 opens room for new lows, aligning with what Shawn Young believes is still “a plausible liquidity sweep” before any stronger recovery attempt.
Here is what he said in an exclusive bit, giving the market some hope as well:
“Bitcoin’s market setup suggests a wick-style liquidity sweep rather than a prolonged breakdown,” he believes
On the upside, the structure only flips if BTC reclaims $97,100 — the midpoint of the larger pole-and-flag setup. A daily close above that zone would erase the bear-flag breakdown and begin a move toward resistance near $101,600.
Hunter also pointed out that reclaiming higher trend levels only matters if volume rises along with it. As he put it:
“If Bitcoin holds above the breakout zone and volume improves, then the market can start treating that area as a durable floor,” he mentioned.
For December, that breakout zone sits between $93,900 and $97,100, which is where the chart, ETFs, and on-chain conditions need to switch from defensive to supportive.
Until those confirmations arrive, the downside remains more pronounced than the upside. A deeper Bitcoin price retest stays in play if ETF outflows accelerate or if whales continue to send coins to exchanges.
For now, the Bitcoin price in December begins with the OG crypto sitting between two critical walls — $80,400 as the last defensive floor, and $97,137 as the ceiling that can reset momentum.
XRP price enters December after a weak November, with the token down nearly 13% for the month. December has often appeared strong on paper due to the 2017 outlier, but recent years have shown much tamer returns.
With ETF inflows rising, long-term holders selling, and XRP trading near a key resistance zone, traders want to know if December can offer a cleaner setup. This analysis looks at XRP’s seasonal history, on-chain behavior, and the levels that matter most.
December History And ETF Momentum For XRP: A Mixed Bag?
At first glance, December looks like a strong month for XRP, with an average gain of about 69.6%. But the median return is –3.16%, showing that the +818% surge in 2017 inflated the long-term average.
A more realistic comparison comes from recent years, with a gain of 6.94% in 2024 and 1.62% in 2023.
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November 2025 has been weak. XRP is down almost 13%, which makes traders doubt whether the positive December seasonality still applies.
Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, believes this December could behave differently because institutional demand is now active through ETFs. He told BeInCrypto:
“December is likely to look very different for XRP this year, mainly because institutional demand has now arrived… XRP enters the month on the back of the momentum generated from the ETF buzz, which has attracted substantial institutional interest and capital from the outset,” he said.
He also noted that XRP is already on a multi-day ETF inflow streak totaling more than $640 million and added:
“ETF inflow sustainability will now likely be the major tailwind for XRP’s price action in December,” he believes
Youssef, however, still remains cautious. He warns:
“If the broader market environment weakens further and ETF flows reverse, XRP will likely follow BTC and ETH movements and retest $2”, he said.
Together, the mixed December history and the fresh ETF momentum show that XRP’s December depends heavily on whether institutional demand continues.
On-Chain Signals Aren’t The Most Bullish
XRP’s on-chain picture does not fully support a strong December yet. Long-term holders — especially those in the 1–3 year group — continue to reduce their balances.
This data comes from HODL Waves, which shows how supply is spread across different holding periods. Over the past month, the 1–2 year cohort dropped from 9.72% to 8.516%, and the 2–3 year cohort moved from 14.80% to 14.251%.
These changes may seem small, but they matter because these groups hold a significant share of the circulating supply. Their selling weakens any upside attempt.
“Long-term holders still control a disproportionate share of the circulating supply… XRP can record substantial gains in December only if institutional demand remains strong enough to offset any selling pressure from long-term holders,” he mentioned.
The cost basis heatmap reinforces the same risk. It shows the strongest supply cluster between $2.445 and $2.460, where about 1.749 billion XRP sits.
This is the exact area that has acted as resistance earlier. Even if ETF inflows remain strong, the XRP price still needs to break through this wall for a clean bullish trend to form.
Together, the long-term holder distribution and the heavy cost-basis cluster explain why the XRP price in December may need a significant push to gain momentum.
XRP Price In December: Key Levels And The Most Realistic Scenario
The XRP price trades near $2.196, just above the second rebound from $1.772. This forms a clear double-bottom structure — one bounce in October and another in late November.
The pattern supports a short-term recovery attempt, but XRP must clear $2.307 and then the key breakout level at $2.459. This level perfectly aligns with the cost basis heatmap clusters.
A clean daily close above $2.459 unlocks the next zone near $2.612. This lines up with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, the cost-basis cluster, and Ray Youssef’s own view. As he said:
“A more realistic target for December is $2.60. A clear breakout above $2.60 would be the first firm indication of a bullish shift,” he highlighted.
The technical and fundamental targets both sit at $2.60–$2.61.
Cardano has had one of the weakest months in the market. The ADA price is down more than 31% in November, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum recovered 6–8% in the same period. Over the past seven days, the Cardano price has gained only about 1.9%, showing very little momentum.
