Hedge fund sedang masuk ke salah satu taruhan anti-dollar terbesar mereka selama bertahun-tahun, tepat ketika sinyal makro mengisyaratkan bahwa USD mungkin mendekati rebound.

Jika perdagangan yang ramai ini terhenti, efek riak bisa berdampak pada pasar kripto lebih cepat dari yang diharapkan investor.

Hedge Funds Bangun Posisi Short US$ yang Ekstrem—Pola yang Berulang?

Hedge fund sedang agresif menjual US dollar, mencapai salah satu level posisi paling timpang dalam dua dekade.

Indeks Posisi menunjukkan bahwa dana terkunci dalam wilayah “short ekstrem,” zona yang secara historis mendahului pemulihan USD daripada penurunan berkepanjangan.

Analis Guilherme Tavares menyoroti setup ini, dengan menyatakan bahwa perdagangan ini menjadi sangat ramai.

“Hedge fund memegang posisi short signifikan dalam DXY, dan secara historis, level serupa sering mendahului peluang pembelian yang solid—setidaknya untuk rebound jangka pendek. Ketika perdagangan menjadi terlalu ramai, biasanya layak mempertimbangkan sisi sebaliknya,” tulisnya di sini.

Selama 20 tahun terakhir, setiap episode besar dari posisi short USD yang berat berakhir dengan cara yang sama: kenaikan dollar yang memaksa para trader uang cepat untuk melepaskan posisi.

Nada Ekonomi Makro Tidak Mendukung Hype Anti-US$

Peringatan serupa datang dari EndGame Macro, yang menunjukkan bahwa posisi short ekstrem jarang muncul di pasar yang tenang.

Mereka menjelaskan bahwa hedge fund sedang “menjual short dollar yang lemah,” yang secara historis membuat pasar lebih rentan terhadap perubahan sentimen atau likuiditas yang kecil sekalipun.

Menurut analis, lingkungan yang lebih luas tidak se-supportif seperti yang diasumsikan trader untuk melemahnya USD yang berkelanjutan. Pasar Treasury memproyeksikan pemotongan Fed di masa depan, pertumbuhan melambat, dan pasar pendanaan dolar semakin ketat, semua kondisi yang membuat pembalikan mendadak lebih mungkin terjadi.

“Setup ini tidak menjamin reli besar dollar, tetapi ini memberi tahu Anda bahwa penurunannya mungkin terbatas,” ujar analis EndGame Macro di sini.

Mengapa Aset Kripto Perlu Peduli: US$ yang Meningkat Merupakan Ancaman

Analis pasar kripto terus menekankan hubungan terbalik langsung antara DXY dan aset digital.

“Dollar naik = buruk untuk kripto. Dollar turun = baik untuk kripto. Jika dollar terus naik hingga 2026… Anda mungkin harus mengucapkan selamat tinggal pada bull market yang Anda cintai itu,” peringatan dari analis As Milk Road di sini.

Risiko yang ada adalah jika USD mengalami rebound yang kuat dari posisi short yang ramai ini, seperti yang disarankan oleh sejarah, kripto dapat menghadapi tekanan berkelanjutan selama periode ketika investor mengharapkan siklus bull multi-tahun.

Sinyal Teknikal Sekarang Mendukung Pembalikan US$

Teknisi pasar sedang melacak sinyal breakout baru pada Indeks Dolar AS. Menurut Daan Crypto, DXY telah ditutup di atas rata-rata bergerak 200 harinya untuk pertama kalinya dalam hampir sembilan bulan, memposisikan indeks untuk mematahkan tren turun selama 7–8 bulan.

“Ini bukan ideal untuk aset berisiko dan telah memberi tekanan juga… Baik untuk terus memperhatikan,” ungkapnya di sini.

Dikombinasikan dengan kelemahan yen dan perilaku derisking umum setelah volatilitas pasar baru-baru ini, momentum teknis mungkin sekarang selaras dengan data posisi untuk memicu potensi kebangkitan USD.

Jika hedge fund dipaksa untuk melepas posisi short ekstrem mereka, USD dapat melakukan rebound tajam. Ini bisa memberi tekanan pada Bitcoin, Ethereum, dan aset berisiko secara umum.

Beberapa minggu ke depan dari aksi harga DXY, kondisi pendanaan, dan komunikasi Fed akan menentukan apakah narasi bullish kripto bertahan atau memasuki fase lebih defensif.

Selamat datang di US Crypto News Morning Briefing—ringkasan penting Anda dari perkembangan terpenting dalam kripto untuk hari ini.

Ambil secangkir kopi karena pasar memasuki fase yang tidak biasa di mana pemain besar sedang merelokasi posisi dan likuiditas semakin ketat. Di tengah latar belakang ini, waktu transfer besar baru-baru ini menimbulkan pertanyaan baru tentang apa yang mungkin terjadi selanjutnya untuk Bitcoin.

Berita Kripto Hari Ini: Langkah Bitcoin US$400 Juta BlackRock Picu Alarm Likuiditas—Apa yang Mereka Hadapi?

BlackRock diam-diam memindahkan 4.471 BTC ke Coinbase Prime, beberapa jam sebelum laporan PPI. Langkah ini terjadi saat ETF Bitcoin andalannya, IBIT, mencatat rekor arus keluar bulanan.

BlackRock just deposited another 4,471 $BTC($390.8M) to #CoinbasePrime.https://t.co/qmuDIrPHc6 pic.twitter.com/3CqgyHozVC

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) November 25, 2025

Waktu ini memicu perdebatan baru: Apakah manajer aset terbesar di dunia sedang bersiap menghadapi guncangan likuiditas AS yang lebih dalam?

Data Arkham menunjukkan wallet yang sama telah turun dari puncak US$117 miliar menjadi US$78,4 miliar, kehilangan lebih dari 30% nilainya selama sebulan terakhir.

Transfer ini terjadi pada masa tekanan yang meningkat di pasar Bitcoin, dengan analis seperti Crypto Rover mencatat bahwa langkah BlackRock dapat memperburuk penjualan. Di sisi lain, waktu sebelum data PPI AS juga menimbulkan kekhawatiran.

Sementara itu, Matthew Sigel dari VanEck melihat perjuangan harga Bitcoin yang berkelanjutan sebagai dinamika makro utama, menyebutnya sebagai “fenomena sesi AS yang mendominasi.”

“…Penggeraknya: pengetatan likuiditas AS dan pelebaran spread kredit saat ketakutan AI-capex bertabrakan dengan pasar pendanaan yang lebih rapuh,” ia menyatakan.

Ini selaras dengan tekanan baru-baru ini di ekuitas, kredit, dan aset sensitif terhadap suku bunga. Para trader mengamati apakah cetak PPI November, yang akan keluar tepat setelah transfer BTC, menandakan pengetatan lebih lanjut. Namun, Cathie Wood dari ARK Invest berpendapat bahwa tekanan likuiditas saat ini bersifat sementara.

“Pengetatan likuiditas yang telah menghantam AI dan kripto akan berbalik dalam beberapa minggu mendatang,” ia ujar.

Eksekutif Ark Invest itu menyebut lonjakan 123% dalam bisnis komersial AS Palantir sebagai bukti bahwa adopsi di perusahaan meningkat meskipun ada hambatan makro.

IBIT Menghadapi Arus Keluar Rekor—Namun Gambarannya Lebih Rumit

Aktivitas blockchain ini datang ketika IBIT milik BlackRock mencatat bulan arus keluar terburuk dalam sejarah, lebih dari US$2 miliar bulan ini. Analis menyebutnya sebagai gelombang penarikan terbesar sejak peluncuran.

“…Setelah berbulan-bulan arus masuk yang stabil, arus keluar mencerminkan meningkatnya kehati-hatian saat Bitcoin turun ~22% selama bulan lalu dan 7% sejak awal tahun,” tulis Walter Bloomberg.

Namun, analis ETF Eric Balchunas menolak kepanikan tersebut, menekankan bahwa konteks sedang hilang. Menurut analis, mayoritas investor tetap bertahan meskipun ada arus keluar.

That’s bc it never had outflows bf! All told the “record” is 3% of aum. The real story (that you def won’t see in ALL CAPS let alone in the media at large) is 97% of investors are sticking around despite not starting the -35% fire. https://t.co/2p0c5gJIji

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) November 24, 2025

Dia juga menyoroti penurunan dalam minat pendek, mengaitkan anjloknya minat pendek IBIT dengan para trader yang cenderung membuka posisi pendek saat kuat dan menutupnya saat mengalami penurunan.

Dengan kata lain, meskipun berita utama menyuarakan “rekor arus keluar,” mayoritas holder institusi tampaknya tetap bertahan.

Grafik Hari Ini

Data Arus ETF IBIT BlackRock. Sumber: Coinglass

Byte-Sized Alpha

Berikut ringkasan berita kripto AS yang perlu diikuti hari ini:

• BitMine milik Tom Lee ungkap kepemilikan 3,6 juta ETH di tengah harga pembelian rata-rata yang diperdebatkan.
• Harga XRP menargetkan US$2,5 setelah ETF mencatat arus masuk US$164 juta pada hari Senin.
• Lima hari, nol arus masuk: Litecoin ETF kesulitan melewati US$7,44 juta.
• Hedge funds aktif menjual pendek USD – Apa artinya bagi kripto?
• Gairah retail Korea picu aturan baru ketat pada ETF leveraged AS.
• Bitcoin terhenti di bawah US$90.000 karena data on-chain menunjukkan konsolidasi, bukan pembalikan.
• Harapan reli Dogecoin meningkat setelah dorongan ETF — namun pertempuran sesungguhnya ada di US$0,18.
• Apakah ini pergeseran besar selanjutnya di kripto? Token kuantum mencapai US$9 miliar.

