Bitcoin has dropped below $100,000 for the second time in a week, losing 12% in a month. The overall crypto market has lost over $700 billion in the past month, as the Fear and Greed Index has fallen to ‘extreme fear’. 

So, do all of these market indicators signal a bear market? Let’s analyze the technical and historical data. 

Sentiment Signals Are at Bear-Market Levels

The Fear & Greed Index at 10 reflects extreme fear comparable to early 2022 and June 2022, both confirmed bear-market phases.

• Yesterday: 16
  
• Last week: 20
  
• Last month: 28
  

The trend shows accelerating fear, not stabilizing sentiment. Bear runs usually begin with this kind of persistent fear compression.

However, sentiment alone does not confirm a bear market — it only signals capitulation or exhaustion.

Bitcoin Has Broken Its Most Important Bull-Market Support

The 365-day moving average is the long-term structural pivot.

Current situation:

• The 365-day MA is near $102,000.
  
• Bitcoin is trading below it.
  
• The breakdown mirrors December 2021, when price lost the same MA and the bear market started.
  

Historically:

Cycle	MA Lost?	Outcome
2018	Yes	Full bear market
2021	Yes	Full bear market
2025	Yes (now)	Bear-phase risk rising

Failing to reclaim this level quickly often confirms a cycle regime shift. This is one of the strongest technical arguments for a bear-market transition.

Bitcoin "Death Cross" Just Flashed!

The Death Cross (An ironically BULLISH indicator) has just triggered, EXACTLY timed with BTC tagging the lower boundary of the megaphone pattern it's in.

Several weeks ago we predicted this would happen around mid-November. Well, here we are.… https://t.co/quqAs4qhXn pic.twitter.com/xBDjoMFnrL

— 𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙 (@ColinTCrypto) November 15, 2025

On-Chain Cost Basis Shows Early Capitulation, Not Distribution Top

The 6–12 month UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) realized price now sits around $94,600. Bitcoin price currently stands slightly above this level.

This matters because:

• These holders bought during the ETF rally.
  
• They represent “bull-cycle conviction buyers.”
  
• When their position enters loss, market structure weakens.
  

In 2021, Bitcoin price falling below this cohort’s cost basis was one of the final signals before the extended downtrend. This is the first time that cost-basis stress has reappeared since 2022.

This supports the idea of a mid-cycle break, not yet a full macro bear trend.

BULL MARKETS DON’T END LIKE THIS!

I’ve been around for multiple bull/bear markets,
2001 dotcom, 2008 housing, 2017 crypto , 2021 crypto etc etc.

When bull markets end , either something breaks or belief in the asset/ market crumbles.

In 2001, people really doubted the…

— Ran Neuner (@cryptomanran) November 15, 2025

RSI Shows Oversold Conditions, Typical of Mid-Cycle Crashes

Market-wide RSI readings:

• Average crypto RSI: 43.09
  
• BTC RSI is among the lowest in large caps
  
• Only 2.5% of assets are overbought
  
• Most are in oversold territory
  

This resembles May–July 2021, August 2023, and August 2024. Each was a mid-cycle correction, not an end-of-cycle bear. When RSI stays deeply oversold for weeks, bearish momentum confirms.

Right now, RSI shows stress but not yet trend reversal.

MACD Shows Strong Divergence Across the Market

The average normalized MACD is currently 0.02. This indicates weak bullish momentum returning. Also, 58% of the market assets have positive momentum. 

Bitcoin, however, sits deep in the negative zone while altcoins are mixed.

When BTC has negative MACD but the market still has 50%+ positive momentum, the market is in a transition phase rather than a full bear trend.

In full bear markets, 90%+ of assets show negative MACD simultaneously. Right now, that is not the case.

So, Is This a Bear Market?

The crypto market is not in a confirmed bear market — it is in a mid-cycle breakdown with a rising probability of becoming a bear market if two conditions are met.

These are the three conditions that would confirm a bear run:

1. Bitcoin remains below the 365-day MA for 4–6 weeks. This triggered every bear market in 2014, 2018, and 2022.
2. Long-term holders continue heavy distribution. If LTH (long-term holder) selling exceeds 1M BTC over 60 days, the cycle top is in.
3. MACD flips fully negative across the entire market. We are not there yet.

