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Chinese Yuan’s Best Year Since 2020: What It Means for Crypto Markets

2 December 2025 at 09:19

China’s yuan is on track for its strongest annual performance in five years, gaining nearly 4% against the dollar in 2025.

While the rally has captured headlines in traditional finance, its implications for cryptocurrency markets are complicated by Beijing’s increasingly hawkish regulatory stance.

Reduced Capital Flight, Tighter Enforcement

Several factors are driving the yuan’s appreciation: the People’s Bank of China’s supportive daily fixing, renewed inflows into Chinese equities, and a roughly 7% decline in the dollar index. Central investment banks remain bullish, with Goldman Sachs projecting the currency could reach 6.85 per dollar within a year.

For crypto investors, yuan strength is not inherently bullish. Historically, periods of yuan weakness—such as 2018-2019—prompted Chinese capital to seek refuge in Bitcoin as a hedge against currency depreciation. A stronger yuan reverses this dynamic, reducing capital flight incentives and making dollar-denominated assets, including Bitcoin, relatively less attractive to Chinese investors.

Adding to the bearish undertone for China-linked crypto flows, the PBOC last week reaffirmed its crackdown on virtual currencies. At a regulatory coordination meeting on November 29, the central bank warned that crypto speculation has recently resurged, presenting new challenges for risk control. It reiterated that virtual currency-related business activities remain “illegal financial activities” in China.

The PBOC also flagged specific concerns about stablecoins, citing failures to meet customer identification and anti-money-laundering requirements. Authorities warned that stablecoins risk facilitating money laundering, fraud, and unauthorized cross-border fund transfers—signaling that Beijing views dollar-pegged tokens as potential loopholes for capital flight even as the yuan strengthens.

Macro Tailwinds Persist for Yuan

Yet the broader macro backdrop remains supportive for crypto. The same forces driving yuan appreciation—dollar weakness, anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, and improving global risk sentiment—are traditionally favorable for risk assets. Bitcoin’s rally since August has coincided with the yuan’s rebound, suggesting both are responding to the same liquidity-driven tailwinds.

While a stronger yuan and tighter Chinese enforcement may reduce one historical source of Bitcoin demand, global liquidity conditions and dollar weakness continue to serve as more significant drivers for crypto market direction.

The post Chinese Yuan’s Best Year Since 2020: What It Means for Crypto Markets appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Foreign Investors Set Record With $646.8 Billion in US Stock Purchases Amid Shifting Global Capital Flows

1 December 2025 at 05:22

A powerful and unusual wave of global capital is rushing into US markets. Foreign investors are buying American equities at a record pace, Treasury demand is reshuffling at a structural level, and domestic inflows are accelerating into year-end.

At the same time, US consumer debt has hit its highest level in history. For crypto and equity investors, the scale and direction of these flows signal a major shift in risk appetite and global macro positioning.

Foreign Investors Drive Record Equity Buying Amid Historic Realignment in Treasury Ownership

Private investors outside the US purchased $646.8 billion in US equities in the 12 months ending September 2025, according to data cited by Yardeni Research.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Private investors outside U.S. purchased record $646.8 billion of U.S. equities in the 12 months ending in September 2025 – Yardeni Research. pic.twitter.com/9dPxGJoS3g

— Whale Insider (@WhaleInsider) November 30, 2025

This marks the highest level on record, surpassing the 2021 peak by 66%, with flows doubling since January.

The buying is not limited to US equities. Foreign private-investor purchases of US Treasuries totalled $492.7 billion in the same period. Rolling 12-month non-US buying of Treasuries has remained above $400 billion for four consecutive years, reflecting persistent global demand for dollar-denominated safety.

“Everyone wants US assets,” analysts at the Kobeissi Letter remarked.

The composition of foreign Treasury holders is shifting in ways not seen in decades:

  • China’s share of foreign Treasury holdings has fallen to 7.6%, the lowest in 23 years, and down 20% over 14 years.
  • The UK’s share has quadrupled to 9.4%, near its highest level on record.
  • Japan, still the largest foreign holder, now accounts for 12.9%, down 26 points over the last 21 years.

These shifts suggest a long-term repositioning of sovereign and private capital, a trend with direct implications for interest rates, liquidity, and market volatility.

Something unusual is happening in the US Treasury market:

China’s Treasury holdings as a % of all foreign holdings is down to 7.6%, the lowest in 23 years.

This percentage has declined -20 points over the last 14 years.

As a result, China now ranks as the world’s 3rd-largest… pic.twitter.com/JWJ4bbhbsy

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) November 29, 2025

Domestic Investors Also Going Risk-On, But Record Consumer Debt Adds Complexity

US investors have poured an extraordinary $900 billion into equity funds since November 2024, according to JPMorgan data, with half of that total, $450 billion, arriving in just the last five months.

US Asset Class Flows
US Asset Class Flows. Source: JP Morgan

Fixed-income funds added another $400 billion, while all other asset classes combined attracted only $100 billion.

Inflows into US equities have exceeded those into all other asset classes combined, reinforcing the strength of the bid for US risk assets.

While institutional and foreign investors are ramping up their exposure, US households are under growing financial pressure. Total US credit-card debt climbed to $1.233 trillion in Q3 2025, the highest level ever recorded.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Total U.S. credit-card debt reaches $1.233 trillion in third quarter of 2025, highest amount since tracking began. pic.twitter.com/sFi2cMhZTg

— Whale Insider (@WhaleInsider) November 30, 2025

This divergence between market optimism and consumer strain raises questions about sustainability, earnings resilience, and the timing of potential policy shifts.