Ikhtisar Pre-Market Crypto Equities

Perusahaan	Penutupan November 24	Pratinjau Pasar Pre-Market
Strategy (MSTR)	US$179,04	US$176,09 (-1,65%)
Coinbase (COIN)	US$255,97	US$252,73 (-1,27%)
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY)	US$24,78	US$24,70 (-0,32%)
MARA Holdings (MARA)	US$11,21	US$11,18 (-0,27%)
Riot Platforms (RIOT)	US$13,88	US$13,79 (-0,65%)
Core Scientific (CORZ)	US$15,75	US$15,72 (-0,19%)

Hedge funds are piling into one of their biggest anti-dollar bets in years, just as macro signals hint the USD may be nearing a rebound.

If the crowded trade snaps, the ripple effects could hit crypto markets faster than investors expect.

Hedge Funds Build Extreme USD Shorts—A Repeatable Pattern?

Hedge funds are aggressively shorting the US dollar, reaching one of the most lopsided positioning levels in two decades.

The Positioning Index indicates that funds are deeply entrenched in “extreme short” territory, a zone that has historically preceded a USD recovery rather than a prolonged decline.

Analyst Guilherme Tavares highlighted this setup, noting that the trade has become dangerously crowded.

“Hedge funds are holding significant short positions in the DXY, and historically, similar levels have often preceded solid buying opportunities—at least for a short-term rebound. When a trade becomes too crowded, it’s usually worth considering the opposite side,” he wrote.

Across the past 20 years, every major episode of heavy USD shorting has ended the same way: a dollar bounce that forces fast-money traders to unwind positions.

Macro Tone Doesn’t Support the Anti-Dollar Hype

A similar warning came from EndGame Macro, who pointed out that extreme short positioning rarely appears in calm markets.

They explained that hedge funds are “shorting a weak dollar,” which historically makes the market more vulnerable to even a small shift in sentiment or liquidity.

According to analysts, the broader environment is not as supportive of ongoing USD weakness as traders assume. Treasury markets are pricing future Fed cuts, growth is slowing, and dollar funding markets are tightening, all conditions that make sudden reversals more likely.

“This setup doesn’t guarantee a major dollar bull run, but it does tell you that the downside is probably limited,” said analyst EndGame Macro.

Why Crypto Should Care: A Rising Dollar Is a Threat

Crypto market analysts continue stressing the direct inverse relationship between the DXY and digital assets.

“Dollar up = bad for crypto. Dollar down = good for crypto. If the dollar keeps grinding higher into 2026… you may have to kiss that beloved bull market goodbye,” analyst As Milk Road warned.

The risk is that if the USD rebounds strongly from these crowded shorts, as history suggests, crypto could face sustained pressure during a period when investors were expecting a multi-year bull cycle.

Technical Signals Now Support a USD Reversal

Market technicians are tracking fresh breakout signals on the US Dollar Index. According to Daan Crypto, the DXY has closed above its 200-day moving average for the first time in nearly nine months, positioning the index to break a 7–8 month downtrend.

“This isn’t ideal for risk assets and has been putting pressure on as well… Good to keep an eye on,” he said.

Combined with the yen’s weakness and general derisking behavior after recent market volatility, technical momentum may now be aligning with positioning data to fuel a potential USD resurgence.

If hedge funds are forced to unwind their extreme short positions, the USD could stage a sharp rebound. This could pressure Bitcoin, Ethereum, and risk assets broadly.

The next few weeks of DXY price action, funding conditions, and Fed communication will determine whether crypto’s bullish narrative survives or enters a more defensive phase.

The post Hedge Funds Are Heavily Shorting the USD – What Does It Mean for Crypto? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan highlights common mispricing in Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATs). He urges investors to consider valuation beyond simple crypto holdings as these firms navigate complex financial dynamics.

DATs now manage over $130 billion in digital assets, serving as vital links between traditional capital markets and direct cryptocurrency exposure. Their unique position brings new valuation challenges that set them apart from other investment vehicles.

Bitwise Just Revealed 3 Ways to Value DATs: All You Need to Know

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan warns that most DATs are mispriced. While many trade at a discount to their assets, a few can trade at a premium by boosting crypto-per-share.

Hougan’s framework offers investors a clear way to separate the winners from the laggards.

1/ I see a lot of bad analysis of DATs, or digital asset treasury companies. Specifically, I see a lot of bad takes on whether they should trade at, above, or below the value of the assets they hold (their so-called “mNAV”).

Here's how I approach it.

— Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) November 23, 2025

Why Most DATs Trade at a Discount

Hougan highlights three main reasons DATs usually underperform:

• Illiquidity: Investors demand a 5–10% discount if assets aren’t immediately accessible.
• Expenses: Operational costs and executive compensation directly reduce value.

For example, $100 of Bitcoin minus $10 of expenses per share equals a 10% discount.

• Risk: Mistakes, market shifts, or execution errors further lower valuations.

“…most of the reasons they should trade at a discount are certain, and most of the reasons they might trade at a premium are uncertain,” Hougan says.

This means the majority of DATs will underperform relative to their net asset value (mNAV).

How DATs Can Trade at a Premium

Some DATs outperform by increasing crypto-per-share, with Hougan identifying four key strategies:

• Issuing Debt: Borrowing USD to buy crypto can grow per-share holdings if prices rise.
• Lending Crypto: Earning interest compounds the crypto held by the company.
• Using Derivatives: Writing options or similar strategies generates additional assets, though it may limit upside.
• Acquiring Crypto at a Discount: Buying undervalued assets, repurchasing shares, or acquiring cash-flow businesses can increase crypto-per-share efficiently.

The Bitwise executive articulates that scale matters, noting that larger DATs can access debt more easily, lend more crypto, and take advantage of M&A opportunities. Size is a structural advantage.

---

Market Differentiation Is Coming

DATs have historically moved together, but Hougan predicts increased divergence.

• Premium DATs: Executing well, growing crypto-per-share, leveraging scale.
• Discount DATs: Struggling with expenses, risk, or small scale.

Investors can use Hougan’s approach, calculating expenses, risk, and growth potential, to determine fair value.

---

Investors should also watch:

• Which DATs consistently increase crypto-per-share.
• How scale gives certain DATs a long-term edge.
• Market moves that create opportunities to buy undervalued DATs.

With the market set for more differentiation, understanding Hougan’s framework could separate winners from losers amid a growing digital asset treasury space.

The post Most Crypto Treasury Firms Trade at a Discount — Here’s Why appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Satoshi Nakamoto’s legendary Bitcoin fortune has dropped by an estimated $41 billion, as BTC’s price slid more than 30% from its all-time high.

The pseudonymous creator’s 1.1 million Bitcoin, tracked using the Patoshi mining pattern, fell from $138 billion in October to about $96 billion as of this writing. This sharp decline moved Satoshi from 11th to around 20th among the world’s wealthiest people, now just below Bill Gates.

BTC Price Crashed, But What Happened to Satoshi’s Bitcoin Stash

Arkham Intelligence, a blockchain analytics firm, estimates Satoshi’s Bitcoin using mining analysis and on-chain forensics.

The “Patoshi Pattern,” discovered by Sergio Lerner, identifies more than 22,000 early addresses likely controlled by one entity, widely believed to be Satoshi Nakamoto. These coins, untouched for over a decade, continue to fuel intense speculation.

As of October 6, 2025, when the pioneer crypto established an all-time high of $126,296, Satoshi’s Bitcoin stash was valued at $138.92 billion. However , Bitcoin’s price has since dropped by over 30% to trade for $87,390 as of this writing.

With this drop, Satoshi’s Bitcoin stash has shrunk to $96.129 billion, meaning $42.79 billion of this fortune disappeared in weeks.

If Forbes listed Satoshi among the list of the world’s richest people, the Bitcoin founder would rank just below Bill Gates and right above Françoise Bettencourt Meyers & family at position 20.

Despite the vast scale of Satoshi’s holdings, Forbes and other wealth trackers do not count the Bitcoin founder in their official billionaire lists. The reasons include Satoshi’s unverified legal status and the fact that the assets have remained dormant, leaving ownership questions unresolved.

“Forbes does not include Satoshi Nakamoto on our Billionaire rankings because we have not been able to verify whether he or she is a living person, or one person vs. a collective group of people,” the magazine told BeInCrypto.

Ironically, Satoshi’s coins remain among the most visible fortunes due to the blockchain’s transparency.

Some experts suggest Forbes and others should consider including pseudonymous crypto wallets in their lists, even though ownership is anonymous.

Nonetheless, the long-term dormancy has also led to speculation that the fortune could be lost, inaccessible, or deliberately abandoned, an unusual scenario among billionaires.

Quantum Threats and Satoshi’s Secret

Elsewhere, the rise of quantum computing has renewed debate about Satoshi’s future and potential identity. Because quantum computers might one day break early Bitcoin cryptography, some experts propose freezing Satoshi’s coins or forking the network before a possible “Q-Day.” If these risks emerge, the controller of these coins may need to surface.

Important not to scaremonger here about quantum timelines.

Running Shor's algorithm is not the same thing as breaking an actual 256-bit ECC key. You can use Shor's algorithm to factor a number—that will be impressive—but will take a huge degree of scaling and engineering to… https://t.co/juppHGU8wC pic.twitter.com/k38lZvMBLl

— Haseeb ＞|＜ (@hosseeb) November 18, 2025

Nakamoto’s enigma will reach a global audience in 2026 with “Killing Satoshi,” a film exploring the mystery and geopolitical implications of dormant Bitcoin wealth.

Until these coins are moved or declared lost, Satoshi’s fortune remains a symbol of Bitcoin’s origins and its greatest secret.

