Harga XRP diam-diam masuk ke posisi yang tidak nyaman. Harga turun sekitar 9% selama 30 hari terakhir, momentum terasa lesu, dan percakapan positif di media sosial soal token ini mulai berubah jadi negatif. Sekilas, memang kelihatan lemah. Tapi, XRP punya sejarah bergerak lebih baik saat antusiasme menghilang.

Kali ini, masalah yang menekan sentimen ke bawah bisa jadi justru menjadi kondisi yang memicu pergerakan berikutnya. Mungkin dipimpin oleh kelompok holder tertentu.

Masalah: Sentimen positif anjlok saat holder jangka pendek keluar

Masalah utamanya bukan pada harga, melainkan pada sentimen.

Sentimen sosial positif XRP turun ke titik terendah dalam tiga bulan, merosot tajam dari level tertinggi sebelumnya. Metode ini melacak seberapa sering XRP dibahas secara positif di berbagai platform sosial. Saat turun drastis, itu biasanya menandakan kelelahan massa, bukan aksi beli panik.

Sejarah menunjukkan hal ini penting.

Pada pertengahan Oktober, penurunan sentimen serupa diikuti reli sekitar 15% beberapa hari setelahnya. Awal November, rendahnya sentimen positif juga dibarengi kenaikan 17% hanya dalam seminggu. Akhir November juga memperlihatkan pola yang sama, harga naik sekitar 14% setelah sentimen mencapai titik terendahnya.

Mau dapat lebih banyak insight tentang token? Daftar ke Daily Crypto Newsletter dari Editor Harsh Notariya di sini.

Kali ini, penurunan sentimen lebih dalam dibandingkan titik rendah sebelumnya.

😨 XRP is seeing far more negative social media commentary than average. Historically, this setup leads to price rises. When retail has doubts about a coin's ability to rise, the rise becomes significantly more likely.

🔗 Monitor $XRP sentiment here: https://t.co/hYbezd8qH0 pic.twitter.com/FOcIlRb9BQ

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) December 22, 2025

Penurunan sentimen tersebut bisa jadi didorong oleh holder jangka pendek. HODL Waves, indikator yang melacak berapa lama koin disimpan, menunjukkan bahwa wallet yang memegang XRP selama satu hari hingga satu minggu mengurangi porsi suplai mereka secara tajam. Sebelumnya bulan ini, kelompok ini memegang sekitar 2,97% dari total suplai. Sekarang angka itu sudah turun ke sekitar 1,18%, artinya turun lebih dari 60%.

Sederhananya, uang cepat, yang kemungkinan milik ritel, sudah kehilangan minat dan berpindah ke tempat lain. Inilah masalah yang menekan sentimen XRP. Bagian berikutnya akan menunjukkan kenapa hal ini tidak selalu buruk.

Solusinya: Holder Jangka Panjang Menjual Lebih Sedikit, Bukan Lebih Banyak

Di sinilah ceritanya mulai berubah.

Saat holder jangka pendek pergi, holder jangka panjang justru melakukan hal sebaliknya. Data yang memantau perubahan posisi neto holder jangka panjang memperlihatkan tekanan jual dari wallet ini turun cukup signifikan.

Sebelumnya di bulan ini, holder jangka panjang menjual sekitar 216 juta XRP per hari. Sekarang jumlah itu turun stabil menjadi sekitar 103 juta XRP, artinya aktivitas jual turun lebih dari 50%.

Ini penting, sebab holder jangka panjang biasanya bergerak lebih awal, bukan terlambat. Saat mereka memperlambat distribusi di tengah sentimen yang lemah, itu sering menjadi tanda akumulasi diam-diam atau menunggu momen yang strategis.

Masalah untuk XRP adalah apatisme massa. Namun solusinya, holder berpengalaman kini tidak lagi membanjiri pasar dengan suplai di tengah apatisme tersebut.

Level Harga XRP yang Menentukan Apakah Solusi Ini Berhasil

Jika pola sentimen ini terulang kembali, level harga XRP akan segera mengonfirmasinya.

Pergerakan awal menuju resistance berikutnya di US$2,03 menandakan potensi kenaikan sekitar 8% dari level saat ini. Jika zona tersebut bisa dilewati, maka peluang untuk reli yang lebih besar ke resistance berikutnya di US$2,09 dan US$2,17 pun terbuka, yaitu zona di mana reli sebelumnya sempat tertahan.