TBH this is the easiest bear market I've ever seen.

Seems like most of you have forgotten what 2022 was like. Luna collapsing, then 3AC, then FTX, then Genesis, BlockFi, Axie, NFTs–pretty much everything felt like a house of cards.

And then after all that stuff collapsed, the… https://t.co/DUwOZCBG3K

— Haseeb ＞|＜ (@hosseeb) November 14, 2025

Overall, crypto is not yet in a bear market, but the current breakdown puts the market in a high-risk zone where a bear market could form if Bitcoin fails to reclaim long-term support soon.

The post Is Crypto in a Bear Market Now? A Full Market Structure Assessment  appeared first on BeInCrypto.

HBAR is down almost 11% in the past week, and yesterday it finally broke below its neckline, completing the head and shoulders pattern we projected on November 13. Despite the breakdown, the last 24 hours have been surprisingly flat.

And while the structure still points toward lower levels, early signs suggest that traders betting on deeper downside may be walking into a bear trap instead. Here is why.

---

Selling Rises and Shorts Pile Up — But The Setup Isn’t That Simple

HBAR’s spot flows show a sharp shift in behaviour after the breakdown. On November 14, HBAR recorded –4.03 million in net outflows, meaning more tokens were leaving exchanges as buyers accumulated.

Today, after the pattern breakdown confirmed, flows flipped to +420,790 HBAR.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

That is a 110% swing from negative to positive netflow — a clear sign that sellers have stepped in aggressively after the pattern break.

The derivatives market shows an even stronger tilt. On Bitget’s liquidation map alone, short exposure is $16.71 million, while long exposure is $6.09 million. This means shorts now control 73% of all leveraged positions — about 2.7 times more than longs.

This kind of crowded positioning often fuels the conditions for a bear trap risk, where price briefly reverses upward and forces shorts to close their positions at a loss.

The HBAR price breakdown has occurred, yes — but this positioning makes it dangerous to assume the move will continue uninterrupted.

---

One Move Could Drive HBAR Price Rebound, Hitting Short Liquidations

The price chart contains the key reason a bear trap is possible. While HBAR broke below the neckline, the follow-through has been weak. At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) — a metric that measures price momentum to show if an asset is oversold or overbought — is showing a notable pattern.

Between October 17 and November 14, the price made a lower low, while RSI formed a higher low. This is a bullish RSI divergence, and it often appears just before a short-term reversal attempt.

If the divergence plays out, the first trigger is a move back above $0.160, which is exactly where the neckline sits. Reclaiming this level puts a large block of short positions at risk.

The liquidation map shows that shorts begin getting squeezed as the price rises above this zone.

A push above $0.180 would confirm the trap is fully in place and force even deeper short liquidations, giving HBAR room for a stronger rebound. However, the trap only works if buyers hold key support levels.

If HBAR drops below $0.155, the divergence weakens and the downtrend regains control. In that case, the head and shoulders projection remains valid, opening the way toward the earlier bearish target near $0.113.

The post HBAR Price Breakdown Was Expected — The Bear Trap Risk Was Not appeared first on BeInCrypto.

XRP price is down almost 8% in the past week, and even though the last 24 hours have been flat, the absence of red cannot be mistaken for strength.

The chart and on-chain data indicate that XRP is under real pressure, despite one group of investors continuing to buy the dip.

---

Short-Term Holders Keep Buying — But One Group Doesn’t Agree

HODL Waves — a metric that shows how much supply each holding-duration group controls — reveals that two short-term cohorts have been steadily accumulating XRP through the month.

On October 16, wallets holding XRP for 1–3 months controlled 8.94% of supply. As of November 14, they hold 9.17%.

Another short-term cohort, the 1-week to 1-month group, has increased from 3.74% to 5.53% of the supply in the same period.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Despite the XRP price dropping 7.8% over the past 30 days, these groups are accumulating, likely positioning for short-term bounces.

But this buying doesn’t seem strong enough to lift the price for one key reason.

The Hodler Net Position Change — a metric that tracks the amount of long-term investor supply entering or leaving wallets — indicates that long-term holders are selling aggressively. It showed heavy negative flow on November 3, when long-term wallets removed 102.50 million XRP. Instead of easing, outflows continued to rise.

