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US Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Bill Until 2026

16 December 2025 at 06:52

The US Senate has delayed the long-awaited Crypto Market Structure Bill, pushing final consideration into early 2026. Lawmakers ran out of legislative time as internal disputes stalled consensus on key provisions.

The delay prolongs regulatory uncertainty for crypto exchanges, issuers, and institutional investors operating in the US.

Why the Crypto Market Structure Bill Was Delayed

The bill, built on the House-passed Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, aims to define how digital assets are regulated. It would formally split oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

However, unresolved disagreements over jurisdiction, DeFi oversight, and consumer protections slowed progress.

🚨NEW: In a statement, a Senate Banking Committee spokesperson confirmed my reporting from this AM that @BankingGOP will not hold a market structure markup this year:

“Chairman Scott and the Senate Banking Committee have made strong progress with Democratic counterparts on… pic.twitter.com/op5rIyMn3d

— Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) December 15, 2025

Senate negotiators struggled to reconcile differences between the Banking and Agriculture committees. These committees oversee the SEC and CFTC respectively, and both claim authority over crypto spot markets.

As a result, lawmakers could not finalize language that both sides supported before the session ended.

DeFi regulation also emerged as a major sticking point. Some senators pushed for exemptions for decentralized protocols with no controlling intermediary.

Others warned that broad exemptions could weaken enforcement and create regulatory gaps.

Consumer advocacy groups added pressure by opposing parts of the bill. They argue the framework shifts power away from the SEC and risks weakening investor protections after several high-profile crypto failures.

This opposition prompted further revisions and slowed negotiations.

Despite the delay, the bill differs sharply from other crypto legislation already passed. Unlike the GENIUS Act, which focuses narrowly on stablecoins, the market structure bill targets the entire crypto trading ecosystem.

It sets rules for exchanges, brokers, custody providers, and token issuers under a unified federal framework.

The bill also goes further than enforcement-led regulation. It introduces formal asset classification standards and limits reliance on court rulings to define whether tokens are securities or commodities.

Lawmakers say this approach would replace regulatory uncertainty with statutory clarity.

The post US Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Bill Until 2026 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

How a Potential Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Could Impact Crypto Markets

16 December 2025 at 06:22

Diplomatic efforts to end the Russia–Ukraine war gained visible momentum on Monday, as US, Ukrainian, and European officials outlined the foundations of a possible ceasefire and post-war security framework.

The developments mark one of the most substantive diplomatic advances since the conflict began. The positive signs are already prompting investors to reassess geopolitical risk across global markets, including cryptocurrencies.

For crypto, which has recently suffered sharp declines tied to global risk-off dynamics, a ceasefire could alter sentiment, but not without important caveats.

Diplomatic Momentum Builds For Russian-Ukraine Ceasefire

Negotiators from Ukraine, the US, and key European allies met in Berlin this week for an intensive round of talks focused on ending hostilities and preventing renewed conflict. 

Officials involved in the discussions described progress as significant, with alignment reached on most elements of a proposed framework.

US officials confirmed that Washington has agreed to support meaningful security guarantees for Ukraine as part of a peace arrangement, addressing Kyiv’s long-standing demand for protection against future aggression. 

Flood of positive-sounding headlines as US official briefs media on Ukraine talks, says 90% of issues solved, Polymarket pricing just 3% odds of ceasefire this year pic.twitter.com/IMVlegXJGW

— db (@tier10k) December 15, 2025

According to officials familiar with the talks, negotiators are now aligned on roughly 90% of the framework. 

However, remaining disagreements centered on territorial questions in eastern Ukraine, particularly in the Donetsk region.

European leaders reinforced the diplomatic push by endorsing plans for a European-led multinational force that would assist in stabilizing Ukraine if a ceasefire holds. The proposal also includes a US-backed monitoring and verification mechanism designed to oversee ceasefire compliance and respond to violations.

Most recent polls suggest that only 38% of Ukraine's population are in favor of giving up any territory, even if it means the war must drag on. pic.twitter.com/kSsAPc6ZsS

— SPRAVDI — Stratcom Centre (@StratcomCentre) December 11, 2025

Public opinion inside Ukraine continues to act as a constraint on negotiations. Polling cited by Reuters shows that most Ukrainians oppose major territorial concessions or limits on the country’s military capabilities unless backed by firm and enforceable security commitments.