Di sisi bawah, XRP harus bertahan di support utama US$1,77. Jika breakdown terjadi di sana, maka skenario berbasis sentimen ini batal dan bisa memberi sinyal bahwa holder jangka panjang sudah tidak lagi menyerap suplai.

Untuk saat ini, struktur masih tetap terjaga.

Masalah terbesar XRP adalah sentimen positif yang sudah hilang. Tapi, sejarah menunjukkan bahwa ketika optimisme lenyap, holder lemah biasanya keluar duluan dan holder kuat mengambil alih. Jika pola ini terulang lagi, masalah yang menekan harga XRP hari ini justru bisa menjadi solusi yang membuka pergerakan berikutnya.

Harga AAVE sedang mengalami tekanan terus-menerus. Token ini turun hampir 5% dalam 24 jam terakhir dan lebih dari 18% dalam tujuh hari terakhir. Kelemahan ini terjadi bersamaan dengan sengketa tata kelola DAO yang masih berlangsung dan kekhawatiran aksi jual kembali muncul.

Secara permukaan, situasi ini terlihat seperti distribusi. Saldo di exchange meningkat, dan sentimen jadi lebih dingin. Tapi, di balik layar, ada hal yang berbeda. Walaupun suplai bergerak menuju exchange, holder besar diam-diam masuk, memandang penurunan harga ini sebagai peluang masuk, bukan untuk keluar. Sekarang pertanyaannya sederhana. Skenario bullish seperti apa yang tengah dipersiapkan whale, sementara pasar fokus pada risiko tata kelola?

Pasokan di Exchange Naik sementara Tekanan Governance Masih Berlanjut

Aksi jual di Aave tidak terjadi begitu saja. Ketegangan tata kelola telah berlangsung selama berminggu-minggu, menciptakan ketidakpastian soal aliran pendapatan dan kendali DAO. Ketidakpastian ini tercermin jelas pada data suplai on-chain.

🚨 @aave is having a full blown civil war

And it might be the biggest governance fight defi has ever seen.

Heres a clean breakdown 👇

Aave has two sides:
– Aave labs → a centralised entity founded by stani
– Aave dao → token holders who govern the protocol

Now heres what… pic.twitter.com/zFnhcN5vSc

— Observe (@obsrvgmi) December 22, 2025

Sejak 16 Desember (hari proposal Poison Pill), suplai AAVE di exchange naik dari sekitar 1,22 juta token menjadi sekitar 1,42 juta token. Artinya ada kenaikan hampir 200.000 AAVE, atau kurang lebih 16%, hanya dalam waktu lebih dari satu minggu.

Aave DAO Faces Governance Clash Over Control of Aave Labs 👀

An AAVE token holder has proposed a controversial “poison pill” strategy that would allow the Aave DAO to seize control of Aave Labs’ intellectual property, brand, and equity, effectively turning the company into a DAO… pic.twitter.com/SC1gd1KYhs

— Karon (@pangestu_karon) December 18, 2025

Peningkatan saldo di exchange biasanya menandakan potensi tekanan jual, dan pergerakan harga membuktikan kekhawatiran itu, karena AAVE turun hampir 18% dalam periode yang sama.

Ingin lebih banyak insight soal token seperti ini? Daftar Newsletter Harian Kripto dari Editor Harsh Notariya di sini.

Perubahan ini menarik karena membalikkan apa yang terjadi sebelumnya pada 16 Desember. Saat tekanan regulasi Aave mereda di pertengahan Desember, saldo exchange turun tajam karena kepercayaan mulai pulih. Sekarang, dengan isu tata kelola yang belum selesai, suplai kembali bergerak ke exchange, sehingga menambah kehati-hatian dalam jangka pendek.

Sendiri saja, situasi ini terlihat bearish. Tapi suplai di exchange hanya salah satu sisi dari pasar.

Whale beli di harga bawah saat ketakutan akan aksi jual mencapai puncak

Walaupun saldo di exchange naik, holder besar justru melakukan pergerakan sebaliknya.

Dalam 24 jam terakhir, whale AAVE meningkatkan kepemilikan mereka sebesar 12,63%, sehingga totalnya menjadi 183.987 AAVE. Itu berarti ada akumulasi baru sekitar 20.600 token, dengan nilai kurang lebih US$3,1 juta di harga saat ini.

Pada saat yang sama, wallet tokoh publik, yang meliputi dana terverifikasi dan entitas yang dipantau ketat, juga menambah kepemilikan sebesar 13,55%, sehingga saldo mereka menjadi 274.652 AAVE. Kenaikan ini sekitar 32.700 token, atau senilai sekitar US$5 juta.