By November 14, the number had jumped to 181.50 million XRP: a 77% increase in long-term selling pressure in less than two weeks.

This is the core reason the XRP price was unable to bounce: short-term buying is being overwhelmed by long-term exits.

---

XRP Price Feels the Pressure as Big Money Steps Back

On the chart, XRP is still struggling to break above $2.26, a strong 0.618 Fibonacci resistance level. The push higher is weakening because money inflows are fading rapidly.

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) — which measures buying and selling pressure — has plunged since November 10. It now sits at –0.15, showing net outflows. CMF has also broken below a descending trendline, indicating that larger investors are withdrawing rather than adding. When CMF stays negative while breaking trend support, upside attempts usually fail.

If weakness continues, XRP risks losing $2.17, exposing a deeper move toward $2.06. A breakdown below $2.06 would invalidate any short-term bullish attempts.

The only way to regain momentum is a clean daily close above $2.38 — a level that has rejected the price multiple times this month. Clearing it could open a path toward $2.57 and flip the near-term structure bullish.

The post XRP Dip Buyers Are Active — So Why Is the Price Still Falling? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

November has been rough for most of the market, and even several ‘made in USA’ coins have slipped significantly. The broader trend has been weak, with few assets holding their levels while traders wait for a clearer direction.

But as the market tries to stabilise, three of these US-based coins are showing early signs that they could rebound. One has a rare negative correlation with Bitcoin. Another is forming a clean reversal structure. And the third coin has drawn sudden whale activity. These factors make them worth watching this week.

Litecoin (LTC)

One of the first made in USA coins to watch this week is Litecoin (LTC). It has climbed a little over 8% in the past 30 days and about 7% in the past 24 hours, showing unexpected resilience during a rough November.

A big reason behind this strength is its negative correlation with Bitcoin. The Pearson correlation coefficient between LTC and BTC sits at –0.01 over the past month.

The Pearson coefficient measures how two assets move relative to each other; a negative reading means they move in different directions.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Since Bitcoin has dropped more than 13.5% in the same period, Litecoin’s lack of correlation has actually helped it hold better than most top coins.

But correlation is not the only factor here. The chart is also forming a clean inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the price now hovering near $102.

If LTC manages a daily close above $119, it would complete the pattern and open the door to a move toward $135 or higher if broader conditions improve. This resistance level has capped upside attempts before, so a break would signal real momentum.

The Smart Money Index, which tracks how informed or early-moving traders position themselves, has also begun turning up since November 13.

That shift shows some early confidence returning as LTC pushes toward the pattern’s neckline. The combination of a curling Smart Money Index and price pressing into a breakout zone makes this week especially important for this setup.

If buyers fail to lift Litecoin above resistance, the first key support sits at $93. A drop below that level weakens the reversal structure, and falling under $79 would invalidate the pattern entirely.

Solana (SOL)

Among the ‘made in USA’ coins gaining attention this week, Solana (SOL) stands out for a different reason. It has had a rough month, dropping almost 27% over the past 30 days. Even so, the chart is starting to show hints of a possible short-term reversal that traders cannot ignore.

The signal comes from the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures price momentum to show when an asset may be overbought or oversold.

Between November 4 and November 14, Solana’s price formed a lower low, while RSI formed a higher low. This formation is known as a bullish RSI divergence, and it often appears just before a trend attempts to turn, even if the reversal is brief.

If this divergence plays out, Solana’s immediate test is $162. It is a strong resistance level that has held since November 5 (breaking once in between).

Breaking above $162 would open the door toward $170. And if momentum strengthens, the price could push as high as $205 in the short term.

But the setup only holds if buyers defend $135. A drop below that support would weaken the structure and expose $126.

Chainlink (LINK)

The final pick on this week’s list is Chainlink (LINK), which has had a tough month of its own. It has declined by more than 20% over the past 30 days and has logged an additional 10%+ drop during the past week.

Even so, something unusual has appeared in its holder activity, making LINK a key token to watch this week as the market attempts to stabilise.

Despite the decline, whale accumulation has surged in the last seven days. Regular whale holdings have jumped 8.92%, while the top 100 addresses—larger “mega whales”—have increased their combined stash by 1.51%.

When whales buy into weakness instead of exiting, it often hints at early positioning for a potential reversal.