Key supply and big money signals now point to deeper weakness unless conditions stabilize soon.
Supply Pressure Builds as Money Flow Weakens
Cardano’s recent move shows clear stress on two fronts: large money flow and coins moving across age bands.
The first signal comes from CMF (Chaikin Money Flow), which reflects the strength of big money. Between November 24 and November 28, ADA’s price reached a higher high, but CMF formed a lower high and then broke below its descending trendline, which had been in place since October 11.
The same breakdown occurred on November 2, and ADA fell by more than 20% after that move. CMF is also under zero this time, which usually means big capital is stepping back rather than flowing in.
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The correlation is clear. Between November 10 and November 17, the big money flow fell sharply by more than 240%, and ADA corrected by more than 36% in the same period and even in the following days.
The second red flag comes from the Spent Coins Age Band, which tracks how many coins across all holding groups move on a given day.
On November 29, it dropped to a monthly low of 93.23 million ADA. But instead of stabilizing as the month ended, the value jumped to 114.66 million — a roughly 23% increase. It is now at the highest weekly level.
A rise in spent coins means more supply moving, and when that happens, while money flow is weakening, pressure on the price often increases.
Both signals now align. Larger inflows are waning at the same time, and more supply is being released. Together, they create a backdrop where the ADA price struggles to hold any short-term bounce.
Key Levels Show Cardano Price Might Not Be Done Correcting Yet
ADA has been in a clear downtrend since November 11, and the broader structure has not reversed. Trend-based extension levels indicate where the Cardano price may move if pressure persists.
If ADA loses the $0.386 support, the next levels appear at $0.354 and $0.302. These are the natural continuation zones for this downtrend, especially if CMF stays below zero and spent-coin activity remains high.
A recovery is still possible, but it needs a clean break above $0.438 with a full candle close. Only then can ADA attempt a move back toward $0.607, but that requires two conditions to flip:
CMF must return to above zero, and the spent-coin reading must cool off again. Historically, whenever the Spent Coins Age Band spikes, ADA has struggled to sustain any recovery. The current rise reinforces that risk.
Currently, the Cardano price is trading near $0.419 and shows no signs of a reversal. Without improvements in money flow and supply movement, the 31% monthly drop may not be the final leg of this correction.
Pi Coin price has held up better than most majors through November, but the charts now show a mix of strength and early warning signs. November has been Pi’s calmest month since summer, and the token is still trying to turn green for only the third time this year.
The question now is whether this momentum can survive December, even do better than November, or if the larger downtrend reclaims control.
History And Its Negative Correlation With Bitcoin
Pi Coin is still young, so its price history leaves a short but clear story. Most of 2025 has been red. Only February and May printed green months. November is trying to join that list.
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What stands out is PI’s negative monthly correlation with Bitcoin, currently around –0.24. When Bitcoin drops, Pi often holds firmer or even rises. Since Bitcoin has been weakening since October, Pi has found support.
Over the last month, Pi is down only about 2.6%, while Bitcoin has dropped much more sharply. Almost 19%.
Weekly performance also reflects this. Pi is still up about 2.7% over the last seven days, making it one of the steadier coins during a weak market. However, some signals on the three-day chart now suggest that December could be more challenging than November.
Hidden Bearish Divergence Appears As Big Money Weakens
Pi Coin’s broader structure remains inside a converging falling wedge, which is usually a bullish pattern. The PI price is now close to the upper trendline of that wedge. A breakout from here would normally look positive. But two indicators show early weakness.
The first is the RSI divergence on the three-day chart. The RSI, or Relative Strength Index, measures momentum. Between October 25 and November 24, Pi Coin made a lower high, but RSI made a higher high. This is a hidden bearish divergence. It usually means the downtrend underneath is still strong, even if the price looks stable.
The second is the CMF, or Chaikin Money Flow, which tracks whether large amounts of money enter or exit the market. CMF is still in negative territory on the three-day chart and is now sliding toward its ascending trendline.
The last time CMF revisited this trendline in early October, Pi dropped more than 42%.
Both signals together mean that PI’s November strength may not fully translate into December unless money returns and CMF avoids a breakdown.
Pi Coin Price Levels To Watch In December
The chart shows a simple picture. PI price needs to break $0.28 to build momentum. That level lines up with the wedge’s upper boundary.
A clean close above $0.28 can open moves to $0.36, and if momentum improves further, even $0.46 becomes possible. But the indicators suggest this is less likely unless CMF improves.
On the downside, $0.21 and $0.20 are the first levels to watch. A drop under $0.20 exposes the $0.18 zone. If Bitcoin suddenly flips bullish, PI’s negative correlation can cause short-term underperformance. That may pull the Pi Coin price toward the lower wedge band.