If Bitcoin surges to $320,000–$370,000, Satoshi could become the world’s richest person. For now, the fortune remains unchanged for over 15 years, highly visible, but untouched.

The post Satoshi Nakamoto Loses $43 Billion as Bitcoin Price Falls Over 30% appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been dissolved, according to the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), despite its mandate being scheduled to continue through July 2026.

Despite the news, the meme coin associated with the Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy-led initiative is up by double digits.

Trump’s DOGE Project Is Over

DOGE began by executive order on Trump’s first day following reelection. Its mission was to dramatically streamline bureaucracy and cut $6.5 trillion in federal spending.

The launch sparked immediate attention, driving Dogecoin prices up over 10% on the announcement and leading to expectations of more crypto use in government.

OPM director Scott Kupor confirmed the dissolution, noting that DOGE doesn’t exist as a centralized entity. The department’s roles have shifted into OPM, while Trump now refers to DOGE in the past tense at public events.

Good editing by @reuters – spliced my full comments across paragraphs 2/3 to create a grabbing headline 🙂 The truth is: DOGE may not have centralized leadership under @USDS. But, the principles of DOGE remain alive and well: de-regulation; eliminating fraud, waste and abuse;…

— Scott Kupor (@skupor) November 23, 2025

The shutdown came eight months before its expected end. Musk left Washington in May. In June, turmoil appeared as staff packed personal items and searched for new homes, while tensions reportedly rose between Trump and Musk.

Despite its aggressive cost-cutting, the department quietly closed its doors.

Vivek Ramaswamy withdrew from the Ohio Senate race to focus on DOGE, but the department faced criticism for a lack of transparency and public accountability throughout its brief existence.

DOGE agents reportedly moved aggressively through agencies, making large personnel cuts and trimming budgets with minimal stakeholder input.

DOGE’s leadership claimed billions in savings, but no concrete, verifiable evidence has shown true cost reductions from these actions. This lack of transparent accounting has left many questioning whether DOGE improved spending efficiency at all.

Until shortly before its closure, DOGE’s official account posted regular updates on contract reductions, highlighting cost-cutting milestones in multiple agencies.

Contracts Update!

Over the last 9 days, agencies terminated and descoped 78 wasteful contracts with a ceiling value of $1.9B and savings of $335M, including an $616k HHS IT services contract for “social media monitoring platform subscription”, an $191k USAGM broadcasting… pic.twitter.com/83ldxUZ1NY

— Department of Government Efficiency (@DOGE) November 23, 2025

Some former DOGE employees are concerned about possible legal consequences related to their involvement in the department’s aggressive measures.

These concerns reveal persistent questions regarding whether DOGE’s practices crossed legal or ethical lines in its short tenure.

This transition marks a shift from DOGE’s drastic cost-cutting to broader government modernization. Critics have noted that only Congress can officially disband agencies, and DOGE’s scope was always limited to what executive actions could deliver.

Meanwhile, the Department Of Government Efficiency cryptocurrency token continues trading. Data on BeInCrypto shows the token’s price sits at $0.00483, up 13.62% in 24 hours.

The dissolution of DOGE raises questions about how sustainable rapid government restructurings can be, and what role executive actions play in structural reform.

As federal operations absorb former DOGE staff and the administration moves on, the real impact of DOGE’s brief experiment remains uncertain and open to further assessment.

The post DOGE Is Gone: Trump and Musk’s Federal Overhaul Quietly Collapses 8 Months Early appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Over the course of last week, and even before that, the Bitcoin price recorded a concerning pattern. The US trading sessions drove Bitcoin losses, while Asian markets consistently bought the dip, indicating sharp regional divergence.

New reports allege that the government may have orchestrated the sell-off seen during the US sessions as part of its broader investment strategy.

US Buyout Rumors Hit MicroStrategy as Bitcoin Crashes to $85,000

Bitcoin’s recent price decline revealed a sharp split in trading, with US sessions driving sell-offs while Asian traders steadily buy the dip. BeInCrypto reported that American sessions have become the weakest period for Bitcoin prices.

According to Max Keiser, a Bitcoin pioneer, the US government may be eyeing MicroStrategy ($MSTR) and Coinbase ($COIN), potentially capitalizing on Bitcoin’s steep sell-off in November.

RUMOR: The U.S. is contemplating a multibillion investment in $MSTR & $COIN pic.twitter.com/Fd1S4LQFRl

— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) November 23, 2025

While no evidence confirms the claims, the speculation has spread. Some suggest that this interest drove the government to orchestrate the recent Bitcoin sell-off to the sub-$90,000 range.

Allegedly, US government officials wanted MicroStrategy’s market value to net asset value (mNAV) near 1.0 and therefore manufactured a crash on Bitcoin to compress the premium.

“The US is contemplating a multi-billion-dollar investment in MSTR, and they needed the mNAV to be 1 before it made sense for them to invest, so they manufactured a crash on bitcoin,” wrote Teddy, a popular user on X (Twitter).

Mike Alfred names officials such as President Donald Trump, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and allies, citing a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins while simultaneously defunding JP Morgan, the Fed, and the US banking cabal to protect US citizens.

Again, there are no official statements or regulatory filings backing these claims. No representatives from the US Treasury, White House, or regulatory agencies have addressed or confirmed the rumors. 

“The administration views it as a defining battle,” Alfred noted.

MicroStrategy’s Index Risk Matters More Than the Noise

Several factors have factually influenced recent price volatility. Strategy Inc. faces the potential impact of MSCI’s proposed index exclusion for companies with more than 50% of their assets in Bitcoin or similar cryptocurrencies. If adopted, this policy could trigger as much as $8.8 billion in passive fund outflows from the stock.

At the same time, shifting outlooks on Fed rate cuts and volatility in bond markets have pressured riskier investments, leading to increased market declines.

Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, rejects attempts to reclassify his company as a fund or trust, emphasizing its ongoing software and active treasury operations.

With MSCI’s January 2026 decision approaching, the company continues to face real business hurdles unrelated to online conspiracy theories.

Speculation on X ties Bitcoin’s crash to imagined government accumulation plans, including:

• Claims that the government will “step in and buy MicroStrategy,” creating a new “failsafe.”
• Theories that crashing Bitcoin allows the US to reach a hypothetical 1 million BTC reserve target.
• Assertions that MicroStrategy could be a long-running “honeypot” leading to eventual asset seizure.

Blockchain data indicates that the US government holds more than 326,000 BTC from prior forfeitures, fueling continued speculation.

MicroStrategy, whose balance sheet is dominated by Bitcoin, dropped more than 60% from its highs, pushing its mNAV to levels below 1 as of November 23.

Even without evidence of a government bid, the rumors highlight several key realities:

• MicroStrategy’s valuation remains tightly correlated with Bitcoin volatility.
• Index-eligibility reviews could materially impact liquidity for $MSTR.
• Social media-driven narratives can influence sentiment during high-volatility periods.

While these remain speculation from some of the industry’s loudest voices, the timing of these posts, amidst one of Bitcoin’s sharpest weekly declines of 2025, may be exacerbating the spread.

The post Did the US Really “Manufacture” the Bitcoin Crash? What to Know About the MSTR Buyout Rumor appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Chief Investment Officer Bitwise Matt Hougan menyoroti kesalahan penilaian umum dalam Perusahaan Treasury Aset Digital (DAT). Dia mendesak investor untuk mempertimbangkan penilaian lebih dari sekadar kepemilikan kripto sederhana karena perusahaan-perusahaan ini menghadapi dinamika finansial yang kompleks.

DATs sekarang mengelola lebih dari US$130 miliar dalam aset digital, yang menjadi penghubung penting antara pasar modal tradisional dan eksposur langsung ke mata uang kripto. Posisi unik mereka membawa tantangan penilaian baru yang membedakan mereka dari kendaraan investasi lainnya.

Bitwise Baru Saja Mengungkap 3 Cara Menilai DATs: Semua yang Perlu Anda Ketahui

CIO Bitwise, Matt Hougan, memperingatkan bahwa sebagian besar DATs salah harga. Meskipun banyak yang diperdagangkan dengan diskon terhadap aset mereka, beberapa bisa diperdagangkan dengan premium dengan meningkatkan kripto per saham.

Kerangka kerja Hougan menawarkan investor cara jelas untuk membedakan pemenang dari yang tertinggal.

1/ I see a lot of bad analysis of DATs, or digital asset treasury companies. Specifically, I see a lot of bad takes on whether they should trade at, above, or below the value of the assets they hold (their so-called “mNAV”).

Here's how I approach it.

— Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) November 23, 2025

Mengapa Kebanyakan DAT Diperdagangkan dengan Diskon

Hougan menyoroti tiga alasan utama mengapa DATs biasanya berkinerja buruk:

• Likuiditas: Investor menuntut diskon 5–10% jika aset tidak dapat diakses segera.
• Biaya: Biaya operasional dan kompensasi eksekutif secara langsung mengurangi nilai.

Misalnya, US$100 dari Bitcoin dikurangi US$10 biaya per saham sama dengan diskon 10%.

• Risiko: Kesalahan, pergeseran pasar, atau kesalahan eksekusi lebih lanjut menurunkan penilaian.

“…kebanyakan alasan mereka harus diperdagangkan dengan diskon adalah pasti, dan kebanyakan alasan mereka mungkin diperdagangkan dengan premium adalah tidak pasti,” ujar Hougan mengatakan.

Ini berarti sebagian besar DAT akan berkinerja buruk dibandingkan dengan nilai aset bersih mereka (mNAV).