The chart explains why they may be stepping in. Between October 10 and November 14, LINK’s price made a lower low, while its RSI formed a higher low. This created a standard bullish divergence. This is the same momentum shift seen in Solana, and it often appears near the early stages of trend reversals.

For the setup to activate, LINK needs to reclaim $16.10, which requires roughly a 17% move from current levels. Clearing $16.10 opens the path toward $17.57.

If a daily close forms above that zone, LINK could stretch toward $21.64 or higher if broader market conditions improve.

If buyers fail to hold support, the key level to watch is $13.72. A daily candle close below it would break the current structure and likely invalidate the bullish reversal signal. The reversal, then, would have to wait longer.

The post 3 Made In USA Coins to Watch in the Third Week of November appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The cryptocurrency market has spent most of November in the red, with the TOTAL index dropping approximately 20% month-over-month, before rebounding briefly at press time. That weakness has revived talk that a new bear market may already be starting.

Yet despite the fear, crypto whales are buying, which shows that the biggest wallets are positioning early instead of exiting. These wallets are quietly adding to three tokens that are not hype-driven but supported by real activity and fundamentals. Their 30-day accumulation suggests early preparation in case the broader market breaks lower.

Optimism (OP)

The first token that crypto whales are buying, while expecting a bear market, is Optimism (OP). The broader crypto market has dropped sharply over the past month, and this altcoin is down 13.3%, yet the biggest OP whales show firm conviction.

The top 100 Optimism addresses have increased their holdings by 3.15% over the last 30 days. At today’s OP price, that addition is worth roughly $54 million, showing that mega whales are not shaken by market weakness.

Optimism is one of the larger Layer-2 scaling projects, which could be why whales see long-term value even if market sentiment weakens.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Their confidence lines up with the chart. On the two-day timeframe, OP’s price made a lower low between April 7 and November 3, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a higher low.

The RSI measures momentum to show when an asset is overbought or oversold. This mismatch is a bullish RSI divergence, a signal that often appears when downside pressure is fading and a larger trend reversal may be forming.

Crypto whales often look for these shifts when positioning early into altcoins.

For that reversal to activate, OP needs a clean break above $0.47, a level that has blocked every rally since mid-October. A breakout there opens the path to $0.61, and even $0.85 if sentiment improves.

On the downside, losing $0.38 puts $0.31 back in play. A breakdown below $0.31 exposes $0.23 and would invalidate the bullish setup whales seem to be positioning for.

Aster (ASTER)

The next token crypto whales are buying is Aster (ASTER). The pace here is significantly faster than what we saw in Optimism. Over the past 30 days, whales have expanded their holdings by 140%, pushing their total stash to 67.03 million ASTER.

At the current price of nearly $1.13, the total whale stack is worth approximately $75.7 million, with nearly $44 million coming from recent buying.

Smart money wallets have also moved in the same direction. Their holdings have jumped 678% over the past month.

The chart supports the actions these wallets are taking. The ASTER price has broken out of a falling channel on the 12-hour chart, indicating that the bearish trend is losing force. You can also see a clear standard bullish RSI divergence between October 17 and November 14.

The ASTER price made a lower low during that period, while the RSI made a higher low. That shift suggests momentum is turning, and price could follow if buyers stay active.

Short-term price action already reflects some of this. Aster is up almost 9% in the past 24 hours, but the bigger picture still leans toward a reversal rather than a simple bounce.

If this structure continues to hold, the next major hurdle sits at $1.29. This level blocked the rally attempt on November 2, so a clean close would confirm stronger upside.

If that break happens, Aster could stretch toward $1.59 next.

On the downside, $1.11 remains the first line of support. Losing $1.11 opens the path to $1.00, and if that fails, the deeper level at $0.81 would come into play.

Maple Finance (SYRUP)

The third token crypto whales are buying, expecting a bear market, is Maple Finance (SYRUP). Maple is a DeFi lending project that focuses on institutional credit. Its setup is bullish, but in a more measured way compared to Optimism and Aster.

Over the past 30 days, the top 100 mega-whale addresses have increased their holdings by 3.47%, raising their combined stash to 1.11 billion SYRUP.

At the current price, the total mega-whale stack is valued at approximately $499.5 million. Other holder groups are moving in the same direction.