Fighting Continues Despite Negotiations

Even as diplomacy advances, military operations have not paused. On Monday, Ukrainian forces carried out additional long-range drone strikes against Russian oil infrastructure in the Caspian Sea, disrupting production at key platforms for the third time in recent days. 

The attacks highlight Kyiv’s strategy of applying economic pressure on Russia’s energy revenues while negotiations remain unresolved.

Ukraine has opened another front against Russia. Ukraine has begun striking Russian oil platforms and ships in the Caspian Sea. Russia is helpless to stop these Ukrainian drone and missile attacks. pic.twitter.com/bD3YW5Yg4P

— Jake Broe (@RealJakeBroe) December 14, 2025

Ukraine also claimed it struck a Russian Kilo-class submarine in the port of Novorossiysk using underwater drones. 

If confirmed, would underscore the growing sophistication of Ukraine’s asymmetric naval capabilities. Independent verification of the claim remains limited, and Russian officials have denied damage.

What a Ceasefire Could Mean for Crypto Markets

1. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand, Improved Risk Appetite

A credible ceasefire would remove one of the largest sources of global tail risk. In markets where risk sentiment is a major driver, such a de-escalation can:

  • Boost risk assets broadly, reducing demand for traditional safe havens like the US Treasuries and the US dollar.
  • Support assets like Bitcoin and major altcoins as investors rotate back toward higher-beta investments.
  • Lower implied volatility across equity and digital asset markets.

The mechanics are straightforward: with reduced geopolitical risk, funds that fled to safety may redeploy into risk assets, potentially lifting Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. A stronger risk appetite could also benefit altcoins, which tend to outperform in relief rallies.

Polymarket Odds On Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire By Early 2026 Have Increased. Source: Polymarket

2. Energy and Inflation Narrative

A sustained ceasefire could also affect commodity markets, especially if it lessens pressure on energy prices. Lower or stabilized global energy prices could:

  • Dampen inflation expectations in Europe and elsewhere.
  • Reduce pressure on central banks to maintain restrictive policy settings.
  • Allow liquidity conditions to ease further, which historically has supported higher valuations in risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

However, this transmission is neither direct nor immediate. It depends on how quickly markets perceive structural changes in energy markets and central bank policy trajectories.

What Might Limit the Crypto Recovery

While a ceasefire can reduce geopolitical risk, it cannot fully offset macro headwinds that influenced crypto markets over the past months:

  • Persisting central bank uncertainty: If the Bank of Japan proceeds with tightening and the US data continues to suggest sticky inflation, liquidity could remain constrained, muting upside in risk assets.
  • Derivative market positioning: Leverage has been a significant catalyst of past crypto declines. Relief rallies can trigger fresh positioning and high funding rates, only to be reversed if macro forces reassert.
  • Liquidity conditions: A ceasefire is good news, but sustained asset price rallies require ample liquidity. Without clearer signals of easing financial conditions, crypto assets may see only transient relief moves.
Bitcoin Dip When Russia Invaded Ukraine in 2022. Source: Reuters

A Ceasefire Would Be Positive, But Not Sufficient

An agreed ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine would mark a monumental shift in geopolitics and initially bolster risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. 

However, the broader impact on crypto markets will depend heavily on how the ceasefire intersects with liquidity conditions, central bank policy expectations, and global risk appetite.

In the short term, crypto could see a meaningful relief rally, driven by sentiment and risk reallocation. 

Over the medium term, the trend will likely hinge on whether ceasefire outcomes tangibly ease inflation and liquidity pressures — the primary macro drivers that have influenced digital assets in recent months.

The post How a Potential Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Could Impact Crypto Markets appeared first on BeInCrypto.

5 Reasons Bitcoin Fell to $85,000 and Why More Downside Is Possible

16 December 2025 at 03:15

Bitcoin slid to the $85,000 level on December 15, extending its recent decline as global macro risks, leverage unwinding, and thin liquidity collided. The drop erased more than $100 billion from the total crypto market cap in just days, raising questions about whether the sell-off has finished.

While no single catalyst caused the move, five overlapping forces pushed Bitcoin lower and could keep pressure on prices in the near term.

Bank of Japan Rate Hike Fears Triggered Global De-Risking

The biggest macro driver came from Japan. Markets moved ahead of a widely expected Bank of Japan rate hike later this week, which would take Japanese policy rates to levels unseen in decades. 

Even a modest hike matters because Japan has long fueled global risk markets through the yen carry trade.