Bagaimana DATs Dapat Diperdagangkan pada Harga Premium

Beberapa DATs berkinerja lebih baik dengan meningkatkan kripto per saham, dengan Hougan mengidentifikasi empat strategi kunci:

• Menerbitkan Utang: Meminjam USD untuk membeli kripto bisa meningkatkan kepemilikan per saham jika harga naik.
• Meminjamkan Kripto: Mendapatkan bunga akan menambah jumlah kripto yang dipegang perusahaan.
• Menggunakan Derivatif: Menulis opsi atau strategi serupa menghasilkan aset tambahan, meskipun bisa membatasi kenaikan.
• Mengakuisisi Kripto dengan Diskon: Membeli aset yang undervalued, membeli kembali saham, atau mengakuisisi bisnis yang menghasilkan arus kas dapat meningkatkan kripto per saham secara efisien.

Eksekutif Bitwise menjelaskan bahwa skala penting, mengingat DAT yang lebih besar dapat lebih mudah mengakses utang, meminjamkan lebih banyak kripto, dan memanfaatkan peluang M&A. Ukuran adalah keuntungan struktural.

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Diferensiasi Pasar Akan Datang

Historisnya, DAT bergerak bersama, namun Hougan meramalkan perbedaan yang meningkat.

• Premium DATs: Berhasil mengeksekusi, meningkatkan kripto per saham, memanfaatkan skala.
• Discount DATs: Kesulitan dengan biaya, risiko, atau skala kecil.

Investor dapat menggunakan pendekatan Hougan, menghitung biaya, risiko, dan potensi pertumbuhan, untuk menentukan nilai wajar.

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Investor juga perlu memperhatikan:

• Mana DATs yang secara konsisten meningkatkan kripto per saham.
• Bagaimana skala memberi keunggulan jangka panjang bagi DAT tertentu.
• Pergerakan pasar yang menciptakan peluang untuk membeli DAT yang undervalued.

Dengan pasar yang siap untuk lebih banyak perbedaan, memahami kerangka Hougan bisa membedakan antara pemenang dan yang kalah di tengah pertumbuhan ruang treasury aset digital.

Kekayaan legendaris Bitcoin milik Satoshi Nakamoto telah turun sekitar US$41 miliar, karena harga BTC anjlok lebih dari 30% dari titik tertinggi sepanjang masa.

1,1 juta Bitcoin milik pencipta dengan nama samaran ini, dilacak menggunakan pola penambangan Patoshi, turun dari US$138 miliar pada bulan Oktober menjadi sekitar US$96 miliar saat ini. Penurunan tajam ini menggeser Satoshi dari posisi ke-11 ke sekitar posisi ke-20 di antara orang terkaya di dunia, kini tepat di bawah Bill Gates.

Harga BTC Anjlok, Tapi Apa yang Terjadi pada Stash Bitcoin Satoshi

Arkham Intelligence, sebuah perusahaan analitik blockchain, memperkirakan Bitcoin milik Satoshi menggunakan analisis penambangan dan forensik on-chain.

“Patoshi Pattern,” yang ditemukan oleh Sergio Lerner, mengidentifikasi lebih dari 22.000 alamat awal yang kemungkinan besar dikendalikan oleh satu entitas, yang diyakini luas Satoshi Nakamoto. Koin-koin ini, tidak tersentuh selama lebih dari satu dekade, terus memicu spekulasi intens.

Pada tanggal 6 Oktober 2025, ketika kripto pionir ini mencapai puncak sepanjang masa sebesar US$126,296, tumpukan Bitcoin Satoshi bernilai US$138,92 miliar. Namun, harga Bitcoin sejak saat itu turun lebih dari 30% untuk berdagang di harga US$87,390 saat ini.

Dengan penurunan ini, tumpukan Bitcoin Satoshi menyusut menjadi US$96,129 miliar, artinya US$42,79 miliar dari kekayaan ini hilang dalam hitungan minggu.

Jika Forbes memasukkan Satoshi dalam daftar orang terkaya dunia, pendiri Bitcoin ini akan berada tepat di bawah Bill Gates dan tepat di atas Françoise Bettencourt Meyers & keluarga di posisi 20.

Walaupun skala kepemilikan Satoshi sangat besar, Forbes dan pelacak kekayaan lainnya tidak memasukkan pendiri Bitcoin ini dalam daftar miliarder resmi mereka. Alasan-alasannya meliputi status hukum Satoshi yang belum diverifikasi dan fakta bahwa aset-aset ini tetap tidak aktif, menyisakan pertanyaan tentang kepemilikan yang belum terjawab.

“Forbes tidak memasukkan Satoshi Nakamoto dalam peringkat Miliarder kami karena kami belum dapat memverifikasi apakah dia adalah orang yang masih hidup, atau satu orang vs. kelompok kolektif,” kata majalah itu kepada BeInCrypto.

Ironisnya, koin milik Satoshi tetap menjadi salah satu kekayaan paling terlihat karena transparansi blockchain.

Beberapa ahli menyarankan Forbes dan pihak lainnya untuk mempertimbangkan memasukkan dompet crypto samaran dalam daftar mereka, meskipun kepemilikan adalah anonim.

Namun, dormansi jangka panjang ini juga memicu spekulasi bahwa kekayaan ini mungkin hilang, tak terjangkau, atau sengaja ditinggalkan, sebuah skenario yang tidak biasa di antara para miliarder.

Ancaman Kuantum dan Rahasia Satoshi

Di tempat lain, kemunculan komputasi kuantum telah memicu kembali perdebatan tentang masa depan dan potensi identitas Satoshi. Karena komputer kuantum mungkin suatu hari dapat membobol kriptografi Bitcoin awal, beberapa ahli mengusulkan untuk membekukan koin Satoshi atau melakukan fork pada jaringan sebelum kemungkinan terjadinya “Q-Day.” Jika risiko-risiko ini muncul, pengendali koin-koin ini mungkin perlu muncul ke permukaan.

Important not to scaremonger here about quantum timelines.

Running Shor's algorithm is not the same thing as breaking an actual 256-bit ECC key. You can use Shor's algorithm to factor a number—that will be impressive—but will take a huge degree of scaling and engineering to… https://t.co/juppHGU8wC pic.twitter.com/k38lZvMBLl

— Haseeb ＞|＜ (@hosseeb) November 18, 2025

Teka-teki Nakamoto akan mencapai penonton global pada tahun 2026 dengan “Killing Satoshi,” film yang mengeksplorasi misteri dan implikasi geopolitik dari kekayaan Bitcoin yang tidak aktif.

Sampai koin-koin ini dipindahkan atau dinyatakan hilang, kekayaan Satoshi tetap menjadi simbol asal mula Bitcoin dan rahasia terbesarnya.

Jika Bitcoin melonjak ke US$320.000–US$370.000, Satoshi bisa menjadi orang terkaya di dunia. Untuk saat ini, kekayaan tersebut tetap tidak berubah selama lebih dari 15 tahun, sangat terlihat, namun tidak tersentuh.

Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) telah dibubarkan, menurut Office of Personnel Management (OPM), meskipun mandatnya dijadwalkan berlangsung hingga Juli 2026.

Walaupun ada berita ini, meme coin yang terkait dengan inisiatif yang dipimpin oleh Elon Musk dan Vivek Ramaswamy ini naik dengan persentase dua digit.

Proyek DOGE Trump Sudah Selesai

DOGE dimulai dengan perintah eksekutif pada hari pertama Trump setelah terpilih kembali. Misinya adalah untuk secara dramatis menyederhanakan birokrasi dan memotong US$6,5 triliun dalam pengeluaran federal.

Peluncuran ini langsung menarik perhatian, menaikkan harga Dogecoin lebih dari 10% pada pengumuman tersebut dan menyebabkan harapan lebih banyak penggunaan kripto di pemerintahan.

Direktur OPM, Scott Kupor, mengonfirmasi pembubaran ini, menyatakan bahwa DOGE tidak ada sebagai entitas terpusat. Peran departemen ini telah beralih ke OPM, sementara Trump sekarang merujuk DOGE dalam bentuk lampau di acara publik.

Good editing by @reuters – spliced my full comments across paragraphs 2/3 to create a grabbing headline 🙂 The truth is: DOGE may not have centralized leadership under @USDS. But, the principles of DOGE remain alive and well: de-regulation; eliminating fraud, waste and abuse;…

— Scott Kupor (@skupor) November 23, 2025

Penutupan ini terjadi delapan bulan sebelum akhir yang diharapkan. Musk meninggalkan Washington pada bulan Mei. Pada bulan Juni, kekacauan mulai tampak saat staf mengepak barang pribadi dan mencari tempat tinggal baru, sementara ketegangan dilaporkan meningkat antara Trump dan Musk.

Meskipun memotong biaya secara agresif, departemen ini menutup pintunya secara diam-diam.

Vivek Ramaswamy mundur dari pemilihan Senat Ohio untuk fokus pada DOGE, namun departemen ini menghadapi kritik karena kurangnya transparansi dan akuntabilitas publik selama keberadaannya yang singkat.

Para agen DOGE dilaporkan bergerak agresif melalui lembaga-lembaga, melakukan pengurangan personil besar-besaran dan memangkas anggaran dengan masukan pemangku kepentingan yang minim.

Pemimpin DOGE mengklaim miliaran penghematan, namun tidak ada bukti konkret yang dapat diverifikasi yang menunjukkan pengurangan biaya sebenarnya dari tindakan ini. Kekurangan akuntansi yang transparan ini membuat banyak pihak mempertanyakan apakah DOGE benar-benar meningkatkan efisiensi pengeluaran.

Hingga beberapa saat sebelum penutupannya, akun resmi DOGE rutin memposting pembaruan tentang pengurangan kontrak, menyoroti pencapaian pemotongan biaya di berbagai agensi.

Contracts Update!