Smart money wallets have added 1.86%, and regular whales have increased their holdings by 4.57%. When all these groups point in the same direction, it usually reflects rising confidence.

The chart shows why traders might be positioning here. SYRUP is trying to complete an inverse head and shoulders pattern (for quite some time now).

The neckline is currently positioned near $0.53. If the price moves above it, the breakout becomes valid, and the target would extend toward $0.65 or even higher.

There is also the On-Balance Volume (OBV) trend to consider. On-Balance Volume (OBV) is an indicator that tracks buying and selling pressure. Buying has appeared on OBV, but the indicator is still sitting under a falling trendline that began around October 14.

For a stronger trend reversal, whales likely want to see both: a break above the neckline at $0.53 and OBV breaking that trendline at the same time.

When price and OBV break together, rallies tend to hold better.

For now, the setup shows conviction, not confirmation. Yet, if buyers fail and the price slips, the invalidation sits at $0.38. A drop under $0.38 would weaken the pattern and could push SYRUP toward $0.28.

The post What Crypto Whales are Buying Amid the Bear Market appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Aster moved to calm its community after a miscommunication on CoinMarketCap (CMC) led users to believe the project had quietly changed its token unlock schedule. 

The team said the tokenomics remain unchanged and blamed an update on CMC for creating the confusion.

ASTER Token Unlock Confusion

The clarification came hours after Aster community members noticed major upcoming unlocks listed on CMC — including one for December 2025 and two massive releases scheduled for 2035. 

This contradicts earlier statements from the exchange about delaying 2025 unlocks to mid-2026.

A recent update to the tokenomics of ASTER on CoinMarketCap (CMC) has caused confusion within the community. This confusion stemmed from a miscommunication, and we sincerely apologize for the inconvenience caused. We want to clarify that the ASTER tokenomics remain unchanged.…

— Aster (@Aster_DEX) November 15, 2025

The uncertainty started when updated CMC data showed 200 million ASTER scheduled to unlock on December 15, 2025, followed by 3.86 billion ASTER and 1.6 billion ASTER unlocks in 2035. 

Those figures implied that 75% of the token supply was still locked, with 24% currently circulating.

Aster said the CMC update was meant to correct circulating supply information and clarify how unused ecosystem tokens were being treated. 

The team said the tokens that unlock monthly under the ecosystem allocation have never entered circulation and have remained untouched in a locked address since TGE.

To avoid further confusion, Aster will now transfer these unlocked-but-unused tokens to a public, dedicated unlock address to separate them from operational wallets. 

The team said it has no plans to spend from this address.

Why This Matters for ASTER Holders

The episode highlights a recurring issue in crypto markets. Inconsistent or unclear circulating supply data can influence price action, investor expectations, and perceived dilution risk.

Aster’s circulating supply sits around 2.017 billion ASTER, with 6.06 billion still locked. Market cap is roughly $2.28 billion, while the fully diluted value exceeds $9 billion.

A sudden interpretation that large unlocks were imminent may have fueled speculation about dilution, especially as the project recently saw heavy trading volume and rising volatility.

Despite the confusion, ASTER traded higher on the day, moving around $1.14, up about 8% in 24 hours. The price has fluctuated between $1.02–$1.15, stabilizing after an early-morning sell-off.

The post Aster Clarifies Tokenomics After Confusion Over Token Unlock Delays appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The Bitcoin price has dropped sharply this month. Since early November, it has fallen almost 15%, turning one of the strongest assets of the year into one of the weakest in the current pullback.

The drop has pushed the market into two camps again. Some believe this is the start of a deeper correction. Others believe the cycle is still unfolding, and this is merely an oversized dip. The next move depends on one level. If Bitcoin reclaims it, the rebound setup activates. If it fails there, the downside can widen fast.

Bitcoin Momentum Softens the Fall, but One Level Must Validate It

There are early signs that sellers may be losing strength.

The Relative Strength Index entered the oversold zone this week and has since reversed. That usually shows that selling pressure is easing.

A longer-term pattern also supports that view. Between April 30 and November 14, Bitcoin price formed a higher low, which means the broader trend is not fully broken. However, over the same period, the RSI also made a lower low. This is a hidden bullish divergence, a signal that often appears when a strong trend is attempting to resume after a significant correction.