The most important line for December is $0.20. Maintaining that level preserves the long-term structure. Losing it brings $0.18, and possibly $0.15, back into view.
Pi Coin still has a chance to close the year stronger than expected. However, that depends entirely on CMF stabilizing and whether the falling wedge finally allows the price to break through $0.28.
There is hope still if Bitcoin weakens and the negative correlation makes Pi Coin more desirable to big money.
Crypto whales have started making clear moves as December approaches, and their activity reveals where big money expects the next phase of strength to come from. Instead of selling into the late-November volatility, large holders have been increasing exposure across a mix of mid-caps and large-caps.
The buying has also appeared while prices were stabilising, which makes the accumulation more meaningful. These patterns give an early look at which assets whales believe can deliver gains in December.
Ethena (ENA)
Ethena (ENA) stands out as one of the clearest signals of what crypto whales are buying for potential gains in December. The token is up 21.3% over the past seven days, and instead of using that strength to take profit, large holders are adding more.
Whale wallets have increased their ENA holdings by 2.84% this week, bringing their total to about 39.88 million ENA. That means whales picked up roughly 1.1 million additional tokens.
Top 100 addresses or mega whales also raised their balances by about 0.35%, adding close to 50 million ENA. Whales buying into an already strong week usually signals confidence that more upside is ahead.
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On the 12-hour chart, Ethena still trades within a symmetrical triangle, indicating a buyer-seller standoff. The important level is $0.28. A clean daily close above this level — which has rejected every rally attempt since November 25 — can unlock moves toward $0.30 and even $0.32.
If ENA fails to hold $0.27, it risks slipping under the lower triangle boundary, opening a path back toward $0.21, especially if whale demand cools.
XRP (XRP)
XRP is the second asset crypto whales are buying, possibly for potential gains in December. The accumulation pattern here is much stronger than what we saw in Ethena. Two major whale cohorts have been adding aggressively through the final week of November.
The largest holders — wallets with over 1 billion XRP — have added about 150 million XRP since November 25. At the current price, this equals roughly $330 million in fresh exposure.
The 10–100 million cohort has been even more aggressive, adding around 970 million XRP since November 23, worth nearly $2.13 billion at current prices.
With XRP trading near $2.20, this fresh whale exposure entered the market during a week when the token gained more than 16%, which reinforces that these buyers are adding to strength rather than weakness.
This uptick comes at a technical turning point. XRP has spent nearly two months defending the $1.77 support, a level tested twice — on October 10 and again in late November — forming an early double-bottom structure. That base is now the foundation for any December strength.
For upside continuation, the XRP price must break $2.30, a resistance that has rejected every rally attempt since November 15. A daily close above that zone unlocks $2.45 and $2.61, where the next clusters of supply sit.
If XRP falls below $2.11, the bullish structure will break down. A deeper retest of $1.81 becomes likely — but this would only happen if whale accumulation flips back to distribution.
Cardano (ADA)
Cardano stays on the list because it seems that crypto whales have started rotating into large caps again, after XRP. Two key ADA cohorts have been buying during the final stretch of November.
The largest holders, wallets with over 1 billion ADA, began adding on November 24. Since then, they have accumulated 130 million ADA in total. The 10–100 million group started buying on November 26 and has added 150 million ADA. Both cohorts turned net positive within days, which shows fresh conviction even as the token trades near its recent lows.
With ADA trading near $0.41, this combined whale accumulation represents a meaningful amount of capital returning to the market. The buying also came during the same period when ADA posted a mild recovery, 5% week-on-week, which makes the pickup more notable.
On the 12-hour chart, ADA shows a standard bullish divergence. Between November 4 and November 21, the price reached a lower low, while the RSI (Relative Strength Index), which measures momentum, reached a higher low.
This type of divergence often signals that a trend reversal is forming beneath the surface. Early signs of that shift have already appeared.
For ADA to build strength in December, it needs a solid candle close above $0.43. A break above that level opens a path toward $0.52, which would flip the short-term structure bullish. If ADA loses $0.38, the bullish setup weakens, and the reversal signal may fail.
Meme coins to watch in December are lining up with very different setups as the market enters a new month. Some are dealing with weak inflows and fading momentum, while others show early signals that buyers may finally be returning. The broader market appears fragile, so any shift in sentiment can quickly impact these tokens.
This list focuses on three names that now sit at key levels, each with its own mix of risk, reversal signals, and potential catalysts.
Dogecoin (DOGE)
Dogecoin is one of the meme coins to watch in December because it enters the new month with a strange mix of ETF buzz and weak performance.
In November, two DOGE spot products launched— Grayscale’s ETP (GDOG) and Bitwise’s ETF (BWOW). But inflows have remained soft. Grayscale holds about $2.16 million in cumulative inflow, while Bitwise still shows zero, which signals limited demand so far.