Over the last 9 days, agencies terminated and descoped 78 wasteful contracts with a ceiling value of $1.9B and savings of $335M, including an $616k HHS IT services contract for “social media monitoring platform subscription”, an $191k USAGM broadcasting… pic.twitter.com/83ldxUZ1NY

— Department of Government Efficiency (@DOGE) November 23, 2025

Beberapa mantan karyawan DOGE khawatir tentang kemungkinan konsekuensi hukum terkait keterlibatan mereka dalam langkah-langkah agresif departemen tersebut.

Kekhawatiran ini mengungkapkan pertanyaan yang terus-menerus tentang apakah praktik DOGE melanggar batas hukum atau etika selama masa jabatannya yang singkat.

Transisi ini menandai pergeseran dari pemotongan biaya drastis DOGE ke modernisasi pemerintah yang lebih luas. Para kritikus mencatat bahwa hanya Kongres yang dapat secara resmi membubarkan lembaga, dan cakupan DOGE selalu terbatas pada apa yang dapat dicapai oleh tindakan eksekutif.

Sementara itu, token cryptocurrency Department Of Government Efficiency terus diperdagangkan. Data di BeInCrypto menunjukkan harga token tersebut mencapai US$0,00483, naik 13,62% dalam 24 jam.

Pembubaran DOGE menimbulkan pertanyaan tentang seberapa berkelanjutannya restrukturisasi pemerintah yang cepat dan peran tindakan eksekutif dalam reformasi struktural.

Seiring operasi federal menyerap mantan staf DOGE dan administrasi berlanjut, dampak nyata dari eksperimen singkat DOGE tetap tidak pasti dan terbuka untuk penilaian lebih lanjut.

Selama pekan lalu, dan bahkan sebelumnya, harga Bitcoin mencatat pola yang mengkhawatirkan. Sesi perdagangan AS mendorong kerugian Bitcoin sementara pasar Asia konsisten membeli penurunan, menunjukkan perbedaan regional yang tajam.

Laporan baru menuduh bahwa pemerintah mungkin telah mengatur penjualan yang terlihat selama sesi AS sebagai bagian dari strategi investasi yang lebih luas.

Rumor Buyout AS Hantam MicroStrategy saat Bitcoin Anjlok ke US$85.000

Penurunan harga Bitcoin baru-baru ini mengungkapkan perpecahan tajam dalam perdagangan, dengan sesi AS yang mendorong penjualan sementara trader Asia terus membeli penurunan tersebut. BeInCrypto melaporkan bahwa sesi Amerika telah menjadi periode terlemah bagi harga Bitcoin.

Menurut Max Keiser, seorang pelopor Bitcoin, pemerintah AS mungkin memantau MicroStrategy (US$MSTR) dan Coinbase (US$COIN), yang berpotensi memanfaatkan penjualan tajam Bitcoin di bulan November.

RUMOR: The U.S. is contemplating a multibillion investment in $MSTR & $COIN pic.twitter.com/Fd1S4LQFRl

— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) November 23, 2025

Meskipun tidak ada bukti yang mengonfirmasi klaim-klaim ini, spekulasi telah menyebar. Beberapa menyarankan bahwa minat ini mendorong pemerintah untuk mengatur penjualan Bitcoin baru-baru ini ke kisaran di bawah US$90.000.

Diduga, pejabat pemerintah AS ingin nilai pasar MicroStrategy terhadap nilai aset bersih (mNAV) mendekati 1.0 dan oleh karena itu memanipulasi penurunan harga Bitcoin untuk menekan premi.

“AS sedang mempertimbangkan investasi miliaran Dollar di MSTR, dan mereka memerlukan mNAV menjadi 1 sebelum masuk akal bagi mereka untuk berinvestasi, jadi mereka memanipulasi penurunan harga Bitcoin,” tulis Teddy, seorang pengguna terkenal di X (Twitter).

Mike Alfred menyebut pejabat seperti Presiden Donald Trump, Menteri Keuangan Scott Bessent, dan sekutunya, mengutip rencana bertahap untuk memperkuat Bitcoin, MSTR, dan stablecoin sambil secara bersamaan mengurangi dana JP Morgan, The Fed, dan kelompok perbankan AS untuk melindungi warga AS.

Sekali lagi, tidak ada pernyataan resmi atau dokumen regulasi yang mendukung klaim tersebut. Tidak ada perwakilan dari Departemen Keuangan AS, Gedung Putih, atau agensi regulasi yang mengaddress atau mengonfirmasi rumor tersebut.

“Pemerintah melihat ini sebagai pertempuran yang menentukan,” terang Alfred.

Risiko Indeks MicroStrategy Lebih Penting Daripada Kebisingan

Beberapa faktor telah mempengaruhi volatilitas harga baru-baru ini. Strategy Inc. menghadapi potensi dampak dari penghapusan indeks yang diusulkan oleh MSCI untuk perusahaan dengan lebih dari 50% aset mereka dalam Bitcoin atau aset kripto sejenis. Jika diterapkan, kebijakan ini bisa memicu arus keluar dana pasif hingga US$8,8 miliar dari saham ini.

Pada saat yang sama, perubahan pandangan tentang pemotongan suku bunga The Fed dan volatilitas di pasar obligasi telah memberikan tekanan pada investasi yang lebih berisiko, sehingga meningkatkan penurunan pasar.

Michael Saylor, CEO MicroStrategy, menolak upaya untuk mengklasifikasikan ulang perusahaannya sebagai dana atau trust, menekankan operasi perangkat lunaknya yang sedang berlangsung dan aktivitas perbendaharaan aktif.

Dengan keputusan MSCI pada Januari 2026 yang semakin dekat, perusahaan tersebut terus menghadapi tantangan bisnis nyata yang tidak terkait dengan teori-teori konspirasi online.

Spekulasi di X mengaitkan penurunan Bitcoin dengan rencana akumulasi pemerintah yang dibayangkan, termasuk:

• Klaim bahwa pemerintah akan “ikut campur dan membeli MicroStrategy”, menciptakan “sistem jaminan” baru.
• Teori bahwa penurunan harga Bitcoin memungkinkan AS untuk mencapai target cadangan 1 juta BTC yang hipotetis.
• Pernyataan bahwa MicroStrategy bisa menjadi “perangkap madu” yang telah lama berjalan yang mengarah ke penyitaan aset akhir.

Data blockchain menunjukkan bahwa pemerintah AS memegang lebih dari 326.000 BTC dari penyitaan sebelumnya, yang terus memicu spekulasi.

MicroStrategy, dengan neraca yang didominasi oleh Bitcoin, jatuh lebih dari 60% dari tertingginya, mendorong mNAV-nya ke level di bawah 1 per 23 November.

Walaupun tanpa bukti adanya tawaran dari pemerintah, rumor ini menyoroti beberapa kenyataan penting:

• Valuasi MicroStrategy tetap berkorelasi erat dengan volatilitas Bitcoin.
• Tinjauan kelayakan indeks dapat secara signifikan mempengaruhi likuiditas untuk $MSTR.
• Narasi berbasis media sosial dapat memengaruhi sentimen selama periode volatilitas tinggi.

Walaupun ini tetap menjadi spekulasi dari beberapa suara terkeras di industri, waktu munculnya unggahan ini, di tengah salah satu penurunan mingguan Bitcoin paling tajam di tahun 2025, sepertinya memperburuk penyebarannya.

CEO MicroStrategy Michael Saylor menanggapi ulasan klasifikasi dari MSCI dengan menggambarkan perusahaannya sebagai bisnis operasi hybrid, bukan sebuah dana investasi.

Klarifikasi ini muncul di tengah konsultasi formal tentang bagaimana perusahaan treasury aset digital (DATs) harus diperlakukan dalam indeks ekuitas utama, sebuah keputusan yang bisa memiliki dampak besar pada MSTR.

Michael Saylor Tegaskan: “MicroStrategy Bukan Fund atau Trust” di Tengah Pengawasan MSCI

Dalam sebuah postingan detail di X (Twitter), Saylor menekankan MicroStrategy bukanlah sebuah dana, bukan trust, dan bukan perusahaan holding.

“Kami adalah perusahaan operasi yang diperdagangkan secara publik dengan bisnis perangkat lunak senilai US$500 juta dan strategi treasury unik yang menggunakan Bitcoin sebagai modal produktif,” ujar dia menjelaskan.

Pernyataan ini memposisikan MicroStrategy lebih dari sekadar holder Bitcoin, dengan Saylor mencatat bahwa dana dan trust memegang aset secara pasif.

“Perusahaan holding hanya duduk di atas investasi. Kami menciptakan, menyusun, mengeluarkan, dan mengoperasikan,” tambah Saylor, menyoroti peranan aktif perusahaan dalam keuangan digital.

Tahun ini, MicroStrategy menyelesaikan lima penawaran publik sekuritas kredit digital: STRK, STRF, STRD, STRC, dan STRE. Jumlah ini mencapai lebih dari US$7,7 miliar dalam nilai nominal.

Perlu dicatat, Stretch (STRC) adalah instrumen treasury yang didukung oleh Bitcoin dan menawarkan hasil USD variabel bulanan kepada investor institusional dan ritel.

Saylor menggambarkan MicroStrategy sebagai perusahaan keuangan terstruktur yang didukung oleh Bitcoin yang beroperasi di pertemuan pasar modal dan inovasi perangkat lunak.

“Tidak ada kendaraan pasif atau perusahaan holding yang bisa melakukan apa yang kami lakukan,” ucap dia, menekankan bahwa klasifikasi indeks tidak mendefinisikan perusahaan tersebut.

Mengapa Keputusan MSCI Penting

Konsultasi MSCI dapat mengklasifikasikan kembali perusahaan seperti MicroStrategy sebagai dana investasi, menjadikannya tidak memenuhi syarat untuk indeks utama seperti MSCI USA dan MSCI World.