For the RSI sign to play out, the Bitcoin price must cross above $100,300 ( a key support since late April), which might now act as a psychological resistance.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Supply data points to the same area on the chart. The UTXO Realized Price Distribution shows a large band of long-term Bitcoins created near the $100,900 zone.

When a cluster like this forms, it often becomes a significant decision point because a large portion of the supply is at the same cost basis. This cost-basis cluster falls near the resistance level highlighted on the RSI chart.

This is why the momentum story only matters if the BTC price closes back above that region. Without that close, the divergence and oversold readings remain unconfirmed.

A One-Year Low in NUPL Keeps the Bottoming Case Alive

The second argument for a rebound comes from the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric.

NUPL has now dropped to 0.40, its lowest reading in a year. This means the market is back to holding very thin unrealized profits, similar to early-cycle periods.

The last time NUPL hit a comparable low was in April. From there, Bitcoin climbed roughly 46% in less than two months. While this does not guarantee a repeat, it shows the market is entering a familiar pressure zone where rebounds often form if the price can stabilize.

But again, this indicator also depends on price reclaiming the same resistance band. Without that, the Bitcoin bottoming theory stays open but inactive.

Bitcoin Price Trades in a Falling Channel — With Two Critical Levels In Sight

Bitcoin remains within a falling channel, maintaining a bearish short-term trend.

The first step out of it is simple: regain $100,300. A daily close above $101,600 strengthens the move and flips the old support back into support.

If that happens, the next important level sits near $106,300. Breaking above it would push Bitcoin out of the falling channel. That would shift the trend from bearish to neutral and could turn it bullish if momentum improves.

The bust risk sits underneath. The lower band of the channel only has two clean touches, which makes it structurally weak. If Bitcoin loses $93,900–$92,800, the pattern opens deeper levels, and the “extended cycle” view becomes much harder to defend.

Right now, everything rests on one decision point. Above $100,300, the Bitcoin price stabilizes. Below $93,900, the slide can get much worse.

The post This Bitcoin Price Level Stands Between Boom and Bust appeared first on BeInCrypto.

SACHI, the upcoming blockchain-based gaming ecosystem, is kicking off “SACHI: The Origin”, a five-day NFT pre-launch event celebrating the first generation of SACHI players. The campaign runs November 12-17, offering only 200 exclusive NFTs, known as The SACHI OGs.

Each NFT represents a piece of SACHI history and a symbolic badge of early adoption. Holders gain early access to the closed beta, starter in-game perks, and eligibility for future rewards once the game and $SACHI token officially launch.

“The Origin is where the SACHI story begins,” said Jonas Martisius, CEO at SACHI. “These NFTs aren’t just collectibles – they’re a signal that you helped start the movement before the $SACHI token launch. They mark who was here first, and that’s something worth celebrating.”

Why SACHI: The Origin Matters

The Origin NFT Drop is designed as a social ignition, building hype and engagement in the final days before the Token Generation Event (TGE). By minting an Origin NFT, players are not only claiming a rare digital collectible but also joining the earliest wave of SACHI supporters – helping shape the community from day one.

Key Highlights:

• Scarcity & exclusivity: Only 200 NFTs, available for 5 days.
• Early access & advantages: Special in-game perks and rewards.
• Community recognition: Holders receive an exclusive “Origin” status within the SACHI ecosystem and early visibility across official channels.

The Origin mint is first-come, first-served – only 200 NFTs will ever exist. The window closes once they’re gone or just before SACHI’s game launch, scheduled a few days after the $SACHI TGE on November 19. Early participants have only a short time to claim their NFT and secure verified OG status in the SACHI universe.

About SACHI

SACHI is an Immersive Gaming Universe that blends social competition, adventure, and iGaming. The platform is designed to reward players not just for gameplay but also for community engagement, creativity, and early participation.

By integrating blockchain-based NFTs, tokenized rewards, and exclusive community perks, SACHI aims to create a vibrant, self-sustaining ecosystem where players are truly part of the story.

The Origin marks the beginning of that journey – offering a first chance to engage with the platform and claim a lasting stake in its history. With a focus on community, scarcity, and meaningful rewards, SACHI positions its early adopters as the foundation of its growing  universe.