Seasonality and Bullish Projections Lift Sentiment

JP Morgan expects the S&P 500 to reach 8,000 next year, a view reinforced by powerful seasonal tailwinds. This projection comes as markets anticipate the bank’s “everything rally” forecast shared just over a week ago.

S&P 500 could hit 8,000 next year says JP Morgan 🥳📈🤑🫂 pic.twitter.com/l8zYgPAtWS

— Barchart (@Barchart) November 29, 2025

December has historically been the strongest month for US stocks, with the S&P 500 rising 73% of the time since 1928 and delivering an average return of +1.28%.

For both crypto and equity markets, the surge in capital flows toward the US signals rising confidence in American assets, or a lack of attractive alternatives abroad.

Investors will watch to see whether these inflows accelerate in 2026, how Treasury demand shifts as global holdings rebalance, and whether record consumer debt becomes a drag on macroeconomic momentum.

With liquidity building and seasonality strengthening, both traditional markets and digital assets are entering a potentially decisive phase.

The post Foreign Investors Set Record With $646.8 Billion in US Stock Purchases Amid Shifting Global Capital Flows appeared first on BeInCrypto.

XRP Jumps 9% as Franklin Templeton and Grayscale Launch Spot ETFs

25 November 2025 at 07:13

XRP jumped more than 9% to $2.27 after Franklin Templeton and Grayscale launched their spot XRP ETF on Monday. The $1.69 trillion asset manager joined Bitwise, Grayscale, and Canary Capital in offering regulated XRP investment products, calling XRP “foundational” for global settlement infrastructure.

This wave of ETF launches marks a turning point for XRP. After regulatory uncertainty faded with Ripple’s SEC settlement earlier in 2025, institutional interest is surging.

Wave of Institutional ETF Launches Signals Market Maturity

Franklin Templeton debuted the Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) on NYSE Arca, offering regulated XRP exposure through a grantor trust. The fund tracks the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate and uses Coinbase Custody as custodian, with BNY Mellon as administrator. According to Franklin Templeton’s announcement, the ETF allows investors to follow XRP’s performance transparently, without buying the cryptocurrency directly.

“XRPZ offers investors a convenient and regulated way to access a digital asset that plays a critical role in the global settlement infrastructure,” stated David Mann, director of ETF products and capital markets at Franklin Templeton.

Grayscale has also launched its XRP Trust ETF (GXRP) with a zero-fee introductory period, highlighting XRP’s strong market position.

Introducing Grayscale XRP Trust ETF (Ticker: $GXRP), now trading with 0% fees¹ from Grayscale, the world's largest crypto-focused asset manager².

Gain exposure to $XRP, the world’s 3rd largest digital asset³, driving innovation in global payments. Available in your brokerage… pic.twitter.com/rAzGrm0M6P

— Grayscale (@Grayscale) November 24, 2025

Bitwise, which launched its XRP ETF a week earlier, reported $100 million in initial inflows. The clustering of ETF launches signals that asset managers were prepared for regulatory clarity, which arrived from the SEC in 2025.

Regulatory Resolution Paves Way for Wall Street Entry

Ripple’s $125 million settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission in May 2025 ended years of uncertainty. SEC statements confirm that Ripple resolved all claims without admitting wrongdoing, paid $50 million directly to the agency, and had the rest released from escrow. This resolution gave large financial institutions the assurance needed to pursue spot ETFs.

Franklin Templeton’s participation is notable for its size, lending credibility to XRP’s story as a payment utility. Investors can now access XRP through regulated products managed by well-known custodians and with clear transparency.

Source: BeInCrypto

Still, prospectuses caution that risks remain, including XRP’s volatility, limited diversification, and regulatory uncertainty abroad. The ETF holds only XRP and cash, making it unsuitable as a standalone investment.

XRP’s Technical Advantages Drive Institutional Interest

XRP runs on the decentralized XRP Ledger (XRPL), designed for rapid payment settlement. XRPL documentation highlights near-instant, low-fee transactions and notes that over 3.3 billion transfers have been processed on the network.

XRPL’s consensus system is said to be energy efficient, settling transactions in three to five seconds. These features attract institutions seeking alternatives to SWIFT and traditional cross-border systems.

Franklin Templeton’s prospectus and Grayscale Research both stress XRP’s usefulness as a currency bridge and for efficient, scalable transfers. With these characteristics, XRP sets itself apart from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which mainly serve as a store of value.

The current rally coincides with rising open interest in XRP futures, pointing to growing involvement from institutional and retail traders and suggesting sustained market activity.

Geopolitical Dimensions and China Exposure Speculation

Some analysts believe XRP could play a role in new cross-border payment corridors, including those in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. Black Swan Capitalist has argued that China has indirect exposure to XRP through the BRICS New Development Bank and leading Japanese fintech SBI Holdings. However, direct adoption remains limited by Chinese policies.

China already has indirect exposure to XRP through the BRICS New Development Bank, SBI, and the cross-border payment corridors linking Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The rails don’t stop at the Great Wall, despite what some on Twitter might think.

— Black Swan Capitalist (@VersanAljarrah) November 21, 2025

BRICS business council recommendations from April 2025 urged support for cross-border digital settlements — a theme in line with XRP’s core design, despite no explicit mention of the cryptocurrency. The recommendations highlight a growing need for efficient digital payment systems.

The European Central Bank is also examining cross-border payment infrastructure. Project Nexus was discussed during an April 2025 speech about linking payment systems in Asia and Europe. These trends echo the global relevance of the XRP Ledger’s use cases.

The post XRP Jumps 9% as Franklin Templeton and Grayscale Launch Spot ETFs appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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