Pengecualian ini bisa memicu miliaran dalam arus keluar pasif dan meningkatkan volatilitas pada $MSTR, yang saat ini turun sekitar 70% dari titik tertingginya.

Taruhannya melampaui MicroStrategy. Pembelaan Saylor menentang norma tradisional keuangan (TradFi), mempertanyakan apakah perusahaan operasi yang didorong oleh Bitcoin dapat mempertahankan akses ke modal pasif tanpa dilabeli sebagai dana.

MicroStrategy memegang 649.870 Bitcoin, dengan biaya rata-rata US$74.430 per koin. Nilai perusahaannya mencapai US$66 miliar, dan perusahaan ini mengandalkan penawaran ekuitas dan utang terstruktur untuk mendanai strategi akumulasi Bitcoinnya.

Putusan MSCI, yang diharapkan keluar pada 15 Januari 2026, bisa menguji kelayakan model treasury hybrid seperti ini di pasar publik.

Nvidia adalah salah satu pemenang terbesar dari ledakan AI. Hasil kuartal terakhir menunjukkan pendapatan US$57 miliar dan laba US$31,9 miliar – angka yang memecahkan rekor dalam ukuran apapun.

Akan tetapi, alih-alih merayakan, saham berayun liar: naik 5% setelah pengumuman laba, kemudian turun dalam waktu 18 jam. Investor, algoritma, dan pengamat pasar kini mengajukan pertanyaan penting: Apakah pertumbuhan AI Nvidia sekuat yang terlihat di atas kertas?

Model Pembiayaan NVIDIA Mendapat Sorotan saat Investor Ternama Bertaruh Melawannya

Tanda peringatan pertama adalah uang yang belum benar-benar dibayar. Nvidia memiliki tagihan pelanggan yang belum dibayar sebesar US$33,4 miliar, hampir dua kali lipat dari tahun lalu. Rata-rata, pelanggan membutuhkan 53 hari untuk membayar, naik dari 46 hari.

Sementara itu, perusahaan memiliki US$19,8 miliar dalam bentuk chip yang belum terjual, namun manajemen mengatakan permintaan sangat tinggi.

“Keduanya tidak bisa benar…Entah pelanggan tidak membeli atau mereka membeli tanpa uang tunai. Arus kas yang menceritakan kisah nyata,” ujar Shanaka Perera dalam sebuah unggahan.

Peringatan lain adalah kesenjangan antara laba dan kas nyata. Nvidia melaporkan laba sebesar US$19,3 miliar, namun hanya menghasilkan US$14,5 miliar dalam bentuk kas. Artinya, US$4,8 miliar dari “laba” belum benar-benar muncul di bank.

Sebagai perbandingan, pembuat chip lain seperti TSMC dan AMD hampir seluruh laba mereka dalam bentuk kas. Tingkat konversi yang lebih rendah dari Nvidia menimbulkan pertanyaan tentang seberapa nyata pertumbuhannya.

“Perusahaan chip sehat seperti TSMC dan AMD mengonversi lebih dari 95% laba ke kas. Nvidia mengonversi 75%. Itu tingkat yang mengkhawatirkan,” tambah Perera.

Hal ini semakin rumit ketika melihat bagaimana perusahaan AI saling membeli. Nvidia menjual chip ke perusahaan seperti xAI, Microsoft, OpenAI, dan Oracle. Banyak dari transaksi ini didanai oleh pinjaman atau kredit dari perusahaan yang sama, yang berarti uang yang sama dihitung berkali-kali sebagai pendapatan.

Michael Burry Memperingatkan Tentang Pendapatan dan Permintaan Nvidia

Michael Burry, investor yang terkenal karena memprediksi krisis 2008, menyebut ini sebagai “pengakuan pendapatan yang mencurigakan,” memperingatkan bahwa permintaan sebenarnya dari pengguna akhir mungkin sangat kecil.

Every company listed below has suspicious revenue recognition. The actual chart with ALL the give-and-take deals would be unreadable. The future will regard this a picture of fraud, not a flywheel. True end demand is ridiculously small. Almost all customers are funded by their… pic.twitter.com/0XyGQ8FjuE

— Cassandra Unchained (@michaeljburry) November 19, 2025

Burry juga menunjukkan bahwa pembelian kembali saham Nvidia mungkin menyembunyikan risiko lain. Sejak 2018, perusahaan telah menghabiskan US$112,5 miliar untuk pembelian kembali, namun tetap menerbitkan saham baru.

Ini efektif mengencerkan kepemilikan pemegang saham yang ada. Dia juga mempertanyakan apakah GPU lama yang menggunakan lebih banyak listrik daripada model baru, benar-benar seberharga yang diklaim perusahaan.

“Hanya karena sesuatu digunakan bukan berarti itu menguntungkan,” dia ujar.

Beberapa investor besar nampaknya sependapat. Peter Thiel dikabarkan menjual semua saham Nvidia-nya, dan SoftBank menjual senilai US$5,8 miliar.

Peter Thiel reportedly sold his entire position of 537,742 shares in Nivdia.

Why? It’s a bubble, they all know it & are cashing out.

– Nvidia ALONE = 15% of US GDP.
-OpenAi wants a govt bailout.
– US Growth is .01% when you remove AI sector. pic.twitter.com/mk3Nc6yBpk

— Maine (@TheMaineWonk) November 17, 2025

Pada saat yang sama, spekulasi yang terkait dengan AI nampaknya mempengaruhi pasar kripto. Bitcoin turun hampir 30% sejak Oktober, sebagian karena startup AI menahan US$26,8 miliar dalam bentuk Bitcoin sebagai jaminan, yang bisa dijual jika saham Nvidia jatuh lebih jauh.

Nvidia, $NVDA, CEO Jensen Huang told staff 'the whole world would've fallen apart' if Nvidia delivered a bad quarter, per BI

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) November 21, 2025

Tidak semua orang merasa khawatir. Pendukung mengatakan Nvidia memiliki arus kas sebesar US$23,8 miliar, pesanan besar dari perusahaan seperti Microsoft dan Meta, dan bahwa beberapa kesepakatan antar perusahaan adalah hal yang lazim dalam industri teknologi.

Namun, sebuah survei baru-baru ini oleh Bank of America menunjukkan bahwa 45% manajer dana melihat AI sebagai risiko gelembung pasar utama, sebuah kekhawatiran yang juga diungkapkan oleh regulator global, termasuk IMF dan Bank of England.

Beberapa bulan ke depan mungkin sangat penting. Analis memantau hasil kuartal keempat Nvidia pada Februari 2026, kemungkinan penurunan peringkat kredit pada Maret, dan pernyataan ulang pada April.

Bagaimana kinerja perusahaan ini bisa menentukan apakah ledakan AI berlanjut atau jika kepanikan pasar baru-baru ini menandakan awal perlambatan yang lebih luas. Bagaimanapun, cerita Nvidia kini menjadi kasus uji untuk era teknologi yang didorong oleh AI.

MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor fired back at MSCI’s review of the company’s classification, framing his firm as a hybrid operating business, not an investment fund.

The clarification comes amid a formal consultation on how digital asset treasury companies (DATs) should be treated in flagship equity indexes, a decision that could have major market consequences for MSTR.

Michael Saylor Draws the Line: “MicroStrategy Is Not a Fund or Trust” Amid MSCI Scrutiny

In a detailed post on X (Twitter), Saylor emphasized MicroStrategy is not a fund, not a trust, and not a holding company.

“We’re a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and a unique treasury strategy that uses Bitcoin as productive capital,” he articulated.

The statement positions MicroStrategy as more than a Bitcoin holder, with Saylor noting that funds and trusts hold assets passively.

“Holding companies sit on investments. We create, structure, issue, and operate,” Saylor added, highlighting the company’s active role in digital finance.

This year, MicroStrategy completed five public offerings of digital credit securities: STRK, STRF, STRD, STRC, and STRE. These total more than $7.7 billion in notional value.

Notably, Stretch (STRC) is a Bitcoin-backed treasury instrument that offers variable monthly USD yields to both institutional and retail investors.

Saylor describes MicroStrategy as a Bitcoin-backed structured finance company that operates at the intersection of capital markets and software innovation.

“No passive vehicle or holding company could do what we’re doing,” he said, stressing that index classification does not define the company.

Why MSCI’s Decision Matters

MSCI’s consultation could reclassify firms like MicroStrategy as investment funds, making them ineligible for key indexes such as MSCI USA and MSCI World.

Exclusion could trigger billions in passive outflows and heighten volatility in $MSTR, which is already down roughly 70% from its all-time high.

The stakes extend beyond MicroStrategy. Saylor’s defense challenges traditional finance (TradFi) norms, asking whether Bitcoin-driven operating companies can maintain access to passive capital without being labeled as funds.

MicroStrategy holds 649,870 Bitcoin, with an average cost of $74,430 per coin. Its enterprise value stands at $66 billion, and the company has relied on equity and structured debt offerings to fund its Bitcoin accumulation strategy.

The MSCI ruling, expected by January 15, 2026, could test the viability of such hybrid treasury models in public markets.

The post “Not a Fund, Not a Trust”: Saylor Draws the Line as MSCI Considers MicroStrategy’s Fate appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Nvidia is one of the biggest winners of the AI boom. Its latest quarterly results showed $57 billion in revenue and $31.9 billion in profit, record numbers by any measure.

But instead of celebrating, the stock swung wildly: up 5% after earnings, then down again within 18 hours. Investors, algorithms, and market watchers are now asking a critical question: Is Nvidia’s AI growth as solid as it looks on paper?

NVIDIA’s Financing Model Draws Scrutiny as Big-Name Investors Bet Against It

The first warning sign is money that has not actually been paid. Nvidia has $33.4 billion in unpaid customer bills, nearly double what it had a year ago. On average, customers are taking 53 days to pay, up from 46 days.