Jika digabung, dua kelompok ini menambah lebih dari 53.000 AAVE hanya dalam satu hari. Di harga sekarang, artinya lebih dari US$8 juta sudah terakumulasi saat harga sedang lemah.

Divergensi ini penting. Ketika suplai di exchange naik tapi whale mengakumulasi, biasanya ini menandakan ketakutan jangka pendek sedang diserap oleh keyakinan jangka panjang. Alih-alih bereaksi pada isu tata kelola, holder besar nampaknya fokus pada struktur, bukan pada berita utama.

Hal ini membawa kita ke analisis grafik harga.

Apa Pemicu Harga AAVE Bullish yang Sedang Diantisipasi oleh Crypto Whale?

Pergerakan harga menjadi penghubung yang hilang.

AAVE berulang kali bertahan di zona US$147, membentuk pola inverse head-and-shoulders yang sedang berkembang. Pola ini biasanya mengindikasikan potensi pembalikan tren setelah tekanan turun yang lama, apalagi saat polanya muncul di tengah rasa takut yang tinggi.

Strukturnya masih tertekan di bawah garis neckline menurun, artinya penjual masih mendominasi tren secara umum. Tapi pemicunya jelas. Jika harga berhasil menembus US$182 secara meyakinkan, momentum mulai berubah. Menembus US$193 akan mengonfirmasi breakout dan membuka peluang naik menuju US$207, lalu US$232, dengan target pemulihan lebih tinggi di US$248.

Risikonya juga jelas. Jika AAVE turun di bawah US$147, struktur bullish ini patah. Hal itu kemungkinan akan memicu tekanan jual baru, sehingga risiko harga turun ke kisaran US$127. Untuk saat ini, whale nampaknya bertaruh support akan tetap kuat dan struktur akan mengarah ke atas.

XRP price has quietly slipped into an uncomfortable spot. The price is down about 9% over the past 30 days, momentum feels stale, and positive social chatter around the token has turned noticeably sour. At first glance, that looks like weakness. But XRP has a history of doing its best work when enthusiasm disappears.

This time, the problem dragging sentiment lower may also be the exact condition that sets up the next move. Possibly led by a key holder group.

The Problem: Positive Sentiment Collapses as Short-Term Holders Exit

The core issue is not price. It is sentiment.

XRP’s positive social sentiment has dropped to a three-month low, falling sharply from recent highs. This metric tracks how often XRP is discussed positively across social platforms. When it collapses, it signals crowd fatigue rather than panic buying.

History shows this matters.

In mid-October, a similar sentiment drop preceded a rally of roughly 15% over the following days. In early November, another local low in positive sentiment was followed by a 17% advance within a week. Late November showed the same pattern, with prices rising about 14% after sentiment hit a trough.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

This time, the sentiment drop is deeper than those prior lows.

😨 XRP is seeing far more negative social media commentary than average. Historically, this setup leads to price rises. When retail has doubts about a coin's ability to rise, the rise becomes significantly more likely.

🔗 Monitor $XRP sentiment here: https://t.co/hYbezd8qH0 pic.twitter.com/FOcIlRb9BQ

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) December 22, 2025

That sentiment dip could be powered by the short-term holders. HODL Waves, which track how long coins have been held, show that wallets holding XRP for one day to one week have reduced their supply share sharply. This cohort held about 2.97% of the supply earlier this month. That figure has now fallen to roughly 1.18%, a drop of more than 60%.

In simple terms, fast, possibly retail, money has lost interest and moved on. That is the problem weighing on XRP sentiment. The next section highlights why it isn’t such a bad thing.

The Solution: Long-Term Holders Are Selling Less, Not More

Here is where the story changes.

While short-term holders are exiting, long-term holders are doing the opposite. Data tracking long-term holder net position change shows that selling pressure from these wallets has dropped meaningfully.

Earlier this month, long-term holders were selling roughly 216 million XRP per day. That figure has steadily fallen to about 103 million XRP, a reduction of more than 50% in selling activity.

This matters because long-term holders tend to act early, not late. When they slow distribution during periods of weak sentiment, it often signals quiet accumulation or strategic patience.

The problem for XRP is crowd apathy. The solution is that experienced holders are no longer feeding supply into that apathy.

XRP Price Levels That Decide Whether the Solution Works

If this sentiment-driven setup plays out again, the XRP price levels will confirm it quickly.

An initial move toward the next resistance at $2.03 implies an upside of roughly 8% from current levels. Clearing that zone would open room for a larger push toward the next resistance bands, $2.09 and $2.17, where prior rallies stalled.