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The DOGE price is up 9.4% on the week courtesy of the ETP/ETF buzz, but its 30-day chart still shows a 20%+ loss.
When asked whether DOGE’s initial reaction to Grayscale’s ETP was meaningful, Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, stressed that this early resilience should not be mistaken for a structural shift.
“Dogecoin’s price reaction to Grayscale’s DOGE ETP looks more like an ETF-headline reaction rather than any structural changes to the asset’s mainstream perception… it is still too early to call any shift in institutional demand,” he said.
Momentum also looks unstable. Between November 18 and November 26, the price formed a lower high, while the RSI—a momentum indicator—made a higher high. This is hidden bearish divergence, which often points to a continuation of the downtrend. Possibly the monthly weakness.
For December, DOGE must clear $0.20 to build strength.
Youssef agrees that $0.20 is still possible, but warns that the token remains tied to broader market flows:
“Dogecoin can definitely still make a run towards $0.20 before year-end, but the path to this range is becoming narrower… it is likely to remain a passenger in a market driven almost entirely by Bitcoin and Ethereum,” he highlighted.
If it breaks below $0.13, an 11% slide, sellers likely regain full control. In December, the Dogecoin price fight would be decided by which level — resistance or support — gets claimed first.
Official Trump (TRUMP)
Official Trump (TRUMP) enters December from a weaker position than most meme coins. It is down about 3% on the weekly chart and almost 27% over the past 30 days.
The drop shows that TRUMP has struggled even while several other meme coins posted short rebounds. But December may not remain this weak, because a key macro trigger is now in play, which puts it on the list of meme coins to watch
The chart supports that shift. Between November 25 and 27, the TRUMP price made a lower low while the CMF, or Chaikin Money Flow, a big money tracker, formed a higher low. This is a bullish divergence and shows big-money pressure improving beneath the surface. CMF has also broken above its descending trendline, which strengthens the case for a rebound.
For that bounce to continue, TRUMP must reclaim $8.07, the 0.618 Fibonacci level. A clean break above it opens a path toward $9.56, where the last major rejection occurred.
On the downside, $5.66 remains the critical support. A clean close below it exposes deeper losses and cancels the bullish CMF signal. December becomes an important test for whether sentiment and the Fed-chair narrative can lift TRUMP back into a stronger trend.
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU)
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) stays on the list of meme coins to watch in December because it shows a rare early reversal signal after one of the worst monthly performances in the sector.
PENGU is still down about 47.1% in November, but the last week has brought a 7.6% bounce that hints at a possible shift.
The signal comes from the 12-hour chart. Between November 4 and November 29, the PENGU price made a lower low, while the RSI made a higher low.
This pattern is called bullish divergence and often precedes a trend reversal. Seeing it on a 12-hour chart shows that buyers are stepping in early, even while the higher-timeframe trend remains weak.
For real strength in December, PENGU needs to reclaim $0.014, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. A clean break above that zone gives the token room to test $0.016, the top of the recent structure.
If momentum picks up, this becomes the first serious recovery setup after weeks of selling.
On the downside, $0.0098 is the line that must hold. Losing that support invalidates the bullish divergence and pulls PENGU back into its November weakness.
Despite the rough monthly chart, PENGU’s early reversal signal makes it one of the meme coins to watch as December begins.
HBAR is down almost 31% over the past month, even after posting a sharp 27% rebound between November 21 and 23. That bounce still keeps about 11% of gains on the weekly chart, but the move has stalled again.
The token has spent almost a full week trading between two close price levels, and that tight range now looks ready to break. Key signs are now flashing. However, the signals suggest that the break might not favor the bulls.
Momentum Signals Turn Against Hedera
HBAR’s momentum weakened right after the rebound. Between November 23 and November 26, the price formed a lower high while the RSI made a higher high.
The RSI, or Relative Strength Index, measures momentum. When momentum rises, but the chart prints a lower high, it creates a hidden bearish divergence, which often signals that the downtrend can continue.
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HBAR’s broader trend still shows a 31% drop over the past month, so the setup fits the pattern.
Volume data points the same way. OBV, or On-Balance Volume, tracks whether real buyers or sellers dominate.
HBAR’s OBV remains stuck under a descending trendline, and between November 25 and 28, the price made a higher low, but OBV made a lower low.
This is a bearish divergence, indicating fading buyer strength, even as the candles attempt to stabilize. As long as OBV trades under the trendline, pressure stays on the downside.
Both divergences reinforce each other. They explain why the rebound from November 21 to 23 could not build follow-through and why the current range looks unstable.
With momentum fading and buyer pressure weakening at the same time, the market may try to extend the previous downtrend.
