Solana price action has gone quiet after weeks of pressure. SOL is down roughly 10% over the past 30 days, yet it has traded nearly flat over the last 24 hours, even as the broader market weakens. That pause matters.

It comes as Solana quietly seeks to gain institutional exposure in Brazil through Valour’s Solana ETP (Exchange-Traded Product), which is expected to list on the B3 exchange. This move reinforces a steady channel for regulated demand at a time when charts show breakout signs. The question now is simple. Can this backdrop help Solana resolve a difficult technical setup, or do sellers still control the trend?

ETP Hype Meets a Sloping Breakdown Structure

Valour’s Solana ETP offers regulated exposure to SOL for Brazilian investors and institutions. While it is not a short-term price driver, it adds steady absorption during periods of selling pressure. That matters most when charts show key patterns. And it also could be a sentimental trigger in a market where every asset is looking at narratives.

DeFi Technologies' Subsidiary @ValourFunds Approved to List Valour Solana (VSOL) ETP on Brazil's B3 Exchange (@B3_Oficial) https://t.co/xy0ILbKzdU $DEFT pic.twitter.com/PKGZfHN1Kp

— DeFi Technologies (@DeFiTechGlobal) December 16, 2025

Technically, Solana is trading inside a down-sloping head-and-shoulders structure, not a clean textbook pattern. When the neckline slopes lower, breakouts require stronger confirmation because sellers continue pressing at lower levels over time.

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However, some buyer-specific signs are appearing, which could help combat the sellers and help the Solana price aim for a clean neckline breakout.

Quiet Accumulation Appears Beneath the Surface

While price struggles, on-chain data shows early signs of accumulation.

The 3-month to 6-month holder cohort has increased its supply share meaningfully. This group held 11.756% of the supply on November 16, which has now risen to 16.126% by December 16. That is a sharp increase over one month and points to mid-term buyers stepping in during weakness.

At the same time, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is sending a constructive signal. Between November 3 and December 15, the Solana price made a lower low, but the CMF formed a higher low. This divergence suggests buying pressure is building underneath, even as price drifts lower.

However, CMF remains below zero. That indicates that large capital remains cautious. Buyers are present but are not yet aggressive. Together, these signals point to positioning, not confirmation.

Solana Price Levels That Decide the Next Leg

The Solana price now carries the full weight of the story. $141 is the first level to watch. Reclaiming it would mark a break of the sloping neckline, but not a trend change. Remember, the neckline slopes down and therefore requires a stronger confirmation.

$153 is therefore the key. A daily close above $153 would confirm that buyers have overpowered the sloping structure and could open a move toward higher resistance zones.

On the downside, $121 remains the critical support. A failure there would invalidate the accumulation thesis and breakout pattern, shifting focus back to the deeper downside.

The post Can Solana’s Brazil ETP Narrative Spark a Price Breakout? Charts Hold the Clue appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Solana is showing early signs of a potential recovery after forming a classic “W” pattern on its 12-hour chart. 

This bullish structure has emerged following November’s sharp decline, and a confirmed breakout could propel SOL into a decisive upward move.

Solana Holders Provide Support

HODLer Net Position Change indicates that long-term holders are beginning to ease off their selling. Outflows are receding, signaling reduced distribution and a shift toward neutrality. This is encouraging for Solana because LTHs play a major role in stabilizing price trends. Their restraint provides room for recovery momentum to build.

The improving sentiment among LTHs suggests confidence could soon return. As selling pressure from these influential holders diminishes, the probability of inflows rises. Historically, such transitions from heavy outflows to balanced movement have preceded stronger mid-term price rebounds for SOL.

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Solana’s NUPL metric recently slipped into the capitulation zone as market conditions deteriorated. This zone represents the lowest psychological point for investors, where fear peaks and selling exhaustion is common. Capitulation often marks the early stage of trend reversals, providing fertile ground for accumulation.

SOL has experienced this phase before. In April, NUPL also entered capitulation before a major rally took the token to new highs. With the indicator once again signaling selling exhaustion, Solana may be positioned for a similar resurgence, provided market sentiment continues to stabilize.

SOL Price Breakout Ahead

Solana is currently forming a double-bottom “W” pattern, a bullish structure implying a potential 14% breakout toward $165. A confirmed breakout from this formation would validate the reversal and place SOL back on an upward trajectory.

Trading at $143 at the time of writing, SOL is edging toward the $146 neckline. Clearing this resistance, powered by improving sentiment and positive on-chain trends, could push the token toward $157. Surpassing that barrier would open the path to $163 and ultimately the $165 target.

However, a failed breakout or renewed market weakness could break the pattern. If that occurs, Solana may drop back to its $136 support level. A loss of this support would invalidate the bullish outlook and delay recovery efforts.

The post Solana Forms Bullish ‘W’ Pattern — Is a Breakout to $165 Next? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Solana is facing renewed bearish pressure as its price continues to slide, bringing the altcoin close to a critical support level that has not been tested in more than seven months. 

The ongoing decline reflects deepening market weakness, and technical indicators suggest that further losses may be ahead unless conditions shift quickly.

Solana Investors Are Facing Heavy Losses

Solana’s exponential moving averages are signaling the potential formation of a Death Cross.

This pattern occurs when the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA, often indicating the start of a prolonged downtrend. Historical behavior suggests that Solana may be repeating earlier market cycles seen in Q1 and Q2 of this year.

During those periods, SOL fell 59% from the local top before the Death Cross fully materialized.

A similar setup today would send Solana toward $98, extending its current 47% drop from the local top.

These conditions highlight weakening sentiment and reinforce concerns about continued downside risk.

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Macro momentum also appears fragile. Solana’s net realized profit/loss ratio has fallen to its lowest level since June 2023, showing that holders are facing significant realized losses following the recent decline.

This metric often reflects broader sentiment shifts as investors reassess risk during rapid market downturns.

However, there is a notable silver lining. When the net realized profit/loss ratio dips below 0.1, reversals have historically followed.

This pattern played out in March, April, and September of 2023, each time signaling the start of a recovery.

If this trend repeats, Solana could see a meaningful bounce as realized losses saturate and selling pressure stabilizes.

SOL Price Is Vulnerable

Solana trades at $127, holding just above the $123 support level. The altcoin is waiting for broader market stability and renewed investor confidence to fuel a rebound.

However, the indicators mentioned above suggest that the risks remain skewed to the downside.

If Solana moves closer to confirming a Death Cross, the price may continue falling, breaking below $123 and sliding to $105 or even $100.

Such a move would represent a 21.8% correction from current levels and revisit price zones last seen in March.

If realized losses stabilize and investor sentiment improves, Solana could bounce from $123 and attempt a climb to $136.

A break above this barrier would open the path toward $157, invalidating the bearish thesis and restoring a more bullish structure.

The post Solana Price Crash To $100 Likely As SOL Nears Death Cross, But There’s A Catch appeared first on BeInCrypto.