🚨 JAPAN WILL CRASH BITCOIN IN 5 DAYS!!!

People are seriously underestimating what Japan is about to do to Bitcoin.

The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates again on Dec 19.

That might not sound like a big deal… until you remember one thing:

Japan is the largest holder… pic.twitter.com/0a9Aimfn88

— NoLimit (@NoLimitGains) December 14, 2025

For years, investors borrowed cheap yen to buy higher-risk assets such as equities and crypto. As Japanese rates rise, that trade unwinds. Investors sell risk assets to repay yen liabilities.

Bitcoin has reacted sharply to previous BOJ hikes. In the last three instances, BTC fell between 20% and 30% in the weeks that followed. Traders began pricing in that historical pattern before the decision, pushing Bitcoin lower in advance.

Bank of Japan is about to hike rates with 0.25% on December 19

Bitcoin dumped the last 3 times the BoJ hiked interest rates:

March 2024 → -27%
July 2024 → -30%
January 2025 → -30% pic.twitter.com/GNjHyUIV3d

— Quinten | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois) December 15, 2025

US Economic Data Reintroduces Policy Uncertainty

At the same time, traders pulled back risk ahead of a dense slate of US macro data, including inflation and labor market figures.

The Federal Reserve recently cut rates, but officials signaled caution about the pace of future easing. That uncertainty matters for Bitcoin, which has increasingly traded as a liquidity-sensitive macro asset rather than a standalone hedge.

With inflation still above target and jobs data expected to weaken, markets struggled to price the Fed’s next move. That hesitation reduced speculative demand and encouraged short-term traders to step aside.

As a result, Bitcoin lost momentum just as it approached key technical levels.

MACRO DATA TOMORROW 👇

– 🇪🇺 GDP (Q2)
– 🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls (Aug)
– 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate (Aug)

MORE VOLATILITY INCOMING! pic.twitter.com/eiVJI7Bmxx

— Mister Crypto (@misterrcrypto) September 4, 2025

Heavy Leverage Liquidations Accelerated the Decline

Once Bitcoin broke below $90,000, forced selling took over.

More than $200 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated within hours, according to derivatives data. Long traders had crowded into bullish bets after the Fed’s rate cut earlier this month.

When prices slipped, liquidation engines sold Bitcoin automatically to cover losses. That selling pushed prices lower, triggering further liquidations in a feedback loop.

This mechanical effect explains why the move was fast and sharp rather than gradual.

Crypto Liquidations On December 15. Source: Coinglass

Thin Weekend Liquidity Magnified Price Swings

The timing of the sell-off made it worse.

Bitcoin broke down during thin weekend trading, when liquidity is typically lower and order books are shallow. In those conditions, relatively small sell orders can move prices aggressively.

Large holders and derivatives desks reduced exposure into low liquidity, amplifying volatility. That dynamic helped pull Bitcoin from the low-$90,000 range toward $85,000 in a short window.

Weekend breakdowns often look dramatic even when broader fundamentals remain unchanged.

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: CoinGecko

Wintermute’s Bitcoin Sales Added Spot-Market Pressure

Market structure stress was compounded by significant selling from Wintermute, one of the crypto industry’s largest market makers.

During the sell-off, on-chain and market data showed Wintermute offloading a large amount of Bitcoin — estimated at over $1.5 billion worth — across centralized exchanges. The firm reportedly sold BTC to rebalance risk and cover exposure following recent volatility and losses in derivatives markets.

Because Wintermute provides liquidity across both spot and derivatives venues, its selling carried outsized impact. 

Wintermute Sending Bitcoin to Centralized Exchanges. Source: Arkham

The timing of the sales also mattered. Wintermute’s activity occurred during low-liquidity conditions, amplifying downside moves and accelerating Bitcoin’s slide toward $85,000.

What Happens Next?

Whether Bitcoin drops further now depends on macro follow-through, not crypto-specific news.

If the Bank of Japan confirms a rate hike and global yields rise, Bitcoin could remain under pressure as carry trades unwind further. A strong yen would add to that stress.

However, if markets fully price in the move and US data softens enough to revive rate-cut expectations, Bitcoin could stabilize after the liquidation phase ends.

For now, the December 15 sell-off reflects a macro-driven reset, not a structural failure of the crypto market — but volatility is unlikely to fade quickly.

The post 5 Reasons Bitcoin Fell to $85,000 and Why More Downside Is Possible appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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