The Time to Claim Your Legacy Don’t miss your chance to secure permanent recognition and expedited access in the SACHI Universe: Website | X | Telegram

The post SACHI Announces “The Origin” – Exclusive NFT Mint Ahead of $SACHI Token Launch appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Bitcoin fell to $94,000 on Friday, driving concerns of further liquidation and heading towards a yearly low of $76,000. BTC faces growing downside pressure after dropping under its 365-day moving average, a level that has defined the current bull cycle’s support. 

The breakdown has revived concerns of a larger correction, especially as key on-chain cost-basis levels show early signs of stress.

Will Bitcoin Price Drop Below $90,000?

The 365-day moving average, now near $102,000, has acted as Bitcoin’s primary structural floor since late 2023. 

Bitcoin’s failure to reclaim it this week echoes the pattern seen in December 2021, when repeated rejections at this level marked the beginning of the 2022 bear market.

However, the broader market context suggests a mid-cycle reset rather than a full macro top. Liquidity conditions remain unstable, ETF flows turned negative, and long-term holders have been distributing at the fastest pace since early 2024.

Even so, the loss of the 365-day average remains significant. 

Good day to remember this.
Once Bitcoin breaks below the 365-day MA, its pretty difficult to recover. Judging by the data of how previous bear markets started, I would say we are in one.

It would take a complete turnaround of demand, sentiment, capital flows to revert the… https://t.co/IsUlwqAbq0

— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) November 14, 2025

Historically, remaining below this line for several weekly closes triggers deeper retracements. A sustained breakdown increases the probability of a move toward sub-$90,000.

On-chain data reinforces this risk. The realized price for Bitcoin holders who entered between 6 and 12 months ago is near $94,600. 

This group accumulated heavily during the ETF-driven rally, and their cost basis often acts as a first capitulation zone in bull markets. 

On Friday, Bitcoin briefly traded below this threshold, pushing many of these holders into unrealized losses.

Those who entered Bitcoin 6 to 12 months ago have a cost basis near 94K.

Personally, I do not think the bear cycle is confirmed unless we lose that level. I would rather wait than jump to conclusions. pic.twitter.com/i9a5M0xnMW

— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) November 14, 2025

Similar breaks occurred in both 2017–2018 and 2021–2022. Each period saw prolonged declines after price slipped below the 6–12 month cost-basis band. 

This trend suggests rising pressure on recent buyers and increases the chance of a deeper reset.

Long-range cycle data provides additional context. Bitcoin’s bull cycles show recurring mid-cycle corrections of 25% to 40%. 

Using the 2025 peak near $125,000, a typical pullback would place Bitcoin between $75,000 and $93,000. These drawdown levels align closely with current technical and on-chain floors.

I see stories about "old whales dumping bitcoin", but the data does not support those stories.

Almost 7 million BTC transacted onchain in 2025. Most BTC came from 2024 transactions. One big 84k BTC 2011 whale. And some 2017-2023 sellers. But that's it, business as usual. pic.twitter.com/w2aHjJ3XmD

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) November 12, 2025

As a result, analysts see three major zones forming. 

Key Bitcoin Price Levels To Watch

The first support sits at $92,000 to $95,000, matching the 6–12 month cost basis and recent ETF inflow levels. This area is likely the first reaction point. 

However, a stronger correction could push Bitcoin into the $85,000 to $90,000 band, which aligns with a standard 25%–30% mid-cycle decline.

The bearish scenario extends deeper. If ETF outflows accelerate and macro conditions worsen, Bitcoin could retest the $75,000 to $82,000 zone. 

This would represent a 35%–40% drawdown from the cycle high and match previous mid-cycle resets. Drops below $70,000 remain unlikely without a major liquidity shock.

Despite the recent weakness, Bitcoin has not shown a blow-off top or a structural exhaustion pattern. This suggests that current moves form part of a broader consolidation within the bull market, not the start of a new multi-year downtrend.

For now, Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim the 365-day moving average will determine the depth of the correction. 

A quick recovery would ease selling pressure and reduce the likelihood of a move under $90,000. 

Continued rejection, however, raises the probability of a deeper test of the mid-cycle support zones.

The post Will Bitcoin Price Drop Below $90,000 as Key Psychological Support Fails?  appeared first on BeInCrypto.