Meanwhile, the company is sitting on $19.8 billion of unsold chips, yet management says demand is through the roof.

“Both cannot be true…Either customers aren’t buying or they’re buying without cash. The cash flow tells the real story,” said Shanaka Perera in a post.

Another red flag is the gap between profits and actual cash. Nvidia reported $19.3 billion in profit, but it generated only $14.5 billion in cash. That means $4.8 billion of its “profit” has not actually appeared in the bank.

For comparison, other chipmakers like TSMC and AMD turn almost all of their profits into cash. Nvidia’s lower rate raises questions about how much of its growth is real.

“Healthy chip companies like TSMC and AMD convert over 95% of profits to cash. Nvidia converts 75%. That’s distress level,” Perera added.

Things get even more complicated when you look at how AI companies buy from each other. Nvidia sells chips to firms like xAI, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Oracle. Many of these deals are funded by loans or credits from the same companies, meaning the same money is counted multiple times as revenue.

Michael Burry Sounds the Alarm on Nvidia’s Revenue and Demand

Michael Burry, the investor famous for predicting the 2008 crash, refers to this “suspicious revenue recognition,” warning that the actual demand from end-users may be very small.

Every company listed below has suspicious revenue recognition. The actual chart with ALL the give-and-take deals would be unreadable. The future will regard this a picture of fraud, not a flywheel. True end demand is ridiculously small. Almost all customers are funded by their… pic.twitter.com/0XyGQ8FjuE

— Cassandra Unchained (@michaeljburry) November 19, 2025

Burry also pointed out that Nvidia’s stock buybacks may be hiding another risk. Since 2018, the company has spent $112.5 billion on buybacks, while still issuing new shares.

That effectively dilutes existing shareholders. He also questioned whether older GPUs, which use far more electricity than newer models, are really as valuable as the company claims.

“Just because something is being used doesn’t mean it’s profitable,” he said.

Some big investors seem to agree. Peter Thiel reportedly sold all of his Nvidia shares, and SoftBank sold $5.8 billion worth on November 11. Michael Burry bought put options betting Nvidia would crash to $140 by March 2026.

Peter Thiel reportedly sold his entire position of 537,742 shares in Nivdia.

Why? It’s a bubble, they all know it & are cashing out.

– Nvidia ALONE = 15% of US GDP.
-OpenAi wants a govt bailout.
– US Growth is .01% when you remove AI sector. pic.twitter.com/mk3Nc6yBpk

— Maine (@TheMaineWonk) November 17, 2025

At the same time, AI-linked speculation appears to be affecting crypto markets. Bitcoin has dropped nearly 30% since October, partly because AI startups hold $26.8 billion in Bitcoin as collateral, which could be sold if Nvidia’s stock falls further.

Nvidia, $NVDA, CEO Jensen Huang told staff 'the whole world would've fallen apart' if Nvidia delivered a bad quarter, per BI

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) November 21, 2025

Not everyone is worried. Supporters argue that Nvidia has $23.8 billion in cash flow, huge orders from companies like Microsoft and Meta, and that some of the inter-company deals are standard in the tech industry.

Still, a recent survey by Bank of America shows that 45% of fund managers view AI as a major market bubble risk, a concern echoed by global regulators, including the IMF and Bank of England.

The next few months may be critical. Analysts are watching Nvidia’s fourth-quarter results in February 2026, possible credit downgrades in March, and any restatements in April.

How the company performs could decide whether the AI boom continues or if the recent market panic signals the start of a broader slowdown. Either way, the Nvidia story is now the test case for the AI-driven tech era.

The post Is This the Pin That Pops the AI Bubble? The Reason Why Burry and Thiel Are Bearish on Nvidia appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The XRP price has dropped below the $2.00 psychological level, revisiting levels last seen during the October 10 crash.

In comes amid a broader bearish sentiment in the crypto market, that saw the Bitcoin price fall below the $87,000 level and $220 million longs blown out of the water within the hour.

XRP Price Retests June Lows As it Falls Below $2

As of this writing, the powering token for the Ripple ecosystem was trading at $1.98, down 2.5% in the last 24 hours and nearly 16% in the last week.

The drop came as Bitcoin pulled the broader crypto market down after slipping below $87,000 and blowing over $220 million worth of long positions out of the water in an hour.

Surprisingly, the drop came while the Ripple community was still in the XRP ETF frenzy, following Bitwise Invest’s recent move to launch the financial instrument.

Very excited to launch the Bitwise XRP ETF $XRP. What a journey for this asset and this community. Excited to see what’s next.

— Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) November 20, 2025

In fact, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse had only hours ago called the “pre-thanksgiving rush” for the XRP ETF as the financial instrument first hit the NYSE.

The pre-thanksgiving rush (shall we say, 'turkey trot'!?) for XRP ETFs starts now.. congrats @BitwiseInvest on today's launch! https://t.co/EgYVrm0TmM

— Brad Garlinghouse (@bgarlinghouse) November 20, 2025

Nonetheless, ETF analyst James Seyffart revealed that the financial instrument was already making a name for itself, garnering $22 million in trading with three hours left before trading closed on November 20.

“With a bit over ~3 hours left in trading Bitwise’s XRP is almost at $22 million in trading today. Quite impressive for the second product to market a full week after Canary Capital’s XRPC, which is the #1 launch by volume this year,” wrote Seyffart.

Canary Capital’s XRP ETF saw strong early demand, with Bitwise’s financial instrument following suit despite recent sentiment in the crypto ETF market.

However, concerns exist for the XRP community after Glassnode revealed a decline in the volume of supply that is currently in profit. Clearly, there is a disconnect between the ETF’s strong inflows and the XRP price performance.

The share of XRP supply in profit has fallen to 58.5%, the lowest since Nov 2024, when price was $0.53.
Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss — a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers.
📉… https://t.co/CBXPzDalxV pic.twitter.com/UpLNKV7LqD

— glassnode (@glassnode) November 17, 2025

Well, XRP whales contributed significantly to the recent price drop. Reports indicate whales sold around 200 million XRP within 48 hours of the ETF launch.

Meanwhile, analysts say it may take until 2026 for institutional flows to show up, which means next year is when the impact of the XRP ETF can really be felt on the Ripple price.

Why is XRP dropping even after ETF launches?

Because the market misunderstood the play.

Retail:
Thought ETFs would instantly FOMO into XRP → rushed in early → heavy speculation.

Institutions:
• Launch ETF
• APs send cash
• Issuers buy XRP slowly, on dips
• Accumulate… pic.twitter.com/sWPuaxyphr

— BD (@DiepSanh) November 17, 2025

The post Ripple Price Falls Below $2 on Day #1 of Bitwise XRP ETF appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Bitcoin fell below $87,000 on November 20, 2025, amid a storm of quantum security fears and $1.3 billion whale capitulation. In the process, it blew almost $220 million in long positions out of the water.

This sharp decline extended a two-day pattern of Asian rebounds erased by US market sell-offs. Traders struggled with mixed signals from institutional buyers and a wave of retail panic.

Quantum Computing Panic Triggers Market-Wide Fear

The latest sell-off accelerated after billionaire Ray Dalio raised concerns about Bitcoin’s vulnerability to advances in quantum computing.

His remarks reignited debate in the cryptocurrency community, focusing attention on cryptographic security risks.

“I have a small percentage of Bitcoin I’ve had forever, like 1% of my portfolio. I think the problem with Bitcoin is that it’s not going to be a reserve currency for major countries because it can be tracked, and it could be conceivably controlled, hacked, and so on,” Ray Dalio stated.

However, market analysts pushed back on the quantum panic narrative. Mel Mattison, a financial analyst, argued that these fears are overblown and overlook Bitcoin’s strong cryptography in comparison to traditional banks.

“If people are selling BTC on quantum decryption, they should be selling the hell out of every bank on the planet. JPM should be down 20%. Every account will be hackable. BTC is SHA-256, which is tougher than RSA,” Mel Mattison countered.

This debate reflects a significant divide in how investors assess long-term tech risks. While Dalio highlighted theoretical vulnerabilities as quantum computing develops, critics point out that Bitcoin’s SHA-256 provides stronger security than the RSA standard used by most banks.

If quantum computers pose a threat to Bitcoin, global banking may face even greater risks.

Early Bitcoin Adopter Exits With $1.3 Billion Sale

Adding to quantum security worries, blockchain analytics firm Arkham reported a massive capitulation. Owen Gunden, an early Bitcoin adopter who accumulated holdings since 2011, sold his entire 11,000 BTC for about $1.3 billion.

OWEN GUNDEN HAS NOW SOLD ALL OF HIS $1.3 BILLION BITCOIN

Owen Gunden was an OG Bitcoin whale who held BTC since 2011. Since late October he has sold 11K BTC worth $1.3 billion.

He has just transferred $230M of BTC to Kraken, marking his final sale. pic.twitter.com/m0gQWCHrxZ

— Arkham (@arkham) November 20, 2025

Gunden’s exit came at a precarious time for sentiment. According to data from BeInCrypto, Bitcoin was trading at $86,767 at the latest update, down 2.55% over 24 hours.

This whale’s decision to sell after 14 years highlights a shift from the usual long-term holding mentality. The reasons are unclear, whether profit-taking, rebalancing, or concerns about Bitcoin’s outlook.

Still, the sale injected extra supply into an oversold market and deepened the price slide.

Massive Liquidation Cascade Accelerates Decline

Quantum fears and whale selling sparked a large liquidation cascade across exchanges. CoinGlass data shows over $910 million in crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, forcing out 222,008 traders.

During one hour in early US trading, long liquidations spiked to $264.79 million while shorts hit $256.44 million.