On the downside, XRP must hold its key support at $1.77. A breakdown there would invalidate the sentiment-driven thesis and signal that long-term holders are no longer absorbing supply.

For now, the structure remains intact.

XRP’s biggest problem is that positive sentiment has vanished. But history shows that when optimism disappears, weak hands leave first and strong hands step in. If that pattern repeats, the same problem weighing on the XRP price today could become the solution that unlocks its next move.

The post XRP Sentiment Has Collapsed — And That May Be the Setup Bulls Are Waiting For appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The AAVE price has been under steady pressure. The token is down nearly 5% over the past 24 hours and more than 18% over the past seven days. That weakness has played out alongside ongoing DAO governance disputes and renewed sell-off fears.

On the surface, this looks like a distribution. Exchange balances are rising, and sentiment has cooled. But under the hood, something does not line up. While supply is moving toward exchanges, large holders have quietly stepped in, treating the sell-off as an entry point rather than an exit. The question now is simple. What bullish setup are whales positioning for while the market focuses on governance risk?

Exchange Supply Rises as Governance Pressure Lingers

Aave’s sell-off did not appear out of nowhere. Governance tensions have been building for weeks, creating uncertainty around revenue flows and DAO control. That uncertainty has shown up clearly in on-chain supply data.

🚨 @aave is having a full blown civil war

And it might be the biggest governance fight defi has ever seen.

Heres a clean breakdown 👇

Aave has two sides:
– Aave labs → a centralised entity founded by stani
– Aave dao → token holders who govern the protocol

Now heres what… pic.twitter.com/zFnhcN5vSc

— Observe (@obsrvgmi) December 22, 2025

Since December 16 (Poison Pill proposal day), AAVE supply on exchanges has climbed from roughly 1.22 million tokens to about 1.42 million tokens. That is an increase of nearly 200,000 AAVE, or roughly 16%, in just over a week.

Aave DAO Faces Governance Clash Over Control of Aave Labs 👀

An AAVE token holder has proposed a controversial “poison pill” strategy that would allow the Aave DAO to seize control of Aave Labs’ intellectual property, brand, and equity, effectively turning the company into a DAO… pic.twitter.com/SC1gd1KYhs

— Karon (@pangestu_karon) December 18, 2025

Rising exchange balances usually signal potential selling pressure, and the price action confirms that concern, with AAVE sliding almost 18% over the same period.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

This shift is notable because it reverses what happened earlier in the month, on December 16. When Aave’s regulatory overhang eased in mid-December, exchange balances dropped sharply as confidence improved. Now, with governance issues dragging on, supply has moved back toward exchanges, reinforcing near-term caution.

On its own, this setup looks bearish. But the exchange supply is only one side of the market.

Whales Buy the Dip as Sell-Off Fears Peak

While exchange balances have increased, large holders have moved in the opposite direction.

Over the past 24 hours, Aave whales increased their holdings by 12.63%, bringing their total stash to 183,987 AAVE. That implies fresh accumulation of roughly 20,600 tokens, worth about $3.1 million at current prices.

At the same time, public figure wallets, which include verified funds and well-tracked entities, raised their holdings by 13.55%, lifting their balance to 274,652 AAVE. That increase represents roughly 32,700 tokens, or about $5 million.

Combined, these two cohorts added more than 53,000 AAVE in a single day. At the current price, that is over $8 million accumulated directly into weakness.

This divergence matters. When exchange supply rises, but whales accumulate, it often reflects short-term fear being absorbed by longer-term conviction. Instead of reacting to governance noise, large holders appear to be positioning around structure, not headlines.

That brings us to the chart.

The Bullish AAVE Price Trigger Whales Are Positioning For?

The price action provides the missing link.

AAVE has repeatedly defended the $147 zone, forming the head of a developing inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. This pattern typically signals a possible trend reversal after prolonged downside pressure, especially when it forms during elevated fear.

The structure remains compressed under a descending neckline line, meaning sellers still control the broader trend. But the trigger is clear. A decisive move above $182 would begin to shift momentum. Clearing $193 would confirm the breakout and open upside toward $207, then $232, with $248 as the larger recovery target.

The risk is equally defined. If AAVE loses $147, the bullish structure breaks. That would likely invite renewed selling pressure, with downside risk toward $127. For now, whales appear to be betting that support holds, and structure resolves higher.

The post Whales Add $3 Million in AAVE as Governance Uncertainty Pressures Price appeared first on BeInCrypto.