HBAR Price Levels: One Range, Two Outcomes
The HBAR price has been moving between $0.151 on the upside and $0.140 on the downside for almost a week. That’s the same tight range mentioned earlier.
Momentum signals now show that this range is close to breaking.
If $0.140 gives way, the chart opens a move toward $0.122, which is the most recent support zone. A clean candle close below $0.140 confirms the breakdown and wipes out what remains of the weekly rebound.
For the bearish setup to fail, the entire structure must shift. OBV needs to break above its descending trendline so that buyer pressure returns.
At the same time, HBAR must close above $0.151, a level it has not crossed since November 16.
Until those conditions are met, the HBAR price remains at risk. The range may not hold if the broader market weakens again, and the next move could come quickly once the $0.140 line breaks or holds.
Ethereum price trades around $3,000, but the chart and on-chain data both indicate a pressure zone that traders cannot ignore. Momentum looks unstable, as one key holder group continues to sell.
The Ethereum price is stuck at a point where even slight shifts can alter the entire structure.
Momentum Weakens as Long-Term Sellers Step In
The ETH price has attempted to recover over the past week, rising approximately 10%, but the broader trend remains down 23% over the last 30 days. The bounce looks healthy on the surface, yet the behavior underneath the chart tells a different story.
The RSI, or Relative Strength Index, measures momentum. A hidden bearish divergence has formed between November 18 and November 28.
The Ethereum price made a higher low, but momentum made a higher high. When this happens during a downtrend, it often signals a weak rebound and that sellers still control the trend.
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Who are those sellers? On-chain data gives the answer.
Hodler Net Position Change — which shows whether long-term holders are adding or removing ETH — has stayed deep in red for the entire month. Red readings mean long-term wallets are sending ETH back toward exchanges.
Over the last week, that pressure has increased sharply. On November 22, long-term holders offloaded about 334,600 ETH, but by November 28 the figure had grown to roughly 973,000 ETH — a rise of about 191% in six days.
There was also a local spike near 1.1 million ETH on November 26. This steady increase in weekly outflows indicates that the cohort that typically stabilizes the market is now leaning more heavily towards the sell side.
Momentum softening and long-term selling happening together give ETH a clear downside risk.
Ethereum Price Sits at a Tight Break Point
The Ethereum price is also closing in on the edge of a pennant structure. This can break either way.
ETH now trades right above the $3,016 support zone, which lines up with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If this floor breaks, the next levels sit at $2,864, a 5% dip. A deeper slide could open $2,619, especially if long-term selling continues.
To cancel the bearish setup, ETH must push above $3,138. That level breaks the upper pennant trendline and flips the short-term bias. Without that break, the chart remains vulnerable.
Pennants can technically break either way, but the RSI setup and long-term selling tilt the Ethereum price risk toward a downside break unless buyers step in soon.
The cryptocurrency market remains flat on Friday as Bitcoin holds its range, but the weekend may not stay this quiet. Three setups stand out as clear altcoins to watch this weekend, each for a different reason.
One token is trying to trigger a sentiment shift after weeks of damage. Another is fighting to maintain an uptrend. And one has been moving against the broader market for days and could surprise again. With Bitcoin stuck, these three may guide most of the short-term action.
Balancer (BAL)
Balancer is one of the more sensitive altcoins to watch this weekend, following its recent November 3 exploit. The token dropped almost 47% between late October and November 22 as confidence broke.
Now, the project plans to return approximately $8 million in recovered funds, which may bring a slight sentiment boost.
A new discussion is now live on the Balancer Forum for feedback, outlining a suggested framework for redistributing assets recovered during the recent attacks on v2, including both whitehat rescues and internal recovery efforts.
From a price perspective, BAL still trades inside a falling wedge, which is a bullish structure if the lower band holds. Support near $0.62 has stayed firm for days. The first meaningful level is $0.73.
A close above it breaks the wedge and opens a move toward $0.84. If momentum improves, the next zone sits near $0.99, where the better part of the breakdown started.
The Bull Bear Power indicator, which shows whether buyers or sellers control the price, has printed shrinking red bars since November 26. Red bars mean bears are in control; shrinking bars mean their strength is fading.
This decline in bearish pressure aligns with the wedge support and the sentiment bounce following the compensation update.
If sentiment holds and the market stays steady, BAL could be one of the more reactive weekend movers.
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Zcash (ZEC)
Zcash stays on the list of altcoins to watch this weekend because its long uptrend is still intact, but pressure has increased. The token has increased in value by more than 1000% in three months, but it has dropped by about 25% over the past seven days, indicating that its momentum has slowed. The key question for traders is whether ZEC can sustain the uptrend.
There is one early sign that it might.
Between November 11 and November 20, ZEC formed a higher low on the price chart while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) — a momentum indicator — made a lower low. This is called hidden bullish divergence.