These forced closures highlight the significant leverage in crypto markets and how quickly positions can unwind during sharp market moves.

This cascade revealed structural weaknesses in crypto derivatives as well. As Bitcoin dropped from above $91,000 to $86,000 in 48 hours, leveraged traders faced margin calls and had their positions automatically closed.

This automated selling created further price declines and additional liquidations, fueling a cycle of volatility.

Institutional Buyers Return Despite Retail Panic

Despite the sell-off, US Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) saw $75 million in net inflows on Wedneday, ending a five-day outflow streak.

BlackRock’s IBIT and Grayscale’s mini ETF accounted for all the inflows, showing that some institutional investors viewed the dip as a buying opportunity.

Yet, sentiment among ETF issuers remained mixed. VanEck, Fidelity, and other large issuers reported flat or negative flows, indicating cautious optimism.

This split highlights the mixed outlook in Bitcoin markets. Some institutions view the current levels as valuable, while others hesitate due to near-term uncertainties.

buy the dip

— Hoss (@hoss_crypto) November 20, 2025

The collision of whale sales, quantum security concerns, and institutional buying has driven sharp volatility. Investors now face the question of whether the quantum narrative signals real risk or simply profit-taking after Bitcoin’s rally this year.

The next days will show whether institutional support can hold prices steady or if more declines lie ahead as the market processes these risks and the influx of long-term holder supply.

The post Whale Dump Meets Quantum Panic: Bitcoin Slips to $86,000 and Blows $220 Million Longs appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Rep. Warren Davidson has introduced the Bitcoin for America Act, aiming to permit federal tax payments in Bitcoin. Collected funds would build a new Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which Davidson claims will boost US financial stability and leadership in digital assets.

The proposal follows President Trump’s March 2025 executive order creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, signaling greater congressional interest in formalizing Bitcoin’s role in the federal financial system.

Bill Emphasizes Bitcoin, Sparking Debate Over Market Neutrality

The Bitcoin for America Act stands out for its exclusive focus on Bitcoin, in contrast to more comprehensive frameworks, such as the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act.

Davidson’s bill would let taxpayers pay federal taxes in Bitcoin, channeling those payments directly into a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. This reserve aims to diversify government holdings beyond traditional assets.

I’m introducing the Bitcoin for America Act to strengthen long-term national financial resilience and position the U.S. at the forefront of global asset leadership!

This marks an important step forward in embracing the innovation that millions of Americans use every day. pic.twitter.com/2JSlaJSVkc

— Rep. Warren Davidson (@Rep_Davidson) November 20, 2025

Davidson highlights Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins as a defense against inflation and volatility. He says the reserve could reduce reliance on debt-financed spending and protect the US from currency devaluation/

According to the Ohio representative, this would give the country an edge over global competitors such as China and Russia, which have developed their own digital asset strategies.

The Bitcoin for America Act will position our country to lead—not follow—as the world navigates the future of sound money and digital innovation.

Read more about my Bitcoin for America Act below!https://t.co/1DqIkbStoG

— Rep. Warren Davidson (@Rep_Davidson) November 20, 2025

However, this Bitcoin-specific approach has sparked criticism. Singling out one cryptocurrency may risk distorting competition and impeding growth in the digital asset space. Critics warn that focusing solely on Bitcoin might limit broader innovation in the digital asset market.

“Why only Bitcoin? This is classic politicians trying to pick winners and losers. We’ve seen enough of this market rigging,” one user challenged.

The plan also introduces practical challenges. The IRS currently treats digital assets as property, requiring taxpayers to report any income from their activities.

Recent IRS guidance has clarified that all income from digital assets must be reported. Accepting Bitcoin for taxes would mean new systems for valuation, conversion, and custody, issues Davidson’s release does not address.

Building on an Executive Foundation

Davidson’s bill extends President Trump’s March 2025 executive order, which created the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and US Digital Asset Stockpile.

The executive order tasked the Treasury Department with overseeing custodial accounts for Bitcoin and digital assets seized in federal cases, instructing officials to retain these assets rather than sell.

The Bitcoin for America Act would introduce a separate acquisition route by accepting voluntary tax payments in Bitcoin. Davidson promotes this as widening taxpayer choice and letting the government hold an appreciating asset.

He presents the reserve as a safeguard against inflation, arguing that Bitcoin’s built-in scarcity makes it advantageous compared to fiat currencies.

Davidson also points to increased financial inclusion. About 5.9 million US households do not use traditional banks, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Crypto advocates argue that digital wallets can serve these individuals, although critics contend that price fluctuations and technical barriers remain obstacles to everyday use.

Legislative Push Reflects Policy Tensions

Davidson introduced the bill in coordination with the Bitcoin Policy Institute, a nonprofit organization that supports Bitcoin adoption.

Davidson represents Ohio’s 8th District, known for its crypto-friendly policy stance. His bill differs from the bipartisan BITCOIN Act of 2025, which outlined strategic reserve management but did not include tax payment paths.

This latest debate reveals underlying questions about the government’s role in shaping digital technology markets.

Supporters say federal adoption confirms Bitcoin’s legitimacy and strengthens the country’s leadership in digital finance. Detractors argue that the government should maintain neutrality, supporting open competition rather than backing single technologies. Whether Congress should favor one cryptocurrency will be a central issue in policy discussions going forward.

As the Bitcoin for America Act moves through Congress, lawmakers will weigh a focused Bitcoin strategy against broader integration of digital assets. Their response could shape U cryptocurrency policy and the future of blockchain innovation nationwide.

The post Is Congress Codifying BTC Maximalism into Law with the Bitcoin for America Act? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The UK’s Serious Fraud Office (SFO) made its first major arrests in a cryptocurrency case, detaining two men in London and Bradford over an alleged $28 million fraud linked to the collapse of the Basis Markets scheme.

The November 20, 2025, operation marks a pivotal shift in UK crypto enforcement. Authorities are expanding efforts to counter sophisticated digital asset crime.

UK SFO Launches Landmark Crypto Investigation

The Serious Fraud Office announced the arrests of one man in his thirties in Herne Hill, London, and another in his forties near Bradford. Raids, conducted in collaboration with the Metropolitan and West Yorkshire Police, focused on fraud and money laundering linked to the Basis Markets scheme.

This investigation is the SFO’s first significant step into crypto crime, reflecting its growing strategy against digital asset fraud. The joint operation highlights the unique challenges of prosecuting cases that involve blockchain technology and NFTs.

SFO Director Nick Ephgrave confirmed the agency has developed specialized resources targeting cryptocurrency fraud. With digital asset schemes increasing, these capabilities are seen as critical for investor protection.

Solicitor General Ellie Reeves stated that such fraudulent activity poses a serious threat to the UK economy. She pledged government backing for enforcement, warning that crypto fraud erodes trust in the financial sector.

The SFO called for victims and whistleblowers to contact [email protected]. This public appeal suggests authorities anticipate more victims and that the case could set important legal precedents.

The Rise and Collapse of Basis Markets

Basis Markets raised $28 million through two public NFT-based fundraisers in late 2021, capitalizing on the surge in NFT market activity that year. The first, in November 2021, focused on NFT sales, promising investors a stake in a new crypto investment vehicle.

The second offering came in December 2021, with funds intended to create a “crypto hedge fund” that employs advanced trading strategies. Investor momentum was high, as NFT sales and enthusiasm for crypto projects peaked during this period.

However, in June 2022, the project abruptly halted. Organizers cited “proposed US regulations” as the reason for its suspension just as US agencies were rolling out broader scrutiny of NFT and crypto fundraising practices.

This collapse left investors unable to access the $28 million raised. The project’s timing, coinciding with broader crypto market downturns in 2022, raised concerns that regulatory changes may not fully explain the failure.

NFT-based fundraising became a common approach in 2021, with projects leveraging digital collectibles to attract capital.

US Treasury research shows that about 65% of NFT fraud cases involve misleading marketing. This significant rate of fraud underlines the regulatory and enforcement challenges facing authorities.

Implications for UK Crypto Enforcement

The Basis Markets probe comes as the UK intensifies efforts against digital asset-related crime. The Crown Prosecution Service’s Economic Crime Strategy 2025, published in May 2025, identified cryptocurrency and cyber-enabled fraud as high-priority threats that require multi-agency coordination.

Authorities have appointed operational leads for cryptoasset recovery and created frameworks to boost cooperation between the CPS, SFO, and law enforcement.

These reforms show a recognition that new tools and strategies are needed to address blockchain-based financial crime.

The SFO’s move to prosecute crypto-related cases aligns with a global trend of increased enforcement against digital asset fraud.

Worldwide, regulators are scrutinizing fundraising methods that blur lines between securities, collectibles, and investments. The Basis Markets case could help define how UK courts approach crypto fraud charges going forward.

Social media reaction highlights investor attention to enforcement. Bitcoin Archive highlighted the significance of the SFO’s pursuit of large-scale crypto prosecutions with this investigation.

JUST IN: 🇬🇧 UK begins large crypto prosecutions with first major investigation, arresting two men over $28 million Basis Markets NFT sale: Press release. pic.twitter.com/UerYhrtH8k

— Coin Headlines (@coinheadline) November 20, 2025

This case signals greater regulatory risk for digital asset fundraisers that lack legal clarity. The SFO’s willingness to pursue complicated crypto cases sends a message that regulatory uncertainty will not protect those accused of fraud.

The outcome of this prosecution could shape how aggressively the UK approaches future crypto crime as the sector evolves.

The post UK Makes First Major Crypto Arrests in $28 Million Basis Markets Scandal appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Harga XRP turun di bawah level psikologis US$2,00, mengunjungi kembali level yang terakhir kali terlihat saat crash pada 10 Oktober.