It means the trend remains strong underneath, even if the pullback appears heavy. A similar pattern emerged between October 30 and November 11, with ZEC rallying by almost 74% immediately afterward.
When the price holds higher but the RSI dips lower, it often signals a continuation in strong markets.
For this case to play out again, ZEC must reclaim $582, which has been blocked every attempt since November 23. If buyers break that level, the next major barrier sits at $743. A close above $743 would confirm that the uptrend is back in control.
If ZEC drops under $440, the hidden bullish divergence breaks. That would mean a lower low has formed, and the short-term trend turns fragile. In that case, the weekend setup weakens, and ZEC loses its continuation signal.
For now, Zcash still maintains a cleaner structure than most assets and remains one of the technical altcoins to watch this weekend, as long as $440 remains intact.
Pi Coin (PI)
Pi Coin is the last name on the list of altcoins to watch this weekend, and it earns that spot for one reason: it continues to move against the market. While Bitcoin is down about 19% and Ethereum is down 24% over the past month, Pi Coin is down only 7%. That shows clear resilience. Over the last seven days, PI is up more than 12%, making it one of the few steady gainers in a weak market.
The chart now shows why Pi Coin is worth tracking.
A bullish crossover is getting close. The 20-day EMA is rising toward the 50-day EMA. An EMA is a moving average that gives more weight to recent candles. When the shorter EMA crosses above the longer one, it often signals rising momentum.
If this crossover is completed, Pi Coin could attempt to reclaim the one level it has not been able to surpass since late October: $0.295.
A clean close above $0.295 would confirm strength. That move requires almost 15% from current levels, but Pi Coin has already demonstrated its ability to outperform when the market slows.
Support levels sit close. The first line is $0.252, which is just under the current price. If that breaks, the next supports are $0.232 and $0.220. Below that, a deeper drop could open $0.209, especially if the bullish crossover fails to complete.
XRP has jumped almost 26% since November 21, but the move has been quiet because the price keeps getting stuck at one level. Now the structure looks more interesting. Buying pressure on exchanges has surged massively in the past eight days, and the latest bearish hit failed to push the XRP price under support.
XRP is sitting just below the major barrier that has capped every attempt since mid-November. If this level breaks, the entire trend can flip.
Support Intact as the Falling Wedge Holds
XRP price continues to trade inside a falling wedge, a bullish pattern that narrows while the price moves lower. Wedges like this usually break upward once buyers show strength.
The lower band at $2.14 has absorbed every sell attempt since November 25. Even when the bearish crossover between the 100-day and 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) was completed, XRP did not break down. An EMA is a moving average that gives more weight to recent candles, and bearish crossovers normally add pressure. The fact that the price held firm shows that sellers lacked momentum.
At the same time, the XRP price has begun making higher volume pushes. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) line broke above the descending trendline that capped volume since November 10. OBV measures whether volume enters or exits a token. A breakout means more volume is entering the market. This shift often appears just before key resistance breaks.
However, a breakout confirmation is needed. OBV needs to make a higher high by crossing above its immediate resistance level of 6.64 billion.
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To unlock the bullish move, the XRP price still needs a clean close above $2.28. That level has blocked every upside attempt since November 17.
Exchange Outflows Signal Heavy Accumulation
On-chain flow data now supports the bullish case. Exchange net position change — which shows whether tokens are entering or leaving exchanges — flipped deeply negative on November 19. Negative (red) readings mean tokens are leaving exchanges, which signals buying pressure.
On November 19, XRP outflows were about –59.32 million tokens. By November 27, the number hit –650.45 million. That is a surge of almost 1000% in eight days. When outflows rise this fast inside a tight range, it usually means large buyers are accumulating.
This explains why the $2.14 floor never cracked even after the bearish EMA crossover.
Key Levels Decide Whether XRP Price Finally Breaks Out
The range remains narrow. The first and most important level is $2.28. It has been a strong resistance since November 17. If XRP closes above this line with rising volume, the next major target becomes $2.55, which is above the upper trendline of the wedge. A breakout above $2.55 would flip the broader structure bullish and could even confirm trend reversal.
If the XRP price fails and breaks under $2.14, the next support sits near $2.02. Losing that level delays any breakout. However, that would require a surge in selling pressure and mean that the OBV breakout failed to gain momentum.
For now, the setup leans bullish. Buying pressure is up almost 1000%. Volume has started to shift upward. Price continues to defend support. If XRP gains just 2% more and clears $2.28, it can finally break a ceiling that has held for over ten days — and start a new leg higher.
A new Binance listing can change everything for a small or mid-cap token. It brings more trading volume, more users, and more attention almost overnight. With December 2025 approaching, some altcoins are starting to show stronger charts, rising interest, and early signs that they may be positioning for an exchange upgrade.
If Binance adds any of them next month, the price reaction could be sharp. Here are three worth watching closely.
Irys (IRYS)
Irys (IRYS), the layer-1 data chain, is less than two days old in the CEX mix, but it already sits in the conversation for a new Binance listing. It is listed on Coinbase, which gives it early credibility, and Binance has launched the IRYS/USDT perpetual contract with 20x leverage. When Binance adds futures before spot, it often raises the odds of a full listing in the same window. That is why IRYS is on the December watchlist.
The market reacted fast. IRYS has jumped almost 80% in the past 24 hours, right as the perpetual contract went live.
On the 4-hour chart, it has gained about 131% from post-listing lows and now trades above the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). VWAP is the average traded price, adjusted for volume. Price holding above it shows buyers are still in control and leaves room for a fast, momentum push toward $0.054 first, then $0.063 and even $0.069.
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This setup breaks if IRYS slips back under VWAP. A clean drop below $0.046 would put support at risk and expose $0.038 or lower. That would cool the current Binance listing buzz and signal that traders are starting to sell into the hype instead of positioning for a new Binance listing breakout.
MYX Finance (MYX)
MYX Finance (MYX), a DEX project, is one of the stronger candidates for a new Binance listing. It sits near the top of the Binance Alpha board, carries the highest market cap in that group at about $571 million, and has held a decent amount of its listing gains despite being down about 5.7% over the past month. It is still up more than 115% across three months. Currently, it is available for spot trading on the likes of Bitget and Gate.
The daily chart shows MYX inside an ascending channel that has held since early November. The lower trendline has multiple touches and remains the stronger band. If price pushes above $3.05, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, MYX can attempt a move toward the upper side of the channel.
The bull-bear power indicator, which measures who is in control of short-term pressure, shows neither side dominating. That keeps the setup open. But if $2.59 fails, the structure weakens fast, and $2.31 becomes likely, cutting the new Binance listing momentum for December.
Monad (MON)
Monad (MON), the high-speed EVM-based chain, was listed on CEXs only a few days ago, on November 24. It is already tradable on Coinbase, KuCoin, Bybit, Gate, Bitget, and Upbit, which places it in the same early-exposure zone many tokens enter right before a new Binance listing push.
New Binance Listing For Monad, As Most CEXs Already Have it? : CoinGecko
On the 4-hour chart, the MON price needs to reclaim $0.049 to regain momentum. Bulls have weakened, but a new Binance listing burst could pull the price back toward that level. A clean break above $0.049 opens room for continuation.
If the MON price loses $0.040, the bull-bear power tilts negative and $0.033 becomes likely, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, an otherwise strong support. That would invalidate the near-term listing hype.
Black Friday falls on November 29, and several major altcoins are now trading at steep markdowns. These altcoins offering Black Friday discounts are not just cheap — they each have a setup that could turn the discount into a recovery if market conditions improve. Or even worsen!
One has an attainable path back toward its highs, one carries a deep reversal setup, and another sits inside a strong cycle narrative with heavy long-term discounting. All three offer different types of discount narratives.
BNB (BNB)
BNB is one of the few large-cap tokens that have maintained strong long-term performance. While Bitcoin is down about 6% year-on-year and Ethereum is down nearly 15%, BNB remains up around 35%. That strength makes the current pullback a more meaningful Black Friday discount rather than a symptom of weakness.
Its current discount? BNB is 37.1% below its all-time high, which was set roughly a month ago. That makes the markdown more relevant.
BNB is also closely tied to the broader market. Its +0.95 one-month correlation with Bitcoin shows it moves almost in sync with BTC. So, if the market turns, the BNB price tends to respond quickly.
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On the chart, BNB shows a clear continuation structure.
Between June 21 and November 21, the price formed a higher low, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) made a lower low. RSI measures momentum, and this pattern — price rising while RSI falls — hints that selling pressure is fading. A similar setup appeared earlier between June 22 and November 4, but the move stalled at the same ceiling BNB faces now. That ceiling is $1,016.
BNB needs a clean daily close above this level to confirm momentum. If it breaks:
$1,183 becomes the next target
Above that sits $1,375, very close to its all-time high and realistic if market sentiment shifts.
Its RSI divergence hints that the pullback may be ending
Its path back to the highs is short and achievable if Bitcoin stabilizes
Sei (SEI)
Sei also fits the list of altcoins offering Black Friday discounts because its markdown is deep, fresh, and supported by a clean reversal setup. And the DeFi-narrative could also be a strong driver.
Its discount is one of the steepest on this list. Sei is down 54% in the past three months and 88% below its all-time high, which was set in March 2024. That makes the markdown meaningful: the top isn’t from five or six years ago, so retesting higher zones isn’t unrealistic if conditions improve.
Perp traders are also turning more active. Top 100 addresses increased long exposure by 721%, signaling renewed interest.
Smart Money is still net-negative (short), but even here, positioning improved by 58.02%, showing that the most efficient traders are slowly easing off bearish bets.
The chart sends the clearest signal. Between October 10 and November 21, the price made a lower low, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) made a higher low. This is a classical bullish divergence and a possible reversal catalyst.
A similar structure formed between October 10 and November 4, when SEI bounced sharply before getting rejected at key resistance.
That creates the next set of levels. Sei must break $0.169 to confirm a real reversal. If it clears this, the path opens toward $0.195 (previous rejection level), and above that sits the heavier ceiling at $0.240.
Its discount is deep but recent enough to be meaningful
A clear RSI reversal setup is active
Early perp-side optimism supports the idea that the decline may be ending
Dash (DASH)
Dash fits a very different part of the altcoins offering Black Friday discounts theme because it sits inside the privacy token narrative, one of the few segments that have outperformed in this uneven cycle. Its one-year correlation with Bitcoin is –0.06, which means it can move the opposite way when the broader market falls.
The long-term markdown here is huge. DASH is still down more than 96% from its all-time high. The near-term pullback adds another layer to the discount.
DASH has dropped 26% over the past seven days, so buyers are still getting a marked-down entry even after the strong run earlier this quarter.
The chart now signals that this pullback may be fading. Between October 30 and November 25, the price made a higher low while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) made a lower low. This is a continuation setup (hidden bullish divergence), and it often appears when a broader uptrend pauses before resuming.
For Dash, trend-based Fibonacci extension levels help map the path ahead. The first barrier is $78. A clean break above this level clears the way toward $107 and higher. These targets are well within reach if the cycle narrative stays strong.
A drop under $52 breaks the continuation structure and puts $41 back on the chart. This is the level that acted as the floor during the early-November surge.
Here is why this discount narrative works:
Long-term markdown is massive and still intact.
Near-term pullback adds a fresh entry zone.
Privacy narrative and negative BTC correlation let DASH move on its own trend
The Zcash price traded flat over the past 24 hours, even as almost $2 billion in crypto positions were liquidated during the sell-off. This makes ZEC one of the few coins that held ground amid the broader market’s decline.
It is still up more than 27% week-on-week, but the next breakout is not guaranteed yet, unless the price clears one important hurdle.
Momentum Signals Reveal The Sell-Off Win, but Risks Are Not Gone
On the 12-hour chart, Zcash continues to move inside a rising channel. The upper trend line has only two touch points, so it can break easily if momentum improves. But the breakout theory did run into some issues during the sell-off, primarily led by three key indicators.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) shows if real demand is supporting the price. Between November 19 and 20, the price made a higher low, but OBV made a lower low.
That kind of bearish divergence weakens a trend. OBV touched the channel support on November 20 and bounced, avoiding a deeper breakdown. But ZEC needs OBV to move above 10.09 million to confirm stronger demand.
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Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks large wallet inflows, has been falling since November 7, which explains why ZEC failed to break the top of the rising channel.
CMF briefly crossed above zero on November 14 and helped trigger a mid-rally bump. The indicator is now back above the zero line. Yet, a move above 0.02 would be a stronger confirmation that money flow has recovered.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), the momentum indicator, however, added the main risk.
Between November 10 and 16, the Zcash price made a higher high, but RSI made a lower high. That bearish divergence showed momentum fading while the Zcash price rose.
RSI Hitting Zcash Price In The First Place: TradingView
This is also when bears briefly took control, and it matches the OBV and CMF weakness. Now RSI is moving with the price again, showing momentum support coming back. That is why Zcash “barely” beat the sell-off instead of flipping into a deeper reversal.
Zcash Price Levels Show the Breakout War Still Ahead
The Zcash price levels now decide whether bulls can take control of the breakout war.
The first major barrier is $766, the first breakout target. This is the trend-based extension zone before which ZEC stalled earlier. Clearing $766 would show the first real shift in momentum.
If ZEC breaks $766, the next key target is $978. That level also represents the breakout possibility of the rising channel itself. A clean move above $978 would open the path toward four-digit prices.
On the downside, $635 is the first support. Losing it exposes $555. A drop under $555 would push ZEC out of the rising channel and turn the trend neutral. This is where the bull-bear power indicator matters.
The bull-bear power indicator compares price to a basic trend value to show who is controlling short-term strength. Post the RSI divergence (10–16 November), bears briefly took control, matching the mid-channel pullback.
But the indicator has flipped back into the positive zone now, which means bulls are in control again. Because bulls now lead on the bull-bear power indicator, the breakout war intensifies above $766. If the Zcash price breaks $766 while bull-bear power stays positive, Zcash gets a real chance to attack $978, the key breakout level that would decide the next leg of the trend.
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